Post by ndg on Jan 16, 2013 15:05:46 GMT -6
.SHORT TERM...
ONLY REAL LAND BASED FORECAST PROBLEM WILL BE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES AND TYPE OVERNIGHT. CLEARING LINE HAS MOVED INTO EXTREME
WESTERN LOUISIANA...AND CURRENT RADAR INDICATES ALL PRECIPITATION
IS EAST OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER. CANNOT RULE OUT REDEVELOPMENT
UNDER UPPER LOW AS IT MOVES TO NEAR JACKSON BY 12Z THURSDAY...BUT
ANY PRECIPITATION WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND MAINLY RAIN. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW A VERY...VERY BRIEF WINDOW OF A COUPLE HOURS AROUND
SUNRISE WHERE THE AIRMASS MIGHT SUPPORT A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND
SNOW ACROSS NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE CWA. THIS WOULD GENERALLY BE
OVER SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND MAYBE THE EXTREME NORTHERN TIER
OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA PARISHES. WILL INDICATE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
A RAIN SHOWER/SNOW FLURRY MIX FOR THE BACK HALF OF THE NIGHT. WILL
EMPHASIZE AGAIN...NO MEASURABLE SNOW EXPECTED. IF THERE IS A
TRAVEL PROBLEM OVERNIGHT...IT WOULD BE MORE LIKELY BE ON ELEVATED
ROADWAYS SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES IN THAT AREA. ROADS THAT
REMAIN WET OVERNIGHT COULD POTENTIALLY PRODUCE A SLICK SPOT OR
TWO...AS TEMPERATURES MAY DROP JUST BELOW FREEZING.
UPPER LOW WILL BE INTO CENTRAL OR EASTERN ALABAMA BY NOON...AND
CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE DEPARTED ALONG WITH IT. MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES WILL THEN BE THE RULE THROUGH SATURDAY. NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL KEEP COLDER AIR OVER THE AREA...WITH NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA FALLING BELOW FREEZING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
MORNINGS...BUT NO COLDER THAN WHAT WE HAVE SEEN SEVERAL TIMES
BEFORE THIS WINTER...UPPER 20S OVER SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND
LOWER 30S IN THE NORTHSHORE PARISHES. DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD SNEAK
INTO THE LOWER 50S TOMORROW...AND A FEW DEGREES WARMER ON FRIDAY.
BY SATURDAY...MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 60S
FOR DAYTIME HIGHS. 35
Scott, what NWS produced this? The meeting I just got out of suggested the possibility of up to 1" in some of the northern Louisiana parishes including East Baton Rouge. They did mention that any accumulation will be dtermined on how fast the ground cools and that while 1" was possible, it may still be a relative non-event (wanted to post that for clarity).
Very interesting what they told you and what they put out for the public to see.