INVEST 93L Discussion Thread East of the Islands

Recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that a vigorous
tropical wave located about 500 miles east-southeast of the Windward
Islands is producing a concentrated area of cloudiness and
thunderstorms near the wave axis. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be marginally conducive for some additional development
of this system while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph
over the next few days. The disturbance is expected to approach the
central and northern Lesser Antilles by late Monday and early
Tuesday, and interests in these areas should monitor the progress of
this system. Regardless of development, the system will produce
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the
central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday, and across the
Virgin Islands and northern Lesser Antilles on Wednesday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.