TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread

Either way, most models are showing a large break in the ridging across Florida once 97 is moving toward that general area. If so, I think it would be hard for this system to miss that connection and continue to go west or west northwest toward the central Gulf Coast. But this is many days out and we don't yet have a named system. As always, much can and will change.

Agree with 99% of what you said.. but sometimes it will go more N if the models can't align themselves up with the strength of a exiting trough off the US mainland.

Everyone should watch this system each day.. don't look more than 3 days out. Land interactions could happen around Hispaniola.. but right now.. We don't know..  First we watch development and it should be classified later today due to it being 48hours out from the Windward Islands. TS warnings and Hurricane Watch. Watch the GFS out to 72 hours and Euro..  if they both are aligned up to 120hrs then that's good.

That would be pretty impressive if we got 5 named storms by the end of June.

EURO and ICON still peter it out. Canadian at least now not only gives it credence, but it follows the same track as the GFS.

Well that narrows it down. We're looking at somewhere between Mexico and the Bahamas. Thank God we know more now. LOL

lots of over hype FL people ON S2K just said.