The disturbance in the eastern Caribbean is now Invest 96L and the percentages are increasing.
Shower activity associated with a large area of disturbed weather over the Lesser Antilles and the eastern Caribbean Sea has become a little more concentrated this evening. Conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this disturbance during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the time the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Last Edit: Nov 13, 2020 8:02:21 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT
Post by hurricaner on Oct 30, 2020 18:13:12 GMT -6
Invest 96L is getting closer.
A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms. This system is slowly becoming better organized, and conditions appear conducive for further development. A tropical depression is likely to form this weekend as the system moves westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of the ABC islands and Jamaica through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Last Edit: Oct 30, 2020 18:13:51 GMT -6 by hurricaner
It sure looks like at least a depression on satellite this morning. There is something about the Caribbean this time of the year that makes these these storms spin up quick tight circulations.
Goes right up the spine of Florida. I am going to Disney on the 7th. 2020 getting crappier by the model run. So now I’m wishcasting either over Cuba and out to the Atlantic or, sorry to say, more toward the panhandle. Ugh
Goes right up the spine of Florida. I am going to Disney on the 7th. 2020 getting crappier by the model run. So now I’m wishcasting either over Cuba and out to the Atlantic or, sorry to say, more toward the panhandle. Ugh
What are we thinking on this one?
This is prob making the wishcasters on another board who were so desperate to get a storm into Florida excited
Post by grisairgasm on Oct 31, 2020 11:36:34 GMT -6
It’s early in the game but not by much. Weather comes in patterns often as I’ve said with LA this year. That is still in the Gulf and would just take a little more ridging to turn it more W. Saw the NOAA temp outlooks for the next week after this coming front mid week. Entire SE looks to be well above normal after that. What can that only mean in November? A S,SE, or E winds connecting us back to the Gulf while waiting on another late trough to keep winter progression going. I trust nothing right now.
Last Edit: Oct 31, 2020 11:45:17 GMT -6 by grisairgasm