Franklin Discussion Thread (Caribbean-GOM)

Zack's update on 90L (future Franklin in the Gulf)

Link to story --> HERE

90L looks like it is close to being upgraded 80/90%.


Satellite data indicate that a broad area of low pressure has

formed over the western Caribbean Sea about 150 miles east of the

eastern coast of Honduras. In addition, winds just below

tropical-storm-force are occurring to the northeast of the center.

The associated showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming

better organized, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will

likely form before the low reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico

late Monday or early Tuesday. After the system crosses the Yucatan

Peninsula, it is expected to move across the Bay of Campeche by

midweek where additional development is expected. An Air Force

Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this low

on Monday, if necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras,

Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of

this system as heavy rains and strong winds are possible at those

locations.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Chances of it becoming our first major hurricane are increasing before landfall near Tampico.

Well done,  Zach should have been a weatherman.

 

The NHC maybe upgrading this to TD#7 this afternoon.  The NCAR Real-Time Tropical Guidance website is no longer listing Invest 90L as an invest, but is now calling it AL07 which means they are saying it is a tropical depression #7.

(yeah, just a little)

Should be PTC 07 this afternoon rather than straight to a TD.