TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE Discussion Thread

2. A tropical wave located off the coast of west Africa is merging with
another disturbance located a couple of hundred miles south of the
Cabo Verde Islands, resulting in an extensive area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is likely to
be slow during the next couple of days while it moves west-
northwestward at about 15 mph, and a tropical depression is more
likely to form early next week over the central tropical Atlantic
where environmental conditions are forecast to be more favorable
for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

92L should be a TD tonight or in the morning.


Thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low pressure
system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the
northern Leeward Islands continues to get better organized. A
tropical depression is expected to form later tonight or on Monday
while the low moves westward or west-northwestward across the
central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

Tropical Depression Seventeen Advisory Number 1

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
1100 PM AST Sun Sep 06 2020


...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY...



SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 41.5W
ABOUT 1160 MI...1865 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1425 MI...2290 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

Looks like the models have everything just swirling in the Atlantic. We all get laughed at some times. Questions are good.

Tropical Depression Seventeen Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
500 AM AST Mon Sep 07 2020


...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...



SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 42.1W
ABOUT 1200 MI...1930 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1380 MI...2225 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

It is also the earliest 16th named storm of any Atlantic season by 10 days. The previous record was Philippe, which formed on September 17, 2005.

All you did was ask the question that running through everyone's brains right now! Thanks for taking one for the home team!