Post by hurricaner on Oct 16, 2020 14:43:43 GMT -6
On of the new disturbances is now Invest 94L.
Shower activity associated with a broad non-tropical low pressure system located about 600 miles east-southeast of Bermuda is continuing to become better organized, and satellite wind data indicates that the circulation has become somewhat better defined. Additional development of this system is expected, and a subtropical or tropical depression could form during the next few days while the low meanders over the central Atlantic well to the southeast of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Last Edit: Oct 25, 2020 20:55:00 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT
Post by hurricaner on Oct 16, 2020 19:13:49 GMT -6
Invest 94L is now red.
Satellite images indicate that the circulation of a non-tropical low pressure system located about 550 miles east-southeast of Bermuda continues to become better defined, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little more organized. Additional development of this system is expected, and a subtropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the low meanders well to the southeast of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Last Edit: Oct 16, 2020 19:14:18 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Post by hurricaner on Oct 16, 2020 23:23:27 GMT -6
Now up to 80%
Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better organized in association with a non-tropical low pressure system located about 500 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Although the circulation is still somewhat elongated, the center appears better defined than it was yesterday. Continued slow development is expected, and a subtropical depression or storm is likely to form during the next couple of days while the low meanders well to the southeast of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Last Edit: Oct 16, 2020 23:23:43 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in association with a non-tropical low pressure system located about 500 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Continued slow development is expected, and a subtropical depression or storm is very likely to form during the next day or two while the low meanders well to the southeast of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Last Edit: Oct 17, 2020 5:48:48 GMT -6 by hurricaner
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Tropical Depression Twenty-Seven Special Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 800 AM AST Mon Oct 19 2020
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.8N 55.5W ABOUT 720 MI...1155 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
Post by crashtestdummy on Oct 19, 2020 14:48:54 GMT -6
Looks, so far, to be a fish. It will be refreshing to just sit back and watch it develop and not have to worry about whether or not it will run over us, or friends/relatives for a change.
Post by hurricaner on Oct 20, 2020 10:03:07 GMT -6
Tropical Storm Epsilon Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 20 2020
...EPSILON TURNS NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR BERMUDA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.5N 55.0W ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Bermuda.
Last Edit: Oct 20, 2020 10:03:51 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Post by hurricaner on Oct 20, 2020 12:31:01 GMT -6
Tropical Storm Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 200 PM AST Tue Oct 20 2020
...EPSILON SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND BETTER ORGANIZED...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.2N 55.4W ABOUT 675 MI...1085 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
Last Edit: Oct 20, 2020 12:31:23 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Post by hurricaner on Oct 20, 2020 15:41:01 GMT -6
Tropical Storm Epsilon Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 PM AST Tue Oct 20 2020
...EPSILON CONTINUES STRENGTHENING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.9N 55.8W ABOUT 615 MI...995 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
Last Edit: Oct 20, 2020 15:41:23 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Post by crashtestdummy on Oct 21, 2020 6:19:37 GMT -6
And yet another hurricane for the year:
000 WTNT32 KNHC 211142 TCPAT2
BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 9A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 800 AM AST Wed Oct 21 2020
...EPSILON COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE MORE TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.9N 58.8W ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Epsilon was located by satellite images near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 58.8 West. Epsilon has taken a westward jog this morning but is generally moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west-northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected today. A turn toward the northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north by Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda Thursday afternoon or evening.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today, followed by little change in strength into the weekend.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 435 miles (705 km) mainly to the north of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
Post by hurricaner on Oct 21, 2020 12:28:52 GMT -6
Epsilion is getting close to major hurricane status.
Hurricane Epsilon Special Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 200 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2020
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS EPSILON IS STILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING... ...COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.4N 59.7W ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
Last Edit: Oct 21, 2020 12:29:50 GMT -6 by hurricaner