TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread

Zack Fradella
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TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 8:01:24 GMT -6 via mobile loogaroo, weather2a, and 1 more like this

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Post by Zack Fradella on Nov 2, 2020 8:01:24 GMT -6

Late season storms are known for some crazy tracks. The steering currents change so fast at this time of year as the cold fronts are so strong.

Look up wrong way Lenny for reference of a crazy track.

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loogaroo GCWX Supporter Posts: 731	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 8:13:43 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by loogaroo on Nov 2, 2020 8:13:43 GMT -6 They seem to bomb out quickly in the Caribbean too. There is something about that area South of Jamaica this time of the year.

loogaroo GCWX Supporter Posts: 731	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 8:16:40 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by loogaroo on Nov 2, 2020 8:16:40 GMT -6 Eta is going to suck this cold front clean across FL all the way to Cuba.

lilspud GCWX Supporter Posts: 575	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 8:53:39 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lilspud on Nov 2, 2020 8:53:39 GMT -6 Nov 2, 2020 7:41:58 GMT -6 hurrycane said: Check out what the Crazy Uncle is showing 😱 What did it show?

loogaroo GCWX Supporter Posts: 731	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 9:00:41 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by loogaroo on Nov 2, 2020 9:00:41 GMT -6 Eye just popped out. www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=29L&product=vis

SKYSUMMIT
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TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 9:08:35 GMT -6

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 2, 2020 9:08:35 GMT -6

Hurricane Eta Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
1000 AM EST Mon Nov 02 2020

...ETA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE SOON...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH
FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 81.5W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM ENE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES

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NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 9:46:07 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 2, 2020 9:46:07 GMT -6 Forecast to be a Cat 4 at landfall
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Mike Naso Official Contributor Posts: 1,294	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 9:51:43 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT and loogaroo like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Mike Naso on Nov 2, 2020 9:51:43 GMT -6

loogaroo GCWX Supporter Posts: 731	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 10:03:14 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by loogaroo on Nov 2, 2020 10:03:14 GMT -6 The structure is unbelievable. Amazing how fast Eta jumped to a major. I wonder if it makes a 5 before landfall.

lilspud
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TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 10:39:55 GMT -6

Quote

Post by lilspud on Nov 2, 2020 10:39:55 GMT -6

GFS back with ETA in the central gulf heading north at tropical storm strength.

Edit: Cold front sweeps in right at the last minute and hooks it into the Pensacola or PCB area. A little too close for comfort. GFS has been all over the place from run to run.

Last Edit: Nov 2, 2020 10:44:50 GMT -6 by lilspud

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 10:40:05 GMT -6 loogaroo likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 2, 2020 10:40:05 GMT -6
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring
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TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 12:09:24 GMT -6

Quote

Post by philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring on Nov 2, 2020 12:09:24 GMT -6

Now a Major Hurricane

Hurricane Eta Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
100 PM EST Mon Nov 02 2020

...ETA BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH
FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 82.0W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ENE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES

nolasim
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TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 12:13:29 GMT -6 Mike Naso likes this

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Post by nolasim on Nov 2, 2020 12:13:29 GMT -6

GFS shows it meandering all over the Caribbean and then the Gulf before winding up in this spot on the 13th to make a final landfall in Florida. Of course this means nothing at this point. When you look at the overall loop, though, it looks like a drunken sailor.

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Math Professor
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Location: Panama City, FL

TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 13:47:36 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by Math Professor on Nov 2, 2020 13:47:36 GMT -6

The following is from the 10 am discussion which I thought was interesting:

“Most of the global models depict a cyclone over the northwestern Caribbean Sea later this week and into the weekend which appears to develop from at least a part of Eta's remnants, and the new NHC track forecast shows the system emerging over the northwest Caribbean Sea after 96 h. However, the uncertainty in the long-range portion of the forecast remains quite high.”

SKYSUMMIT
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TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 2, 2020 14:52:59 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 2, 2020 14:52:59 GMT -6

Hurricane Eta Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
400 PM EST Mon Nov 02 2020

...ETA BECOMES A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AS CONDITIONS BEGIN TO
DETERIORATE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH
FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 82.3W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ENE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread

Post by Zack Fradella on Nov 2, 2020 8:01:24 GMT -6

Post by loogaroo on Nov 2, 2020 8:13:43 GMT -6

Post by loogaroo on Nov 2, 2020 8:16:40 GMT -6

Post by lilspud on Nov 2, 2020 8:53:39 GMT -6

Post by loogaroo on Nov 2, 2020 9:00:41 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 2, 2020 9:08:35 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 2, 2020 9:46:07 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Nov 2, 2020 9:51:43 GMT -6

Post by loogaroo on Nov 2, 2020 10:03:14 GMT -6

Post by lilspud on Nov 2, 2020 10:39:55 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 2, 2020 10:40:05 GMT -6

Post by philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring on Nov 2, 2020 12:09:24 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Nov 2, 2020 12:13:29 GMT -6

Post by Math Professor on Nov 2, 2020 13:47:36 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 2, 2020 14:52:59 GMT -6

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