Hurricane Eta Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 1000 AM EST Mon Nov 02 2020
...ETA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE SOON... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 81.5W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM ENE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
GFS back with ETA in the central gulf heading north at tropical storm strength.
Edit: Cold front sweeps in right at the last minute and hooks it into the Pensacola or PCB area. A little too close for comfort. GFS has been all over the place from run to run.
Post by philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring on Nov 2, 2020 12:09:24 GMT -6
Now a Major Hurricane
Hurricane Eta Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 100 PM EST Mon Nov 02 2020
...ETA BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 82.0W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ENE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES
GFS shows it meandering all over the Caribbean and then the Gulf before winding up in this spot on the 13th to make a final landfall in Florida. Of course this means nothing at this point. When you look at the overall loop, though, it looks like a drunken sailor.
"My name is Jim, but my friends call me...............Jim."
The following is from the 10 am discussion which I thought was interesting:
“Most of the global models depict a cyclone over the northwestern Caribbean Sea later this week and into the weekend which appears to develop from at least a part of Eta's remnants, and the new NHC track forecast shows the system emerging over the northwest Caribbean Sea after 96 h. However, the uncertainty in the long-range portion of the forecast remains quite high.”
SKYSUMMIT President | Director of OperationsAdministrator
Hurricane Eta Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 400 PM EST Mon Nov 02 2020
...ETA BECOMES A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AS CONDITIONS BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 82.3W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ENE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES