Thermalwind's Colorado Winter 2021

Sneaky NW wind tonight might squeeze out a little bit of snow. Leadville airport (9900 feet approx) reporting light snow. There's some lift across my valley, looks like a little upper divergence maybe. Interested to see if it delivers here or not. 

Can't see Leadville from here, but they have a reporting station at the airport on the south part of town. Elevation only 3,000 feet higher than here. 

It is surprisingly bright out here at night if there aren't clouds. The moonlight reflecting off the snow and the frozen lake actually has a nice glow to it. 

Looks like dry air is going to win this one for me and no snow. Starting Wednesday for almost the entire week following is looking pretty interesting. A lot of cold blasts and stormy weather coming through. The EPS mean for Leadville for the next 15 days is showing 11 inches of snow (10:1) ratio. Buena Vista, south of here and down at about 8000 feet, is showing 8" for the next 15 days. 

That view is spectacular! Hope you start getting more snow. We will be in Breck for all of Mardi Gras week. Hoping for snow but not frigid. 

Would have been nice if you could have set up a web cam while there!

Energy of the midweek system splits, some of it cuts off down off the Pacific coast and then drags a trough through late Wednesday into Thursday. 

Best energy looks to roll south of here into AZ and NM but with a pretty good moisture feed I think we're looking at 1-3" here. EPS has majority of members getting 4" in Leadville and it's a little higher in elevation. Early thoughts. Looking forward to the mesoscale models coming in. 

Next couple of days should provide increasing cloudiness but be pretty warm with temps well into the 40s with the sunshine. Going to enjoy it, because the freezer is coming. 

The next week certainly is promising, starting Wednesday afternoon. The jet stream is maxing near here and we might overperform some in the central mountains. There's actually "a lot" (relative to the location of course) of moisture with this one. It's already starting to flow in. Then we have another chance Friday and probably something early next week too. EPS has Leadville hitting 12" for the next 15 days, with some 20" for the next 15 days. I have to trim a little here from that, so 6-12" for the next two weeks seems reasonable at this point. The long term pattern looks fruitful here too. Mardi Gras time could have some nice snow for you too. 

Left exit might end up squeezing out a few inches here. Euro and HRRR both hit Leadville with 6" by Thursday morning and blast the northern mountains with snow. The HRRR goes from trace to 4" in an hour or two. NWS has 1-2" possible here. I'm leaning 3".