A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, central and southern Florida, and western Cuba. Gradual development of this system is possible while it moves west-northwestward, and a tropical depression could form during the next few days. This disturbance is expected to move over the central Gulf today, and reach the northwestern Gulf on Thursday and Friday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Last Edit: Jul 22, 2020 6:33:38 GMT -6 by hurricaner
What can Louisiana expect from this system? Assuming conditions would be worse if it becomes a named system?
it gaining a name wont nessessarily mean worse conditions. Although if it reaches named status, it has organized better. SELA should see rain and some gusty winds, and a little worse for SWLA. Main threat will be heavy rains, gusty conditions, and with tropical systems, a fast moving tornado can spawn up.
Post by thibodauxwx on Jul 22, 2020 11:48:01 GMT -6
Zack posted this a few minutes ago on facebook: HANNA IN THE GULF? Certainly looks like a Tropical Depression or maybe even Hanna may be on the way soon over the Gulf. Hurricanes hunters are taking off now to investigate but satellite doesn't lie, organization is happening at the moment. Our potential impacts remain the same as this system stays weak heading to Texas. A wet pattern is on the way!
Post by hurricaner on Jul 22, 2020 11:53:35 GMT -6
Invest 91L is now red with 70/80%.
Recent satellite wind data indicate that a broad low pressure area has formed in association with the tropical wave over the central Gulf of Mexico. However, the accompanying shower and thunderstorm activity is currently poorly organized. Conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two as the system moves west- northwestward at about 10 mph. Interests in the western Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system, as watches or warnings could be required for portions of the coasts of Texas and Louisiana later today or tonight. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Last Edit: Jul 22, 2020 11:54:20 GMT -6 by hurricaner