Puerto Rico Weather

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 5, 2014 4:21:24 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 5, 2014 4:21:24 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
530 AM AST WED NOV 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND WIDESPREAD CONVECTION SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN AND EXTENDING SOUTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS
AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS DUE TO THE INTERACTION OF MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY/SHEARLINE SAGGING
SOUTHWARDS ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND THE MONA PASSAGE... AND A DEEPENING
AND ELONGATED TUTT WHICH EXTENDS SOUTHWARDS FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUED TO SUGGEST
A TUTT LOW IS TO FORM JUST SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA BY EARLY THURSDAY THEN
SETTLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...BEFORE SLOWLY LIFTING NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. IN THE
MEANTIME AN INDUCED SURFACE TROUGH IS TO SLOWLY SHIFT WEST NORTHWEST
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AN INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE ELONGATED MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY AND DIG FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TODAY. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND STRONG DIFFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO
ENHANCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REGION DURING
THE DAY AND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. BROAD TUTT INDUCED SURFACE
TROUGH IS TO SHIFT WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY
IN TANDEM WITH THE DEVELOPING TUTT LOW EXPECTED TO FORM AND SETTLE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY THURSDAY. THE TUTT LOW IS TO THEN
LIFT NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION BY THE END OF THE WEEK WHILE
FILLING/WEAKENING.

ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN A SLIGHT DECREASE IN CONVECTION ACROSS MOST
OF THE ISLANDS DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS... THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT REMAINS HIGH LATER IN THE DAY.
ANOTHER ROUND OF DEEP CONVECTION IS FORECAST...AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THIS
WILL AGAIN LEAD TO PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS.

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUED TO SUGGEST MODERATE AMOUNTS OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. DUE TO THIS MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...THE
POTENTIAL FOR PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ISLANDS TODAY AND POSSIBLY
THROUGH THURSDAY. IN ADDITION SOILS REMAIN VERY SATURATED AND
UNSTABLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS DUE TO RECENT RAINS. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE THE SITUATION AND LEAD TO MUDSLIDE
AND ROCKFALL IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. FOR THIS REASON THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT AT LEAST UNTIL LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...AND COULD POSSIBLY BE EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY. HOWEVER
WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE ONGOING SITUATION...AND A
DECISION WILL BE MADE LATER ON IN THE DAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN NORMAL DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO THE CLOUDY SKIES AND THE OCCASIONAL RAINS.
FAIR AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TO RANGE BETWEEN 1.7
TO 2.0 INCHES OR SO. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT BUT
SOUTHERLY TODAY...GRADUALLY BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY THURSDAY AND
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO FILTER
IN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WHEN THE REGION RETURNS TO A MORE EASTERLY
WIND FLOW AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALOFT.

&&

.AVIATION...UNSTABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL
FLYING AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH SHRA/TSRA OVER THE
LOCAL AREA TODAY. PERIODS OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR TJMZ/TJBQ/TJPS THIS MORNING AS LOWER
VISIBILITY IS EXPECTED WITH THE RAIN. VCSH/VCTS EXPECTED FOR THE
REST OF THE LOCAL TERMINALS THIS MORNING. BKN-OVC SKIES WILL
PREVAIL WITH A CEILING GENERALLY AT AROUND FL060-080...TEMPO MVFR
CEILINGS AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...PULSES OF NORTH NORTHWEST SWELLS OF 7 TO 8 FEET WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY
AND THE MONA PASSAGE THROUGH TODAY. IN ADDITION A DEVELOPING UPPER
LOW PRESSURE JUST NORTH AND WEST OF THE REGION WILL AID IN ENHANCING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTLINES AT LEAST UNTIL THIS
EVENING. FOR THIS REASON A HIGH SURF ADVISORY AND A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER STATEMENTS AND COASTAL HAZARDS
MESSAGE...AS WELL AS THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE WFO SAN JUAN PR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 75 86 77 / 80 70 70 60
STT 87 77 88 79 / 70 70 70 70

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 5, 2014 10:28:46 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 5, 2014 10:28:46 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1211 PM AST WED NOV 5 2014

.UPDATE...AN INDUCED SURFACE TROUGH...ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST TONIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. AS THIS FEATURE MOVES WEST...AND AWAY FROM THE
LOCAL AREA...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING RAINS WILL
SLOWLY DECREASE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
HOWEVER...THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS...THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.

DUE TO ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...ANY ADDITIONAL PROLONGED
RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS...
DRY GUTS AND RIVERS AS WELL AS INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AT ALL PR AND
USVI TERMINALS AS A SURFACE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. AT LEEWARD TERMINALS
MOSTLY VFR. SOUTHERLY WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BUT HIGHER NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...PULSES OF NORTHERLY SWELLS OF 7 TO 8 FEET WILL CONTINUE
TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING...BUT
SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT. DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE JUST
NORTH AND WEST OF THE REGION WILL AID IN ENHANCING THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY LIKELY TO BE EXTENDED TIL EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM OFFSHORE ATLANTIC BUOY. THE
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH LIKELY TO BE CANCELLED SHORTLY. SCA REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS.

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 5, 2014 13:24:50 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 5, 2014 13:24:50 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
316 PM AST WED NOV 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED LOW...NOW LOCATED
OVER THE HISPANIOLA...WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER WEST OF THE AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY. AN INDUCED SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE LOCAL AREA
WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN INDUCED SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE LOCAL AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST...AND AWAY FORM THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. AS THIS FEATURE MOVES WEST...THE POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING RAINS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. HOWEVER...TROUGH ALOFT AND
ASSOCIATED LOW...WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER WEST OF THE AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS...INTERACTING WITH DEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO
PRODUCE ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

DUE TO ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...ANY ADDITIONAL PROLONGED RAINFALL
MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS...DRY GUTS
AND RIVERS AS WELL AS INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES IN
AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED...ANY ADDITIONAL FLOODING...WILL
BE HANDLED WITH THE REGULAR SHORT TERM PRODUCTS...SUCH AS URBAN
FLOOD ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS...
IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO. THEREFORE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL
EXPIRE THIS EVENING.

A SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO FILTER IN BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK WHEN THE REGION RETURNS TO A MORE EASTERLY WIND FLOW AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ALOFT.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AT ALL PR AND
USVI TERMINALS AS A SURFACE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MOVE AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA. AT LEEWARD
TERMINALS MOSTLY VFR. SOUTHERLY WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BUT HIGHER
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...PULSES OF NORTHERLY SWELLS OF 7 TO 8 FEET WILL CONTINUE
TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING...
AND SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT. UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE JUST NORTH AND
WEST OF THE REGION WILL AID IN ENHANCING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 73 85 74 87 / 70 70 60 30
STT 72 85 77 85 / 80 70 70 30

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 6, 2014 4:49:12 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 6, 2014 4:49:12 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
517 AM AST THU NOV 6 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW SOUTH OF THE HISPANIOLA AND JUST WEST
OF THE REGION...ALONG WITH THE BROAD SURFACE TROUGH SPREAD ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA... WILL MAINTAIN A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND POSSIBLE
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND
AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS ACROSS MOST OF THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING
WATERS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOWED DEEP LAYERED
MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE REGION. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA MAINTAINED A DIFFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT...WHILE THE BROAD
SURFACE AND MID LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUED TO INDUCE A MOIST SOUTH TO
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. THIS OVERALL PATTERN HAS
CONTINUED TO ENHANCE LOCAL CONVECTION AND PRODUCE SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF THE WEST...
SOUTH AND EAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

ALTHOUGH THE HAS BEEN A LULL IN SHOWERS ACTIVITY OVER LAND AREAS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...EXPECT THE OCCASIONAL BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER
TODAY...AND THE ALREADY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS TO ALLOW FOR ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE
ISLANDS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL HOWEVER IS NOT EXPECTED BUT SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH FOR SCATTERED TO
ISOLATED CONVECTION...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES.

ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AND THIS WILL AGAIN BE ENHANCED BY THE
UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH WHICH IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING/FILLING. LESSER
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY BUT LOCAL FORCING...DIURNAL EFFECTS
AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AVAILABILITY...WILL STILL GIVE WAY TO AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SO FAR MODELS
SUGGEST IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION AND MOISTURE ADVECTION DECREASES.

&&

.AVIATION...CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AND UNSTABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL FLYING AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
WITH SHRA/ ISOLD TSRA FCST TO MOVE ACROSS THE OVR THE LOCAL AREA
FROM TIME TO TIME. PERIODS OF MVFR/PSBL IFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED FOR
TJMZ/TJBQ/TJPS THIS MORNING AS LOWER VIS/CIGS IS EXPECTED WITH THE
APPROACHING SHRA/ISOLD TSTMS. VCSH/VCTS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF
THE LOCAL TERMINALS TIL AT LEAST 06/17Z WITH TEMPO MVFR EN ROUTE
BTW ISLANDS. SCT-BKN CLD LYRS BTW FL020-FL080...BKN-OVC LYRS MAINLY
BTW FL100-FL250...FEW CB EN ROUTE BTW ERN PR AND USVI...ISOLD TSRA
NE-E-S OF PR TIL 06/15Z.

&&

.MARINE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS CANCELLED THE
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA
AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. MODEL GUIDANCE AS WELL AS THE LATEST
BUOY DATA AND OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE SEAS AND SWELL ACTION CONTINUE
TO SUBSIDE AND WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
HOWEVER...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND FOR THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC
UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER
MESSAGE AND COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 85 72 88 74 / 70 40 60 40
STT 87 78 88 77 / 60 60 60 60

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 4:36:27 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 4:36:27 GMT -6

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
745 PM AST THU NOV 6 2014

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-071200-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0006.141107T1200Z-141108T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
745 PM AST THU NOV 6 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

* FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE LOADED WITH MOISTURE WILL INTERACT WITH A
STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW TO BRING WIDESPREAD AREAS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCAL AREAS OF 3...TO AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES.

* SOME MAINSTEM RIVERS MAY FLOOD...SOME HIGHWAYS MAY HAVE TO BE
CLOSED DUE TO RISING WATERS. SOME STEEP TERRAIN MAY EXPERIENCE
MUDSLIDES. AT THIS TIME WESTERN PUERTO RICO IS EXPECTED TO
EXPERIENCE THE GREATEST RAINFALL DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS...BUT THUNDERSTORMS COULD PROVOKE FLOODING IN ANY
LOCAL AREA OF PUERTO RICO OR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS DEPENDING
ON HOW CONVECTION SETS UP.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

SNELL

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Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 4:43:41 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 4:43:41 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
530 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW SOUTH OF HAITI AND ASSOCIATED DEEP
LAYERED TROUGH CONTINUED TO MEANDER ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND
JUST WEST OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE AND
ASSOCIATED TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY BEFORE WEAKENING.
CONSEQUENTLY...VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENT PATTERN CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN AND LOCAL REGION. AT THE LOW LEVELS...A BROAD SURFACE
TROUGH ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN BASIN AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUED TO CROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES AND MOVE
ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY WHILE INTERACTING WITH THE MID TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND THE CUTOFF LOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED CONSIDERABLE AMOUNTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
BEING LIFTED NORTHWARDS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE VISIBLE PROPAGATING NORTHWARDS ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS AND MOVING TOWARDS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. SO FAR MOSTLY
LIGHT TO MODERATE BUT PERSISTENT RAINFALL HAVE BEEN AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF WEST AND SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO...AND TO A LESSER DEGREE
PARTS OF THE EAST COASTAL SECTIONS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND SOME OF
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FREQUENT AND INTENSE LIGHTNING WAS ALSO NOTED
ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE...AS WELL AS OVER THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC
AND SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN WATERS WHERE THE DEEPEST CONVECTION HAS SO
FAR BEEN OCCURRING.

BOTH THE LATEST SATELLITE BLENDED PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT AND GFS
LAYERED PRECIPITABLE WATERS MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUED TO SUGGEST DEEP
MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE REGION WITH VALUES RANGING BETWEEN 1.8
TO 2.2 INCHES TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ALL INDICATIONS ARE
THAT THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION OF MOISTURE AND DEEPEST CONVECTION IS
STILL EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS SIGNIFICANTLY HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT AND THE VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS DUE TO
THE AFOREMENTIONED WEATHER FEATURES WILL MAINTAIN HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
VERY ACTIVE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ISLANDS AND LOCAL WATERS
TODAY AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. LATER THIS MORNING AND
INTO THE EVENING HOURS....THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER LAND...AS WELL
AS THE POSSIBILITY OF DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IN SOME
AREAS ESPECIALLY OVER PUERTO RICO WHERE LOCAL FORCING WILL BE STRONGER.
THE STRONG CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO BEGIN ENTERING PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO AS WELL AS SAINT CROIX AND VIEQUES... THEN
SPREAD NORTHWARDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND DURING THE
REST OF THE DAY. FOR THIS REASON A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL GO INTO
EFFECT FROM 8 AM AST TODAY AND CONTINUE UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. REMAIN ALERT AND STAY
TUNED FOR FURTHER WEATHER UPDATES OR CHANGES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE WFO SAN JUAN OFFICE DURING THE REST OF THE DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...ABUNDANT CLOUDS AND VERY ACTIVE WEATHER CONDS ACROSS THE
FLYING AREA DURG THE FCST PRD. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/ISOLD TSRA WILL LEAD
TO TEMPO MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDS EN ROUTE BTW ISLANDS AS WELL AS VCTY
TJPS...TJSJ... TIST...TISX THE REST OF THE DAY. REDUCED VIS/CIGS AND
MTN TOP OBSCR EXPECTED IN PRDS OF SHRA/TSRA AND LOW SCUD CLDS. EXPECT
VCSH/VCTS FOR THE THE REMAINDER TAF SITES TIL 07/16Z. AFT 07/16Z...
WIDESPREAD TSRA/SHRA IS FCST OVR RGN...WITH PRDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND
MVFR/IFR CONDS ESPECIALLY AT TJSJ... TJMZ...TJBQ. WINDS FROM THE SE
AT 10 KTS...GUSTY AND VARIABLE NEAR TSRA. SCT-BKN CLD LYRS BTW
FL020-FL100...BKN-OVC BTW FL120-FL250 EN ROUTE BTW HISPANIOLA AND
PR. DEEP CONVECTION FQT LTG EN ROUTE BTW DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND W PR
AND S OF PR...MAX TOPS NR FL400 DURG THE MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...LOCAL WFO SAN JUAN DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED INCREASING
THUNDERSTORMS WITH AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND SQUALLY CONDITIONS
MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST ACROSS THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN
WATERS AS WELL AS THE MONA PASSAGE. AREAS OF FREQUENT AND INTENSE
LIGHTNING WAS ALSO OBSERVED ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THE MONA PASSAGE. DURING THE REST
OF THE DAY AN INTO THE EVENING HOURS...EXPECT HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS
WITH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY
HIGHER SEAS... OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS AND AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
ACROSS MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST COASTAL
WATERS FORECAST AND SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WFO SAN JUAN PR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 73 88 76 / 90 90 50 20
STT 88 77 88 79 / 90 90 60 40

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 5:36:08 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 5:36:08 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
728 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

VIC010-071430-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0250.141107T1128Z-141107T1430Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAINT CROIX VI-
728 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLAND...

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 1030 AM AST

* AT 723 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS...WITH
SOME EMBEDDED HEAVY RAIN...MOVING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND GUTS...AND LOW SPOTS IN HIGHWAYS. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS
AND LAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING
AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN
AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1774 6458 1768 6474 1767 6491 1770 6489
1776 6490 1778 6488 1777 6483 1779 6478
1776 6470 1777 6462 1779 6464 1780 6461
1776 6460 1776 6456

$$

AAS

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 6:10:02 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 6:10:02 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
748 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

PRC029-031-037-053-063-069-077-085-087-089-103-119-139-071545-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0252.141107T1148Z-141107T1545Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CANOVANAS PR-CEIBA PR-GURABO PR-NAGUABO PR-JUNCOS PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-
TRUJILLO ALTO PR-FAJARDO PR-CAROLINA PR-LUQUILLO PR-HUMACAO PR-
RIO GRANDE PR-LOIZA PR-
748 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CANOVANAS...CEIBA...GURABO...NAGUABO...JUNCOS...LAS PIEDRAS...
TRUJILLO ALTO...FAJARDO...CAROLINA...LUQUILLO...HUMACAO...RIO
GRANDE AND LOIZA

* UNTIL 1145 AM AST

* AT 746 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY RAIN...MOVING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.
THIS RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AS WELL AS SMALL STREAM.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS
AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK AND
MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1841 6575 1838 6570 1838 6563 1831 6561
1832 6562 1827 6562 1826 6559 1824 6558
1817 6569 1818 6572 1815 6572 1815 6575
1811 6577 1808 6581 1833 6602 1840 6599
1847 6600

$$

CASTRO

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
743 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

VIC020-030-071445-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0251.141107T1143Z-141107T1445Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAINT THOMAS VI-SAINT JOHN VI-
743 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS...

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN

* UNTIL 1045 AM AST

* AT 742 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS...WITH
EMBEDDED HEAVY RAIN...MOVING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND GUTS...AND LOW SPOTS IN HIGHWAYS. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS
AND LAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING
AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN
AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1830 6477 1835 6484 1829 6481 1831 6486
1827 6490 1830 6488 1832 6497 1830 6501
1833 6498 1834 6509 1842 6505 1837 6505
1837 6501 1841 6498 1839 6492 1842 6490
1838 6491 1836 6488 1838 6471 1832 6464

$$

AAS

Deleted Posts: 0	Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 6:42:38 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 6:42:38 GMT -6 This is what PR is dealing with today.

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 6:49:43 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 6:49:43 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
847 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

PRC007-021-025-033-061-127-137-071645-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0254.141107T1247Z-141107T1645Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-CAGUAS PR-GUAYNABO PR-SAN JUAN PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-
CATANO PR-TOA BAJA PR-
847 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...CAGUAS...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...AGUAS BUENAS...CATANO
AND TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 1245 PM AST

* AT 846 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY RAIN...MOVING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.
THIS RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AS WELL AS SMALL STREAM.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1847 6617 1846 6617 1846 6604 1844 6604
1841 6600 1838 6601 1837 6604 1831 6604
1831 6602 1827 6602 1819 6605 1823 6616
1839 6620 1840 6622 1845 6624 1848 6621

$$

CASTRO

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
840 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

PRC013-017-039-054-091-141-071545-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0253.141107T1240Z-141107T1545Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARCELONETA PR-CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-MANATI PR-UTUADO PR-ARECIBO PR-
840 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARCELONETA...CIALES...FLORIDA...MANATI...UTUADO AND ARECIBO

* UNTIL 1145 AM AST

* AT 839 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY RAIN...MOVING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.
THIS RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AS WELL AS SMALL STREAM.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1848 6648 1828 6648 1828 6656 1830 6657
1828 6658 1828 6660 1827 6671 1848 6674
1848 6672 1849 6670 1849 6652

$$

AAS

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Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 7:58:44 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 7:58:44 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
951 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

PRC019-045-047-051-101-105-107-135-143-145-071645-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0255.141107T1351Z-141107T1645Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRANQUITAS PR-COMERIO PR-COROZAL PR-MOROVIS PR-NARANJITO PR-
OROCOVIS PR-VEGA ALTA PR-DORADO PR-TOA ALTA PR-VEGA BAJA PR-
951 AM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARRANQUITAS...COMERIO...COROZAL...MOROVIS...NARANJITO...
OROCOVIS...VEGA ALTA...DORADO...TOA ALTA AND VEGA BAJA

* UNTIL 1245 PM AST

* AT 949 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY RAIN...MOVING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.
THIS RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AS WELL AS SMALL STREAM.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1845 6623 1845 6626 1842 6626 1840 6625
1839 6622 1834 6620 1829 6621 1822 6617
1818 6636 1819 6650 1825 6646 1836 6647
1838 6644 1848 6643 1848 6624

$$

CASTRO

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 10:57:21 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 7, 2014 10:57:21 GMT -6

For Luis...just not in Puerto Rico

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1233 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT THOMAS
SAINT JOHN

* UNTIL 230 PM AST

* AT 1223 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO THE WARNED AREA...ONE AND ONE HALF
TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN...AND THIS HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 130 PM AST...THEREFORE A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

Last Edit: Nov 7, 2014 10:57:45 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

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Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 11:32:54 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 11:32:54 GMT -6

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
120 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

PRC025-029-063-077-129-072315-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0009.141107T1720Z-141107T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAGUAS PR-CANOVANAS PR-GURABO PR-JUNCOS PR-SAN LORENZO PR-
120 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
CAGUAS...CANOVANAS...GURABO...JUNCOS AND SAN LORENZO
MUNICIPALITIES IN PUERTO RICO...

* UNTIL 715 PM AST

* AT 108 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE RAINFALL MOVING OVER THE
WARNED AREA...TWO AND ONE HALF TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY
FALLEN...AND MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON...THEREFORE...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR THE RIO GRANDE DE LOIZA AND ITS TRIBUTARIES UP TO
CARRAIZO DAM...AT LEAST UNTIL 715 PM AST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1824 6588 1826 6585 1823 6586 1817 6592
1809 6594 1811 6601 1810 6604 1812 6606
1816 6607 1827 6603 1829 6594

$$

AAS

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Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 11:42:13 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 11:42:13 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
132 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

PRC015-057-095-109-151-072030-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0257.141107T1732Z-141107T2030Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ARROYO PR-GUAYAMA PR-MAUNABO PR-PATILLAS PR-YABUCOA PR-
132 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
ARROYO...GUAYAMA...MAUNABO...PATILLAS AND YABUCOA

* UNTIL 430 PM AST

* AT 128 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS...WITH POCKETS OF
MODERATE RAIN...MOVING OVER THE ADVISORY AREA. USGS RAIN GAGES HAVE
RECORDED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES IN THE PAST
FOUR HOURS...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS
AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK AND
MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1793 6618 1810 6605 1810 6602 1808 6602
1809 6598 1807 6582 1800 6585 1796 6592
1796 6599 1797 6602 1795 6604 1796 6608
1793 6614

$$

AAS

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
130 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

VIC010-072030-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0256.141107T1730Z-141107T2030Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAINT CROIX VI-
130 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLAND...

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 430 PM AST

* AT 127 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATED AREAS OF
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING SAINT CROIX.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE INTO
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THEREFORE...THE URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH AT LEAST 430 PM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND GUTS...
AND LOW SPOTS IN HIGHWAYS. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1768 6474 1767 6491 1770 6489 1776 6490
1778 6488 1777 6483 1779 6478 1776 6470
1777 6463 1777 6462 1779 6464 1780 6461
1778 6460 1777 6462 1776 6456

$$

FC

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Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Nov 7, 2014 11:50:33 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 11:50:33 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
146 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

PRC029-031-037-053-063-069-077-085-087-089-103-119-139-072145-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0259.141107T1746Z-141107T2145Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CANOVANAS PR-CEIBA PR-GURABO PR-NAGUABO PR-JUNCOS PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-
TRUJILLO ALTO PR-FAJARDO PR-CAROLINA PR-LUQUILLO PR-HUMACAO PR-
RIO GRANDE PR-LOIZA PR-
146 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CANOVANAS...CEIBA...GURABO...NAGUABO...JUNCOS...LAS PIEDRAS...
TRUJILLO ALTO...FAJARDO...CAROLINA...LUQUILLO...HUMACAO...RIO
GRANDE AND LOIZA

* UNTIL 545 PM AST

* AT 146 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATED AREAS OF
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING THESE MUNICIPALITIES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE INTO
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THEREFORE...THE URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH AT LEAST 545 PM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS
AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK AND
MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1841 6576 1838 6570 1838 6563 1827 6562
1826 6559 1824 6558 1817 6569 1818 6572
1815 6572 1815 6576 1811 6577 1808 6581
1833 6602 1840 6599 1846 6600

$$

CASTRO

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
144 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

PRC013-017-039-054-073-091-141-072045-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0258.141107T1744Z-141107T2045Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARCELONETA PR-CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-JAYUYA PR-MANATI PR-UTUADO PR-
ARECIBO PR-
144 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARCELONETA...CIALES...FLORIDA...JAYUYA...MANATI...UTUADO AND
ARECIBO

* UNTIL 445 PM AST

* AT 144 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATED AREAS OF
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING THESE MUNICIPALITIES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE INTO
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THEREFORE...THE URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH AT LEAST 445 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1848 6648 1828 6648 1828 6656 1830 6657
1828 6658 1827 6671 1848 6674 1848 6672
1849 6670 1849 6652

$$

FC

Shoutbox

northshoreelise: not on the 12z... Oct 10, 2024 12:15:21 GMT -6

lencast: Really would appreciate it. Thank you, Lena Sept 27, 2024 5:20:46 GMT -6

lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

rebekahb-Metairie: Looks like it but I wait for the better trained eyes on the forum to respond. Sept 9, 2024 18:52:32 GMT -6

jdschlum-bedico/village of bo: Look further east than the 12z plots don’t it Sept 9, 2024 18:49:34 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Oh sorry guys! I didn't eve see these new messages down here lol Jul 26, 2024 13:14:47 GMT -6

jenniqtip: Just as soon as* sry fat finger Jul 7, 2024 12:53:35 GMT -6

jenniqtip: I donate every year. 😀ju sry as soon as the first area of interest pops up!! I rarely post though so the tag isn’t necessary. Just know I appreciate everything you do!! Jul 7, 2024 12:53:12 GMT -6

larcat: SKYSUMMIT You can slap one on me

Jul 7, 2024 12:12:03 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Thanks laismyhome ! Also, if there is anyone who has donated that has not been given the Supporter tag, please let us know. Jul 7, 2024 4:00:50 GMT -6

laismyhome: Here's a friendly reminder to go make a donation to support this forum that is so full of valuable reliable info. Link to donate is on homepage Jul 2, 2024 9:55:24 GMT -6

Deleted: Ernesto gonna mog hard.
I'm voting Alberto, Ernesto, Rafael and Deshawn Apr 1, 2024 19:15:21 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: ShanaBanana Yes...just click the link and then send a PM to either TIgergirl or myself. I can then shoot her a text letting her know and I'll add your supporter tag. THANK YOU!!!! Sept 23, 2023 16:08:37 GMT -6

ShanaBanana: At the risk of this being a dumb question. In order to donate, do I follow the instructions when I click “donate”, and then message tigergirl? I see people comment here that they donated, so I wasn’t sure if that had changed. Sept 20, 2023 10:54:40 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Great to have you back! Sept 11, 2023 12:20:30 GMT -6

virginialee: Hi Skysummit: I was part of this back at the beginning. So happy to be back. Sept 8, 2023 5:08:12 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Thanks to everyone who has recently donated! If I missed anyone and you still need a Supporter Tag, let me know. Sept 7, 2023 13:20:10 GMT -6

akeller11: Just donated Sept 6, 2023 11:11:36 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Thanks guys and gals! You're very much appreciated! Aug 30, 2023 11:48:38 GMT -6

Puerto Rico Weather

Post by Deleted on Nov 5, 2014 4:21:24 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Nov 5, 2014 10:28:46 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Nov 5, 2014 13:24:50 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Nov 6, 2014 4:49:12 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 4:36:27 GMT -6

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Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 6:42:38 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 6:49:43 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 7:58:44 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 7, 2014 10:57:21 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 11:32:54 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 11:42:13 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2014 11:50:33 GMT -6

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