Puerto Rico Weather

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 4:18:27 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 4:18:27 GMT -6

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
344 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-041945-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.141104T1800Z-141105T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
344 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES AND ALL OF THE OF U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* FROM 2 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

* AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC WILL DEEPEN
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND EVOLVE INTO A CLOSED LOW OVER
HISPANIOLA ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL INDUCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT AND PROVIDE PLENTY OF
FORCING TO GENERATE CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH
MAY EVOLVE INTO A LARGER COMPLEX. THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY
AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS IN A SHORT PERIOD
OF TIME. IN ADDITION...RECENT RAINS OF THE PAST FEW DAYS HAVE
RESULTED IN SATURATED SOILS AND ABOVE AVERAGE STREAMFLOWS...AND
RUNOFF FROM THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL RESULT IN FLOODING AS
RIVERS WILL REACT QUICKLY.

* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 4:25:57 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 4:25:57 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
531 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVR THE SW ATLC WILL
EVOLVE INTO A CLOSED LOW OVER HISPANIOLA BY WED AND INDUCE A SFC
TROF ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL CONTINUE FALL NEXT 24 HRS AS
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFIES AND EVOLVES INTO A CLOSED LOW OVR
HISPANIOLA. A SFC TROF OVR THE ANEGADA PASSAGE WILL SHARPEN AND
MOVE WWD TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION WITH SHOWERS AND T-STORMS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AREAWIDE. CLUSTERS OF T-STORMS
MAY TRY TO CONGEAL INTO A LARGER MCS TONIGHT. THE STEERING FLOW
WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAK FROM THE SOUTH SUGGESTING T-STORMS WILL
MOVE SLOW AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SVRL INCHES OF RAIN IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. RIVERS HAVE BEEN RESPONDING QUICKLY TO
RECENT RAINS AND FLOODING IS BECOMING MORE LIKELY. FOR THESE
REASONS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH 8 AM WED. SFC TROF MOVES WEST INTO THE MONA PASSAGE WED
WITH FORCING DIMINISHING CONSIDERABLY. THE UPPER LOW WILL MEANDER
OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK KEEPING IN GENERAL
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WITH THE RISK OF SHOWERS BUT AS FORCING WANES
AND SOME MID-LEVEL DRY AIR MOVES IN EXPECT AREAL COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS TO DIMINISH SOMEWHAT.

CONDITIONS FINALLY IMPROVE SIGNIFICANTLY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
TROUGH LIFTS OUT AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS TAF SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD WITH -RA AND VCSH INTO THE MORNING. PERIODS OF MVFR CONDS AND
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE POSSIBLE 04/18-22Z IN AND AROUND TJPS AND
TJMZ AS ISOLD/SCT TSRA DEVELOPS ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND SW QUADRANT
OF PR. WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BCMG MOSTLY EASTERLY 10-15
KTS BY LATE MORNING...SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS DEVELOPING AFTER 04/13Z.

&&

.MARINE...BUOY 41046 LOCATED 386 NM NNW OF SJU INDICATES 11 FT
SWELLS AT 15 SECS FROM THE NNW. SWELL DECAY NOMOGRAMS INDICATE
SWELLS UP TO 9FT ARE POSSIBLE IN OUR ATLC WATERS. HAVE RAISED SEAS
TO 7-9 FT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 72 85 77 / 100 100 50 50
STT 82 80 82 77 / 90 90 50 40

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 8:01:15 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 8:01:15 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
954 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC017-039-047-051-054-091-101-105-135-137-143-145-041645-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0238.141104T1354Z-141104T1645Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARCELONETA PR-CIALES PR-COROZAL PR-FLORIDA PR-MANATI PR-MOROVIS PR-
NARANJITO PR-VEGA ALTA PR-DORADO PR-TOA ALTA PR-TOA BAJA PR-
VEGA BAJA PR-
954 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARCELONETA...CIALES...COROZAL...FLORIDA...MANATI...MOROVIS...
NARANJITO...VEGA ALTA...DORADO...TOA ALTA...TOA BAJA AND VEGA
BAJA

* UNTIL 1245 PM AST

* AT 952 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. FLOODING OF URBAN AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS ARE
POSSIBLE.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1848 6647 1849 6645 1848 6625 1828 6627
1828 6638 1829 6638 1828 6639 1829 6656
1832 6659 1849 6659 1849 6652

$$

CAM/RGH

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
949 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC021-031-033-051-061-087-105-127-135-137-139-041645-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0237.141104T1349Z-141104T1645Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-GUAYNABO PR-NARANJITO PR-SAN JUAN PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-
DORADO PR-TOA ALTA PR-CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-LOIZA PR-TOA BAJA PR-
949 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...GUAYNABO...NARANJITO...SAN JUAN...TRUJILLO ALTO...
DORADO...TOA ALTA...CAROLINA...CATANO...LOIZA AND TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 1245 PM AST

* AT 945 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.

* AT 945 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ANOTHER ROUND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WEST THROUGH THESE MUNICIPALITIES. THIS
ADDITIONAL RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS
AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1847 6617 1846 6617 1847 6615 1844 6587
1830 6605 1828 6628 1848 6626

$$

CAM

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 8:22:16 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 8:22:16 GMT -6

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1000 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

...HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.NORTH NORTHWEST SWELLS OF 7 TO 9 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
ATLANTIC COASTLINE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
BREAKING WAVE ACTION ALONG THE COAST AND COASTAL FLOOD POSSIBLE.

PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-042215-
/O.COR.TJSJ.CF.A.0001.141104T1400Z-141105T2200Z/
/O.COR.TJSJ.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-141105T2200Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
1000 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST WEDNESDAY.

* WAVES AND SURF: NORTHWEST TO NORTH SWELLS 7 TO 9 FEET WITH
BREAKING WAVES OF 12 TO 15 FEET.

* TIMING: THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS: ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS WITH NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND
MODERATE TO LARGE WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE. COASTAL FLOODING IS
ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE OF PUERTO RICO...
VIEQUES AND NORTHERN US VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDE DURING THE ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS ARE:

AGUADILLA: 6:05 PM AST TUESDAY AT 1.09 FEET.

ARECIBO HARBOR: 6:09 PM AST TUESDAY AT 1.51 FEET.

SAN JUAN HARBOR: 6:36 PM AST TUESDAY AT 1.47 FEET.

MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 5:45 PM AST TUESDAY AT 1.06 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 8:52:54 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 8:52:54 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1048 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC029-053-089-119-041645-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0240.141104T1448Z-141104T1645Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CANOVANAS PR-FAJARDO PR-LUQUILLO PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
1048 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...LUQUILLO AND RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 1245 PM AST

* AT 1040 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. FLOODING OF URBAN AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS ARE
POSSIBLE.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1842 6584 1836 6565 1834 6564 1829 6572
1830 6579 1828 6584 1828 6590

$$

EMORALES

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 9:11:25 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 9:11:25 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1025 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC037-069-085-095-103-151-041730-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0239.141104T1425Z-141104T1730Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CEIBA PR-NAGUABO PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-MAUNABO PR-YABUCOA PR-HUMACAO PR-
1025 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CEIBA...NAGUABO...LAS PIEDRAS...MAUNABO...YABUCOA AND HUMACAO

* UNTIL 130 PM AST

* AT 1025 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. FLOODING OF URBAN AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS ARE
POSSIBLE.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1827 6562 1819 6564 1820 6566 1817 6569
1818 6572 1815 6572 1815 6575 1813 6577
1806 6579 1805 6582 1801 6582 1799 6587
1809 6591 1817 6588 1825 6581

$$

EMORALES

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 9:54:27 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 9:54:27 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1140 AM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

.UPDATE...
HIGH TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATERS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA INTERACTING
WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A SURFACE TROUGH ENHANCED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. THIS ACTIVITY HAVE
INCREASED THE RIVER LEVELS ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN PUERTO RICO.
AN UNSTABLE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING INCREASING THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

.AVIATION...UNSTABLE WX CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS TAF SITES THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH RA...VCSH/VCTS INTO THE EVENING. PERIODS OF
MVFR AND BRIEF IFR CONDS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SPECIALLY IN AND AROUND TJSJ/TJPS...ALSO AFT 04/18-23Z
AT TJMZ/TJBQ AS ISOLD/SCT TSRA DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CWA. IN
ADDITION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR STILL POSSIBLE IN/AROUND
TIST/TISX AS SHRA/ISOLD TSRA MOVE INLAND. EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN
10 AND 15 KTS WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COASTLINES OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS. COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY AS LONG PERIOD
NORTHWEST TO NORTH SWELLS 6 TO 8 FEET WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 12 TO
15 FEET REACH THE AREA. MARINERS CAN EXPECT ROUGH MARINE
CONDITIONS AND BEACH GOERS CAN EXPECT SURF CONDITIONS WITH
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. IN ADDITION...A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS
EXCEPT THE CARIBBEAN WATERS.

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 10:43:20 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 10:43:20 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1235 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC047-101-143-145-041930-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0241.141104T1635Z-141104T1930Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COROZAL PR-MOROVIS PR-VEGA ALTA PR-VEGA BAJA PR-
1235 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
COROZAL...MOROVIS...VEGA ALTA AND VEGA BAJA

* UNTIL 330 PM AST

* AT 1233 PM AST...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF THE ADVISORY AREA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF THEM WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO
THE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED...WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN
URBAN FLOODING AND RAPID RISES ON RIO CIBUCO AND ITS TRIBUTARIES.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1848 6644 1848 6632 1829 6633 1829 6641

$$

OMS

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 11:51:29 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 11:51:29 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
114 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC003-011-067-081-083-093-097-099-125-131-042015-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0243.141104T1714Z-141104T2015Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANASCO PR-HORMIGUEROS PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-LARES PR-MARICAO PR-MOCA PR-
SAN GERMAN PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-LAS MARIAS PR-AGUADA PR-
114 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
ANASCO...HORMIGUEROS...MAYAGUEZ...LARES...MARICAO...MOCA...SAN
GERMAN...SAN SEBASTIAN...LAS MARIAS AND AGUADA

* UNTIL 415 PM AST

* AT 112 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO ESTIMATED HEAVY RAIN IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. FLOODING OF URBAN AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS ARE
POSSIBLE.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1834 6686 1827 6682 1820 6687 1809 6709
1818 6718 1821 6717 1823 6718 1826 6719
1832 6716 1837 6707

$$

EMORALES

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1249 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC021-031-033-061-087-127-137-139-041945-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0242.141104T1649Z-141104T1945Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-GUAYNABO PR-SAN JUAN PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-CAROLINA PR-
CATANO PR-LOIZA PR-TOA BAJA PR-
1249 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TRUJILLO ALTO...CAROLINA...
CATANO...LOIZA AND TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 345 PM AST

* AT 1248 PM AST...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF THE ADVISORY AREA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF THEM WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO
THE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED...WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN
URBAN FLOODING AND RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1844 6591 1831 6597 1831 6602 1831 6605
1830 6605 1830 6615 1846 6619

$$

OMS

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 13:57:25 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 13:57:25 GMT -6

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
328 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC047-101-143-145-042330-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0007.141104T1928Z-141104T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COROZAL PR-MOROVIS PR-VEGA ALTA PR-VEGA BAJA PR-
328 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS ALONG RIO CIBUCO
AND ITS TRIBUTARIES IN COROZAL...MOROVIS...VEGA ALTA AND VEGA BAJA.

* UNTIL 730 PM AST

* AT 324 PM AST...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF THE WARNING AREA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF THEM WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE
STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS RAINFALL IN
ADDITION TO THE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED...WILL CONTINUE
TO RESULT IN URBAN FLOODING AND RISES ON RIO CIBUCO AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. EMERGENCY MANAGERS REPORTED RIO CIBUCO OUT OF ITS
BANKS...ROAD 2 IMPASSABLE AT SOME POINTS IN VEGA BAJA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

&&

LAT...LON 1848 6644 1848 6632 1829 6633 1829 6641

$$

OMS

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 14:40:12 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 14:40:12 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
429 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH IS STRETCHING
SOUTH OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND WILL CUT OFF AND STRENGTHEN
OVER AND SOUTH OF HAITI WEDNESDAY. THE LOW...STRONGEST AT UPPER
LEVELS...WILL DRIFT NORTH OVER HISPANIOLA THURSDAY AND BEGIN TO
JOIN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA AND DISSIPATE BY
SATURDAY. HENCE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TOMORROW THROUGH
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SUNDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...A SHEARLINE IS JUST WEST OF THE AREA. LOW
PRESSURE IS DEVELOPING ALONG THIS SHEARLINE JUST NORTH OF THE AREA
AND WILL MOVE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY UNTIL IT JOINS A
A FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FROM A STRONG
LOW PRESSURE EXITING MASSACHUSETTS. THIS SHEARLINE AND LOW
PRESSURE WILL KEEP MOIST FLOW OVER THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST
SUNDAY NIGHT. NEXT WEEK HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC AND EXTEND INTO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN WHILE LOW
PRESSURE REMAINS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN GENERATING MODERATE
TRADE WIND FLOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FORMED OVER MANY SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO LEAVING AS MUCH AS 2.5 INCHES IN THE LAST 12 HOURS
OVER WESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. AT 4 PM AST...A WIDESPREAD
MASS OF RAIN CONTINUES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS IN OUR OUTER ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND NEW CONVECTION
IS DEVELOPING IN THE CARIBBEAN AND FORMING AN ARC THAT STRETCHES
FROM THE WATERS BETWEEN SAINT CROIX SOUTHWEST TO ABOUT 53 MILES
SOUTH OF THE COAST OF SALINAS...PUERTO RICO AND BACK TO JUST
SOUTHWEST OF CABO ROJO. THE LINE WAS INTENSIFYING BUT WAS SHOWING
LITTLE MOVEMENT.

BETTER THAN NORMAL MOISTURE CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY...WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGING FROM 1.7 TO 2.2 INCHES DURING
THE PERIOD. 1000-700 MB FLOW WILL TURN SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY BUT
RETURN TO THE SOUTHEAST THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. DRIER AIR WILL
GRADUALLY BE USHERED IN WHEN FLOW TURNS EASTERLY AT THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ENHANCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND
GENERATE A SURFACE LOW NORTH NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA
NOW THROUGH THURSDAY. AND UPPER LEVEL JET AROUND THIS LOW WILL
ALSO ADD TO FAVORABLE VERTICAL MOTION ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT AND LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BUT LOCAL VARIATION IN THE
DYNAMICS OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF ESPECIALLY
ENHANCED CONVECTION WHOSE EXACT POSITION IN OUR LOCAL FORECAST
AREA CANNOT BE ASCERTAINED NOW THROUGH FRIDAY. FOR THIS REASON
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND MAY BE
EXTENDED INTO TOMORROW OR BEYOND AS THE EXACT STRENGTH AND
POSITION THE DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL LOW BECOMES KNOWN. A MODEST
DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY BE COOLER THAN NORMAL DURING THIS RAINY SESSION.

&&

.AVIATION...UNSTABLE WX CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS TAF SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH SHRA/TSRA INTO THE EVENING. PERIODS OF MVFR AND
BRIEF IFR CONDS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ESPECIALLY IN AND AROUND AT TJMZ/TJBQ AS ISOLD/SCT TSRA DEVELOP ACROSS
THE CWA. IN ADDITION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR STILL POSSIBLE
IN/AROUND TJSJ/TIST/TISX/TNCM/TKPK AS SHRA/ISOLD TSRA MOVE INLAND.
EASTERLY WINDS FLOW BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KTS WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS
AND SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS...BECOMING 5 TO 10 KTS AFT 04/23Z.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR SEAS OF 7 TO 8 FEET WILL
CONTINUE IN THE ATLANTIC AND LOCAL PASSAGES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SEAS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 7 FEET ON THURSDAY AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
RETURN THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...RAIN...HEAVY AT TIME...WAS OBSERVED ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND ALL PUERTO RICO IN THE MORNING AND EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF W AND NE PR. EMERGENCY MANAGERS REPORTED RIO CIBUCO
AND RIO ARECIBO OUT OF ITS BANKS. BOTH RIVERS ARE SLOWLY RECEDING...
HOWEVER RIO CIBUCO REMAINS OUT OF ITS BANKS. AS A RESULT...AN AREAL
FLOOD WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR RIO CIBUCO AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES THROUGH 7:30 PM AST.

UNSTABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY...AS AN INDUCED SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
DUE TO ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN RAPID RISES IN RIVERS...SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AS WELL
AS INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
IMPROVE AFTERWARD BUT WETTER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 75 87 77 86 / 90 80 70 70
STT 76 87 79 87 / 80 70 70 70

Deleted

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 15:05:21 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 15:05:21 GMT -6

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
450 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC003-005-099-050845-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0008.141104T2050Z-141105T0845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOCA PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-
450 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MUNICIPALITIES OF AGUADA... AGUADILLA...AND
MOCA...

* UNTIL 445 AM AST WEDNESDAY

* AT 440 PM AST USGS RIVER SENSORS INDICATED THAT THE RIO CULEBRINAS
IN MOCA WAS VERY CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE AND SLOWLY RISING. THE RIVER
IS ALSO RISING AT THE MARGARITA DAM SENSOR AND IS EXPECTED TO REACH
ITS FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT.

* ROADS AND URBAN AREAS ALONG THE RIO CULEBRINAS MAY FLOOD WHEN THE
RIVER GOES OUT OF ITS BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

&&

LAT...LON 1838 6705 1833 6707 1839 6720 1841 6718
1842 6716

$$

JJA

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Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 15:11:23 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 15:11:23 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
452 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

PRC049-042345-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0245.141104T2052Z-141104T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CULEBRA PR-
452 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY...

IN PUERTO RICO
CULEBRA

* UNTIL 745 PM AST

* AT 449 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARDS THE ADVISORY AREA. THIS RAINFALL IN
ADDITION TO THE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED...WILL RESULT
IN URBAN FLOODING AND RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1834 6531 1835 6527 1834 6523 1831 6523
1829 6525 1830 6535 1836 6534

$$

23

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
446 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

VIC020-030-042345-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0244.141104T2046Z-141104T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAINT THOMAS VI-SAINT JOHN VI-
446 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS...

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN

* UNTIL 745 PM AST

* AT 444 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARDS THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO URBAN FLOODING AND RISES ON
SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1829 6470 1831 6479 1835 6480 1835 6484
1830 6481 1831 6486 1828 6489 1828 6490
1830 6488 1830 6496 1832 6497 1830 6500
1833 6498 1834 6509 1836 6506 1837 6469
1835 6466

$$

23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 15:24:54 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 4, 2014 15:24:54 GMT -6 Man, you have some action there today.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

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Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 4, 2014 20:54:05 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2014 20:54:05 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1046 PM AST TUE NOV 4 2014

.UPDATE...LOW PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES TO DIG OVER HAITI SENDING
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ABOVE
24 KFT. THE 05/00Z SOUNDING SHOWED 75 TO 90 PERCENT RELATIVE
HUMIDITY THROUGHOUT THE SOUNDING WITH A PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE
OF 2.16 INCHES. RAIN CLEARED OFF OF PUERTO RICO SHORTLY AFTER
SUNSET...ALTHOUGH SOME SHOWERS GRAZED THE EASTERN TIP. MUCH
HEAVIER AND MORE PERSISTENT RAIN MOVED OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS WITH MODERATE RAIN OVER MOST THE ISLANDS AT THIS TIME.
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES ALSO CONTINUE TO SEE LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
ALTHOUGH THAT IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR WITHIN A FEW HOURS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS HAVE ALSO BEGUN TO BUILD ABOUT 8 TO 10 MILES
NORTH OF THE PUERTO RICO MAINLAND COAST. AND WHILE CONSIDERABLE
LIGHTNING HAS BEEN OBSERVED EAST AND NORTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX WITH
A FEW STRIKES IN THE CARIBBEAN WATERS DURING THE LAST HOUR...NONE
HAS BEEN OBSERVED NORTH OF THE ISLANDS IN THE LOCAL WATERS DURING
THE EVENING SO FAR. RAIN WILL CONTINUE IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT AS THE RAIN BAND EAST OF THE SHEARLINE HAS
ALIGNED ITSELF OVER THEM...THOUGH THE RAIN WILL BE ONLY LIGHT TO
MODERATE. THE ATMOSPHERE...HOWEVER...CONTINUES TO BE VERY MOIST
AND ALTHOUGH THE LATEST ROUND OF SHOWERS HAS STABILIZED THE AIR IN
THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA LEAVING A LIFTED INDEX OF MINUS 2.8...THE
GENERAL TREND IS FOR MORE CONVECTION TO FORM. AT THIS TIME FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...BUT COULD DEVELOP
TOMORROW...THEREFORE WILL NOT TAKE DOWN THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH....BUT WILL ALLOW THE NEXT SHIFT TO DECIDE WHETHER TO EXTEND
IT. ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AND AS THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS WOULD CONTINUE TO EXPECT TO SEE MORE THAN
THE USUAL NUMBER OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...UNSTABLE WX CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS TAF SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH SHRA/TSRA OVER THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. PERIODS OF MVFR ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR TIST/TISX
OVERNIGHT AS LOWER VISIBILITY IS EXPECTED WITH THE RAIN. VCSH/VCTS
EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE LOCAL TERMINALS OVERNIGHT EXCEPT FOR
TJMZ. BKN-OVC SKIES WILL PREVAIL WITH A CEILING GENERALLY AT AROUND
FL060-080...TEMPO MVFR CEILINGS AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...AFTER A BRIEF MINIMUM IN WAVE HEIGHTS BELOW 6 FEET AT
BUOY 41053 AND BELOW 9 FEET AT BUOY 41043...SEAS HAVE INCREASED
AGAIN AT BUOY 41053 TO 6.5 FEET AND AT BUOY 41043 TO 10.5 FEET.
BOTH MAY BE A LITTLE HIGHER LATER TONIGHT AS MODELS SHOW A PEAK
LATE TONIGHT. HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
CONTINUES. MAXIMUM RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WOULD OCCUR
BETWEEN 6 AND 8 AM AST WEDNESDAY MORNING WHEN TIDES ARE A FEW
TENTHS OF A FOOT HIGHER THAN TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...THE CULEBRINAS RIVER CRESTED AT MOCA AT 24.66 FEET AT
6 PM AST AND HAS NOW DROPPED BELOW 15 FEET. THE CULEBRINAS RIVER
AT THE MARGARITA DAM CONTINUES TO RISE. IT PASSED FLOOD STAGE OF
15 FEET AROUND 7:45 PM AST AND SHOULD CREST WITHIN A FEW HOURS.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL 4:45 AM AST TO ALLOW
FOR ALL THE FLOOD WATERS TO REACH THE OCEAN AND FOR ROADS TO
DRAIN. ALL OTHER RIVERS ARE BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND NONE ARE
EXPECTED TO FLOOD TONIGHT.

Shoutbox

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lencast: Really would appreciate it. Thank you, Lena Sept 27, 2024 5:20:46 GMT -6

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Puerto Rico Weather

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