HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS)

The upper Texas coast appears to be the potential landfall if and when something happens. That’s loosely the 5-7 day range. IMO that is where you want to be at that point in the “cone” because historically there is significant error and it winds up somewhere else. Models are getting better and I believe NHC is really nailing it in the 3-4 day range. So does this mean it will wind up further south in Texas or Louisiana? My guess at this point would be on the N side near W Louisiana. Just don’t see steering that far west. Also, Louisiana had a rather dry June and nature has a way of correcting itself.

Since when is 4in above normal precipitation dry? Because west of the atchafalya up to Alexandria definitely wasn’t dry

So what is it thinking will steer it so far to the west and keep it south like that? Is there a high pressure sitting and strengthening over the southeast US at that time or something?

Still has it moving almost due west so far out to Friday if my measurements are correct.

Regarding Louisiana rainfall in June the SE part of the state had below normal rainfall. About 4 inches for the month compared to a normal 8-9 inches at the airport. In fact the drought monitoring had us in a yellow ( dry) depiction a few weeks back. Still overall dry in this region although there have been some isolated storms driven by this excessive heat. I should have been more specific .

As a matter of fact extreme SE Louisiana is still considered abnormally dry per the US drought monitor. Look it up.