Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC) Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 06:11Z Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 301) Storm Number: 09 Storm Name: Isaac (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 18 Observation Number: 06
Observation Time: Sunday, 5:57Z Radar Capability: Yes Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters Coordinates: 22.8N 78.2W Location: 100 miles (160 km) between the NNW and N (349°) from Camagüey, Cuba. Turbulence: Light Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear Pressure Altitude: 1,520 meters Flight Level Wind: From 140° at 14 knots (From the SE at ~ 16.1 mph) - The above is a spot wind. - Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems. Flight Level Temperature: 19°C Flight Level Dew Point: Not available, probably because the dew point hygrometer was not working. Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Thunderstorm(s) 850 mb Surface Altitude: 1,398 geopotential meters
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Surface Wind Speed (likely by SFMR): 5 knots (~ 5.8mph)
s first I love this but you guys sound like we are at a saits game and you want to win a hurricane this storm will be a last min win for some poor people from fla to new orleans pray you dont win this one god bless
Night all....thanks to Scott, Zack, dylan and everyone else!!! Praying we see consensus so people know what to do tomorrow!!
Totally agree - many thanks to Scott, Zack, Dylan and all others.
Not a professional forecast by any means and should not be viewed as such - just my opinion. Audrey'57, Carla'61 Hilda'64, Betsy'65, Edith'71, Carmen'74, Danny'85, Juan'85, Andrew'92, Iniki'92 (while on vacation in Kauai), Lili'02, Rita'05, Gustav'08, Ike'08, No-Name'16, Harvey'17, Barry'19, Laura'20, Delta'20.
Really the only good new I have tonight is that these models many times will overcompensate in their shifts only to shift slightly back in the other direction. Hate to use Katrina as an example but during the westward shift models went almost to Central LA before overcorrecting back towards the east. Just something to look at in the next 48 hours but were closing in on that time frame where we likely won't see any more significant swings in the models.
U of U Atmospheric Science - Focus in Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones