Post by thermalwind - Touro on Jan 30, 2021 18:58:59 GMT -6
Sneaky NW wind tonight might squeeze out a little bit of snow. Leadville airport (9900 feet approx) reporting light snow. There's some lift across my valley, looks like a little upper divergence maybe. Interested to see if it delivers here or not.
Sneaky NW wind tonight might squeeze out a little bit of snow. Leadville airport (9900 feet approx) reporting light snow. There's some lift across my valley, looks like a little upper divergence maybe. Interested to see if it delivers here or not.
I'd imagine it's close to pitch black outside? Or is Leadville big enough you can see across the valley?
Post by thermalwind - Touro on Jan 30, 2021 20:42:18 GMT -6
Can't see Leadville from here, but they have a reporting station at the airport on the south part of town. Elevation only 3,000 feet higher than here.
It is surprisingly bright out here at night if there aren't clouds. The moonlight reflecting off the snow and the frozen lake actually has a nice glow to it.
Looks like dry air is going to win this one for me and no snow. Starting Wednesday for almost the entire week following is looking pretty interesting. A lot of cold blasts and stormy weather coming through. The EPS mean for Leadville for the next 15 days is showing 11 inches of snow (10:1) ratio. Buena Vista, south of here and down at about 8000 feet, is showing 8" for the next 15 days.
Post by thermalwind - Touro on Jan 31, 2021 14:35:29 GMT -6
Ridge has taken control. Sunny. Highs well into the 40s through Wednesday. Then comes a week of colder and snowier weather that will send a big slug of cold air down into the east. I'll post an update on the initial system Wednesday later today or tomorrow.
Post by thermalwind - Touro on Jan 31, 2021 14:47:05 GMT -6
This next week should give Breck a nice bit of snow to set up your trip nicely. I'm not actually that far from Breck as the crow flies, but it's a long way in terms of roads you can get across this time of year. Feel free to share some pictures of your trip in this thread too. It might be my Colorado Winter, but I'm willing to share.
The snow is coming for my location too. I'm not ready for the cold coming though, should have a few nights below zero.
This next week should give Breck a nice bit of snow to set up your trip nicely. I'm not actually that far from Breck as the crow flies, but it's a long way in terms of roads you can get across this time of year. Feel free to share some pictures of your trip in this thread too. It might be my Colorado Winter, but I'm willing to share.
The snow is coming for my location too. I'm not ready for the cold coming though, should have a few nights below zero.
Would have been nice if you could have set up a web cam while there!
Post by thermalwind - Touro on Jan 31, 2021 20:01:07 GMT -6
Energy of the midweek system splits, some of it cuts off down off the Pacific coast and then drags a trough through late Wednesday into Thursday.
Best energy looks to roll south of here into AZ and NM but with a pretty good moisture feed I think we're looking at 1-3" here. EPS has majority of members getting 4" in Leadville and it's a little higher in elevation. Early thoughts. Looking forward to the mesoscale models coming in.
Next couple of days should provide increasing cloudiness but be pretty warm with temps well into the 40s with the sunshine. Going to enjoy it, because the freezer is coming.
Post by thermalwind - Touro on Feb 1, 2021 20:06:42 GMT -6
The next week certainly is promising, starting Wednesday afternoon. The jet stream is maxing near here and we might overperform some in the central mountains. There's actually "a lot" (relative to the location of course) of moisture with this one. It's already starting to flow in. Then we have another chance Friday and probably something early next week too. EPS has Leadville hitting 12" for the next 15 days, with some 20" for the next 15 days. I have to trim a little here from that, so 6-12" for the next two weeks seems reasonable at this point. The long term pattern looks fruitful here too. Mardi Gras time could have some nice snow for you too.
Post by thermalwind - Touro on Feb 2, 2021 16:31:01 GMT -6
Wouldn't believe there is snow in the forecast tomorrow with how clear of a day it's been. Ridge flattening out, winds drop and we have a clear day. First signs of the coming storm system is some clouds starting to lift up off the mountains and continue lifting as it comes across the valley. Toasty outside. Almost 50 degrees.
Post by thermalwind - Touro on Feb 2, 2021 21:09:01 GMT -6
Left exit might end up squeezing out a few inches here. Euro and HRRR both hit Leadville with 6" by Thursday morning and blast the northern mountains with snow. The HRRR goes from trace to 4" in an hour or two. NWS has 1-2" possible here. I'm leaning 3".
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SKYSUMMIT: I keep forgetting we have a chat box down here lol
May 4, 2023 15:48:01 GMT -6
saintlybraves: where is this so called "low" supposed to develop? Any better indications with modeling today? We are going to Destin this week and of course I'd like for a more westerly setup.
Apr 10, 2023 16:04:49 GMT -6
mysterionz: hello I’m new here
Apr 3, 2023 15:56:46 GMT -6
frankp: Hey neighbor can u please send me the local Alabama weather forum that you follow, much appreciated… frank
Jan 21, 2023 13:57:45 GMT -6
frankp: Hey neighbor, can u send the the link of the Alabama weather forum you visit, much appreciated
Jan 21, 2023 13:55:49 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I'm hoping we're shoveling snow for Christmas
Nov 16, 2022 14:58:12 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your reply... as usual
Nov 5, 2022 11:37:29 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Yea, Lezak had a paper peer reviewed and published a year or so ago.
Nov 5, 2022 9:03:24 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis?
Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world.
Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6
stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives?
Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man I really hope that rain moves quickly on Saturday. I'm so pumped for 6 hours of awesome college football!
Nov 3, 2022 7:15:01 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Been unblocked. Dylan says that the station took major damage, so no idea when they'll even be able to stream again, or be on the air. Hopefully, they will at least let their employees deal with their own property issues!
Oct 2, 2022 18:17:35 GMT -6
gullywasher: Seriously, must we deal with Bruce Katz at noon, 4, 5 AND 9. ?
Sept 30, 2022 20:03:25 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: According to another met on twitter, the kitten was rescued by a producer who's adopting it. Of course that hasn't stopped the angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, who are insisting that it's a lie.
Sept 29, 2022 17:48:05 GMT -6
nolachic: Pink - he's probably blocking people he doesn't personally know to keep his cell charged and to get his head straight, and I'm sure he is beyond exhausted.
Sept 29, 2022 9:23:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I sent him a message yesterday as well, but he hasn't seen it.
Sept 29, 2022 5:46:06 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Oh hell, I meant for that to be a message!
Sept 28, 2022 19:38:19 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Dylan is taking a beating on Twitter. I just tried to send him a message of support, since we've been following each other for years, and HE BLOCKED ME!!!!!! Somebody who can get to him needs to do so, pronto!!! I'm very worried about him.
Sept 28, 2022 19:37:27 GMT -6
Will do! Thanks!
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