Post by ndg on Sept 6, 2008 11:22:07 GMT -6
From Bob Breck's blog, sounds like he is leaving it to Dr Jeff Masters, but great write up by BB at this point:
Hurricane Ike has weakened to a strong Cat. 2 (Gustav at landfall) and there is no real news regarding future track except to say...we are certain about the uncertainty...translation...he still could go many places other than SE LA. Let's put this into perspective...Ike...IF he were to come close to us...won't even be in the Gulf until early Tuesday and, based on NHC track movement...wouldn't make landfall until NEXT FRIDAY!!! Again I say, chill out and enjoy this weekend. Ideally we would like Ike to curve on the east side of FLA, but that appears less likely with time. Ike would need to slow down his forward speed and that isn't happening. The other option is Ike hits Cuba and stays over Cuba for several days disrupting his circulation and allowing time for another east coast trough to arrive over us. As I said before, there are many scenarios that Ike could do. We'll know more by Monday.
"Hurrication"...great new word. Yes, that's what some can do when these storms threaten. Take a "hurrication" to friends or relatives and stay a week. I will decide tomorrow or Monday whether Brenda can come home or stay with her friends a few more days until we know for sure about Ike. I suggest that for anyone who has small (under 5 yr.) children. To find Dr. Masters blog...do a google search for "weather underground" and then click on tropical/hurricanes.
As I have also mentioned before...IF Ike does threaten...I fear many (maybe 50%) will not evacuate again due to 1) costs, 2) traffic (8 hours to get from Metairie to Slidell) and most important 3) past experience. I fear many returned to see little damage (worse along coast-Houma & Baton Rouge) and they will say next time..."let's ride it out." The way you change that perception is to be honest with them, don't over exaggerate the dangers and spell out the consequences of staying. That is what I do and will continue to do. Again, enjoy this weekend.
"Hurrication"...great new word. Yes, that's what some can do when these storms threaten. Take a "hurrication" to friends or relatives and stay a week. I will decide tomorrow or Monday whether Brenda can come home or stay with her friends a few more days until we know for sure about Ike. I suggest that for anyone who has small (under 5 yr.) children. To find Dr. Masters blog...do a google search for "weather underground" and then click on tropical/hurricanes.
As I have also mentioned before...IF Ike does threaten...I fear many (maybe 50%) will not evacuate again due to 1) costs, 2) traffic (8 hours to get from Metairie to Slidell) and most important 3) past experience. I fear many returned to see little damage (worse along coast-Houma & Baton Rouge) and they will say next time..."let's ride it out." The way you change that perception is to be honest with them, don't over exaggerate the dangers and spell out the consequences of staying. That is what I do and will continue to do. Again, enjoy this weekend.
