Forums – StormCast

Will
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 939

Likes - 703

2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 28, 2018 19:53:37 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by Will on May 28, 2018 19:53:37 GMT -6

So what’s next on the horizon? Any major waves coming off of Africa? Or have we reverted back to a wide open basin until mid-August? I was thinking today: it’s 10 years ago this September 1st since Gustav shredded my area with 50 mph sustained winds & 100+mph gusts and it’s 6 years ago this August 29th that Isaac slogged itself through the Ascension area with occasional gusts to 60 mph and a ton of rain. We are certainly due for another one. I’m betting our next big one comes in a slow year.

Last Edit: May 28, 2018 19:54:59 GMT -6 by Will

I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL - ALL OF MY POSTS ARE BASED ON MY OPINIONS ONLY.

grisairgasm GCWX Supporter Posts - 582 Likes - 431	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 28, 2018 20:32:48 GMT -6 rnj79 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by grisairgasm on May 28, 2018 20:32:48 GMT -6 It’s a pathetic addiction. I wore myself out on Alberto yet I’m ready for the next one!

SKYSUMMIT
President | Director of Operations Administrator

Posts - 57,720

Likes - 8,039

Social: - Facebook, Twitter

2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 28, 2018 20:50:48 GMT -6 rnj79 likes this

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on May 28, 2018 20:50:48 GMT -6

May 28, 2018 19:53:37 GMT -6 Will said:

So what’s next on the horizon? Any major waves coming off of Africa? Or have we reverted back to a wide open basin until mid-August? I was thinking today: it’s 10 years ago this September 1st since Gustav shredded my area with 50 mph sustained winds & 100+mph gusts and it’s 6 years ago this August 29th that Isaac slogged itself through the Ascension area with occasional gusts to 60 mph and a ton of rain. We are certainly due for another one. I’m betting our next big one comes in a slow year.

Africa??? That's usually not until August anyway LOL. Nothing really on the horizon...maybe looking back down to west Caribbean around the end of next week but definitely nothing concrete.

Winter 2018/2019 Number of Freezes: 9
CWOP ID: DW2721, CoCoRaHs Station: LA-TG-11
NWS's Ponchatoula/Hammond Area's COOP Member, Station ID 16-7425-08, PONL1

Will GCWX Supporter Posts - 939 Likes - 703	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 29, 2018 9:02:09 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will on May 29, 2018 9:02:09 GMT -6 LOL good point! I guess my brain is already in August!
	I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL - ALL OF MY POSTS ARE BASED ON MY OPINIONS ONLY.

trueblue GCWX Supporter Posts - 1,648 Likes - 421 Social: - Facebook	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 29, 2018 9:28:22 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT, tgrgrd00, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by trueblue on May 29, 2018 9:28:22 GMT -6 I would love nothing more than to switch to the next snowstorm. Blue line watching is way more fun.
	Kim Theriot-Smith

Will
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 939

Likes - 703

2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 29, 2018 10:31:11 GMT -6 rnj79 likes this

Quote

Post by Will on May 29, 2018 10:31:11 GMT -6

May 29, 2018 9:28:22 GMT -6 trueblue said:

I would love nothing more than to switch to the next snowstorm. Blue line watching is way more fun.

Blue line watching is fun but I really do enjoy watching models shift back and forth during hurricane season. And although they are so destructive, I still enjoy the excitement/fear that's involved when a cat 1 or cat 2 is locking in on our part of the world. Cat 3 and higher can go kick rocks, though.

I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL - ALL OF MY POSTS ARE BASED ON MY OPINIONS ONLY.

hurricaner
Board Member Moderator

Posts - 3,021
Likes - 481

2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 30, 2018 11:02:30 GMT -6 rnj79 likes this

Quote

Post by hurricaner on May 30, 2018 11:02:30 GMT -6

I know this is in la-la land for the GFS, but the 12Z run is showing something developing around June 7th and moves it into the central GOM as a tropical storm by June 13th. It ends up hitting the south central Louisiana coast by the 14th as a strong tropical storm.

GCWX Board Member

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 57,720 Likes - 8,039 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 30, 2018 11:17:50 GMT -6 rnj79 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on May 30, 2018 11:17:50 GMT -6 The GFS has been showing something for the past 4 runs. Yesterday it was sending it across Florida and into the Atlantic. This morning's 06z and the 12z both stay in the Gulf.
	Winter 2018/2019 Number of Freezes: 9 CWOP ID: DW2721, CoCoRaHs Station: LA-TG-11 NWS's Ponchatoula/Hammond Area's COOP Member, Station ID 16-7425-08, PONL1

Will GCWX Supporter Posts - 939 Likes - 703	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 30, 2018 12:21:15 GMT -6 rnj79 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will on May 30, 2018 12:21:15 GMT -6 So the GFS has it hitting south central Louisiana and the EURO doesn't show anything. I'm going to blend the two into a summer time pop up thunderstorm over Birmingham.
	I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL - ALL OF MY POSTS ARE BASED ON MY OPINIONS ONLY.

Will GCWX Supporter Posts - 939 Likes - 703	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 30, 2018 12:27:03 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will on May 30, 2018 12:27:03 GMT -6 For those who are interested, here's what the GFS is showing:
	I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL - ALL OF MY POSTS ARE BASED ON MY OPINIONS ONLY.

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 57,720 Likes - 8,039 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 30, 2018 20:50:16 GMT -6 saltmama likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on May 30, 2018 20:50:16 GMT -6 1 Day Left!!!
	Winter 2018/2019 Number of Freezes: 9 CWOP ID: DW2721, CoCoRaHs Station: LA-TG-11 NWS's Ponchatoula/Hammond Area's COOP Member, Station ID 16-7425-08, PONL1

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 57,720 Likes - 8,039 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 30, 2018 22:58:47 GMT -6 coffeecups likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on May 30, 2018 22:58:47 GMT -6 Tonight's 00z GFS continues with long range activity and ends with Hurricane Beryl sliding west toward Mexico.
	Winter 2018/2019 Number of Freezes: 9 CWOP ID: DW2721, CoCoRaHs Station: LA-TG-11 NWS's Ponchatoula/Hammond Area's COOP Member, Station ID 16-7425-08, PONL1

coffeecups GCWX Supporter Posts - 798 Likes - 235	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 31, 2018 8:01:30 GMT -6 rnj79 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by coffeecups on May 31, 2018 8:01:30 GMT -6 May 30, 2018 20:50:16 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: 1 Day Left!!! I think the above looks like just a little excitement!!!! lol

Will GCWX Supporter Posts - 939 Likes - 703	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 31, 2018 8:36:23 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will on May 31, 2018 8:36:23 GMT -6 Our GFS Louisiana/Texas/Mexico tropical storm/hurricane is now a depression going into Florida this morning
	I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL - ALL OF MY POSTS ARE BASED ON MY OPINIONS ONLY.

cajungal Category 5 Posts - 2,642 Likes - 905	2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1 May 31, 2018 8:51:59 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on May 31, 2018 8:51:59 GMT -6 Everything I been reading is suggesting that it will be a very quiet season this year. Guess we will have to wait and see. I know it only takes one.
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

2018 Atlantic Discussion Thread #1

Post by Will on May 28, 2018 19:53:37 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on May 28, 2018 20:32:48 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on May 28, 2018 20:50:48 GMT -6

Post by Will on May 29, 2018 9:02:09 GMT -6

Post by trueblue on May 29, 2018 9:28:22 GMT -6

Post by Will on May 29, 2018 10:31:11 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on May 30, 2018 11:02:30 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on May 30, 2018 11:17:50 GMT -6

Post by Will on May 30, 2018 12:21:15 GMT -6

Post by Will on May 30, 2018 12:27:03 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on May 30, 2018 20:50:16 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on May 30, 2018 22:58:47 GMT -6

Post by coffeecups on May 31, 2018 8:01:30 GMT -6

Post by Will on May 31, 2018 8:36:23 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on May 31, 2018 8:51:59 GMT -6

Support StormCast!

Radar Mosaic

Convective Outlooks

Watches and Warnings