TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread

Bayou Medic
Moderator

Board Member

Posts: 1,345

Staff Member

TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 5:15:37 GMT -6 via mobile nolasim, momoftwins, and 4 more like this

Quote

Post by Bayou Medic on Aug 16, 2021 5:15:37 GMT -6

The forum is in "storm mode" due to having current active watches/warnings issued along the Gulf Coast. We do not just serve the Louisiana Coast. We cover the entire Gulf Coast region, although they may not be active as Louisiana members, there are members from other Gulf Coast states that follow along through our forums for pertinent information. Therefore, we are indeed in storm mode for Tropical Storm Fred.

Aug 15, 2021 23:22:24 GMT -6 gullywasher said:

so, can anyone explain why we're in storm mode ? Please don't tell me it's because of Fred and Grace, I'll never take this site serious again ( like anyone really cares ) Both of them are a joke, but "WE" can't joke around when in "storm mode" ?

GCWX Board Member
Spotter Network Trained
Emergency Medical Technician
911 Emergency Operator

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 5:37:31 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 16, 2021 5:37:31 GMT -6

Tropical Storm Fred Advisory Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
400 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

...FRED MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE
COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND LATER TODAY...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.9N 86.0W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 5:59:38 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 16, 2021 5:59:38 GMT -6
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Dutar76
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 861

TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 6:35:47 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Dutar76 on Aug 16, 2021 6:35:47 GMT -6

Fred got all dressed up to go to Destin. Good thing he doesn't have more time over water.

This is a small example of why we shouldn't put too much stock in the intensity forecast
towards the end of Grace's cone. The gulf is ripe. Harvey and Laura are two examples of
struggling systems moving into a hot wet gulf with little shear and good upper-level conditions.

Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,555	TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 6:42:31 GMT -6 via mobile Dutar76 and bunkie68 - WBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Aug 16, 2021 6:42:31 GMT -6 I'm liking the speed of Fred. Less time to organize and less time affecting any particular spot.

hurricaner
Moderator

Board Member

Posts: 5,167

Staff Member

TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 6:57:12 GMT -6

Quote

Post by hurricaner on Aug 16, 2021 6:57:12 GMT -6

Winds up to 60mph.

Tropical Storm Fred Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
730 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND FRED INTENSIFYING AND LOCATED A
LITTLE FARTHER EAST...

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that Fred is intensifying this morning, and now has maximum
sustained winds near 60 mph (95 km/h), with an estimated minimum
central pressure of 993 mb (29.32 inches).

Data from the aircraft and National Weather Service Doppler radar
indicate that Fred is now moving toward the north at 10 mph (17
km/h).

SUMMARY OF 730 AM CDT...1230 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 85.6W
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

Last Edit: Aug 16, 2021 6:57:58 GMT -6 by hurricaner

GCWX Board Member

jimmycarl Category 5 Posts: 1,514 Location: West Side Of The MS Coast	TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 7:15:09 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by jimmycarl on Aug 16, 2021 7:15:09 GMT -6 Just a little less wind shear, a little more time to stack his circulations, and this would have been a different game.

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 8:41:39 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 16, 2021 8:41:39 GMT -6

Tropical Storm Fred Advisory Number 28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
1000 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

...FRED EXPECTED TO BRING A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND HEAVY RAINS
TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 85.7W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Dutar76
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 861

TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 10:02:32 GMT -6 Cheshire Cat and weather2a like this

Quote

Post by Dutar76 on Aug 16, 2021 10:02:32 GMT -6

Is it too far fetched to think that Fred might make cat 1 before landfall?
Curious why no hurricane watches are posted, because by the look of him
I'd think that some folks could potentially see hurricane force winds.

Mike Naso Official Contributor Posts: 1,294	TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 10:17:34 GMT -6 harpman - old likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Mike Naso on Aug 16, 2021 10:17:34 GMT -6

Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,555	TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 11:19:50 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Aug 16, 2021 11:19:50 GMT -6 Some PWSs.

Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,555	TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 12:43:26 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Aug 16, 2021 12:43:26 GMT -6 Tyndall air force base anemometer.

hurricaner
Moderator

Board Member

Posts: 5,167

Staff Member

TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 13:15:35 GMT -6

Quote

Post by hurricaner on Aug 16, 2021 13:15:35 GMT -6

Tropical Storm Fred Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
215 PM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

...FRED MAKES LANDFALL IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

National Weather Service WSR-88D radar data indicate that the
center of Tropical Storm Fred has made landfall near Cape San
Blas, Florida. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near
65 mph (100 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 215 PM CDT...1915 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 85.4W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM W OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES

Last Edit: Aug 16, 2021 13:16:11 GMT -6 by hurricaner

GCWX Board Member

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 14:30:58 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Aug 16, 2021 14:30:58 GMT -6 Does anyone have live storm chaser links?

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread Aug 16, 2021 14:50:59 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 16, 2021 14:50:59 GMT -6

Tropical Storm Fred Advisory Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
400 PM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

...FRED MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
...HEAVY RAIN AND STORM SURGE THREAT CONTINUES...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 85.3W
ABOUT 25 MI...35 KM NW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

TROPICAL STORM FRED Discussion Thread

Post by Bayou Medic on Aug 16, 2021 5:15:37 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 16, 2021 5:37:31 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 16, 2021 5:59:38 GMT -6

Post by Dutar76 on Aug 16, 2021 6:35:47 GMT -6

Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Aug 16, 2021 6:42:31 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Aug 16, 2021 6:57:12 GMT -6

Post by jimmycarl on Aug 16, 2021 7:15:09 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 16, 2021 8:41:39 GMT -6

Post by Dutar76 on Aug 16, 2021 10:02:32 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Aug 16, 2021 10:17:34 GMT -6

Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Aug 16, 2021 11:19:50 GMT -6

Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Aug 16, 2021 12:43:26 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Aug 16, 2021 13:15:35 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Aug 16, 2021 14:30:58 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 16, 2021 14:50:59 GMT -6

Shoutbox

Welcome All Members & Guests

Supporter Us & Donate for the 2024 Season

Hurricane Season 2024

Tropical Outlook

Regional Radars

Today's Convective Outlook

Today's Weather

Watches and Warnings