Too soon? CSU releases preliminary 2022 prediction
Dec 19, 2021 17:59:15 GMT -6
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Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Dec 19, 2021 17:59:15 GMT -6
The 2021 season had an ACE Index of 142, which is above normal, while the even busier 2020 season had an ACE Index of 180.
Colorado State University is predicting:
40% chance of an ACE Index of approximately 130, which would typically mean 13-16 named storms, 6-8 hurricanes, and 2-3 major hurricanes.
25% chance of an ACE Index of approximately 170, which would typically mean 15-18 named storms, 9-11 hurricanes, and 4-5 major hurricanes.
25% chance of an ACE Index of approximately 80, which would typically mean 9-12 named storms, 3-5 hurricanes, and 1-2 major hurricanes.
10% chance of an ACE Index of approximately 50, which would typically mean 6-9 named storms, 2-3 hurricanes, and 0-1 major hurricanes.
Colorado State University is predicting:
40% chance of an ACE Index of approximately 130, which would typically mean 13-16 named storms, 6-8 hurricanes, and 2-3 major hurricanes.
25% chance of an ACE Index of approximately 170, which would typically mean 15-18 named storms, 9-11 hurricanes, and 4-5 major hurricanes.
25% chance of an ACE Index of approximately 80, which would typically mean 9-12 named storms, 3-5 hurricanes, and 1-2 major hurricanes.
10% chance of an ACE Index of approximately 50, which would typically mean 6-9 named storms, 2-3 hurricanes, and 0-1 major hurricanes.
![](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022022_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/204710_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png")
