I keep saying that due to the +NAO the deep south did not see temps as cold as Feb '96 & Dec '89, the last time Nola got down into the teens. Here in central FL temps did not get anywhere close to Dec '10 the last time Orlando got down into the 20s for multiple days.
I was able to get out of Savannah yesterday around noon, the streets on the way to Interstate were still very icy but the Interstates were all cleared from the ice and snow by the snow plows the state of GA sent down from the northern part of the state, they even salted them! At 2 pm the trees along the Interstate were still covered in ice from the freezing rain the day before.
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Looking dry from a rain perspective through mid week. Models show a trough swinging through Thursday into Friday. There's a big difference between the GFS and ECMWF in terms of the base of this trough. The GFS is open and quite progessive on Friday which would be a shower/thunderstorm type scenario. The ECMWF closed off a low right over the Gulf Coast. This is a more typical snow setup. 7 days out and very different model solutions lead to very low confidence is next week's long-term forecast.
1 week from today:
Last Edit: Jan 5, 2018 10:40:39 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT
Looking dry from a rain perspective through mid week. Models show a trough swinging through Thursday into Friday. There's a big difference between the GFS and ECMWF in terms of the base of this trough. The GFS is open and quite progessive on Friday which would be a shower/thunderstorm type scenario. The ECMWF closed off a low right over the Gulf Coast. This is a more typical snow setup. 7 days out and very different model solutions lead to very low confidence is next week's long-term forecast.
Looking dry from a rain perspective through mid week. Models show a trough swinging through Thursday into Friday. There's a big difference between the GFS and ECMWF in terms of the base of this trough. The GFS is open and quite progessive on Friday which would be a shower/thunderstorm type scenario. The ECMWF closed off a low right over the Gulf Coast. This is a more typical snow setup. 7 days out and very different model solutions lead to very low confidence is next week's long-term forecast.
What's crazier than the EURO seeing snow, is how the NWS actually mentions it but doesn't discount it. They just say how the EURO and GFS show two completely different set ups and the long term forecast is of low confidence.
