2. A tropical wave located off the coast of west Africa is merging with another disturbance located a couple of hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands, resulting in an extensive area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is likely to be slow during the next couple of days while it moves west- northwestward at about 15 mph, and a tropical depression is more likely to form early next week over the central tropical Atlantic where environmental conditions are forecast to be more favorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Post by hurricaner on Sept 6, 2020 11:47:27 GMT -6
Invest 92L is close to being our next TD.
An area of low pressure located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better defined. However, the associated showers and thunderstorms are still not well organized. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or on Monday while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Last Edit: Sept 6, 2020 11:47:56 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Post by hurricaner on Sept 6, 2020 17:57:01 GMT -6
92L should be a TD tonight or in the morning.
Thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low pressure system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the northern Leeward Islands continues to get better organized. A tropical depression is expected to form later tonight or on Monday while the low moves westward or west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
Last Edit: Sept 6, 2020 17:57:40 GMT -6 by hurricaner
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Post by hurricaner on Sept 6, 2020 21:09:40 GMT -6
Tropical Depression Seventeen Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 06 2020
...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 41.5W ABOUT 1160 MI...1865 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1425 MI...2290 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
Last Edit: Sept 6, 2020 21:10:07 GMT -6 by hurricaner
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 06 2020
...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 41.5W ABOUT 1160 MI...1865 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1425 MI...2290 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
I know y’all laugh at people like me, but what are the chances of this getting into the gulf?
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 06 2020
...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 41.5W ABOUT 1160 MI...1865 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1425 MI...2290 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
I know y’all laugh at people like me, but what are the chances of this getting into the gulf?
Looks like the models have everything just swirling in the Atlantic. We all get laughed at some times. Questions are good.
SKYSUMMIT President | Director of OperationsAdministrator
Tropical Depression Seventeen Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 500 AM AST Mon Sep 07 2020
...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 42.1W ABOUT 1200 MI...1930 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1380 MI...2225 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
Last Edit: Sept 7, 2020 6:36:53 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 07 2020
...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 42.2W ABOUT 1205 MI...1940 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1375 MI...2215 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
Last Edit: Sept 7, 2020 8:39:19 GMT -6 by hurricaner
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 06 2020
...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 41.5W ABOUT 1160 MI...1865 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1425 MI...2290 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
I know y’all laugh at people like me, but what are the chances of this getting into the gulf?