I see the ensembles keep shifting west. If i remember correctly did someone say that some times they over compensate a shift and may shift back in the opposite direction? Just trying to see if that is correct or not. Thanks
Well, once again we'll be watching the 00z runs tonight, but by tomorrow, I think we'll watching live storm movement rather than analyzing models. It's getting close to nowcasting time.
I'm in that mode now. I'm 75% done with my preps and am now just watching to see which damn model is right.
Find it hard to take this storm seriously when it looks so ragged on radar. I know it has all night and all day to get it together but just saying that it really does look like a big ole thunderstorm, although I know it is not.
The preparedness guide says 30 hours before tropical storm force winds are expected.
Phase III - 30 Hours before onset of tropical storm winds. Includes areas on the East Bank of the Mississippi River in the New Orleans Metropolitan Area which are within levee protection system but remain vulnerable to a slow-moving Category 3 or any Category 4 or 5 storm. These areas are depicted in YELLOW on the Evacuation Map. During Phase III, certain routes will be directed and the Contraflow Plan implemented.
Nola.com is talking about the possibility of a "compressed contraflow"
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