Post by SCOT PILIE' on Aug 15, 2019 14:19:01 GMT -6
Although the operational 12Z Euro did not develop any tropical cyclone in the Gulf of Mexico Wednesday-Friday, about 10-12 out of 50 of the latest Euro ensembles did showcase weak development. Which is slightly more thank the 0Z Ensembles. The GFS Ensembles look similar. Something to watch! Regardless...a nice slug of tropical moisture looks to keep rain chances high across south Louisiana this weekend into next week!
Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Aug 16, 2019 18:37:24 GMT -6
And when it looks like nothing will happen, we have a lemon! LOL
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A surface trough of low pressure is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and across northeastern Florida. Any tropical development of this system is expected to be slow to occur over the next few days while it moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph near the coasts of Georgia, South and North Carolina. Regardless of development, the disturbance is forecast to produce heavy rainfall along with a threat of flash flooding in that region. Please see information from your local National Weather Service office or the Weather Prediction Center's Excessive Rainfall Outlook for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.