Post by 99lsfm2 on May 20, 2015 6:48:48 GMT -6
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
519 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015
.SHORT TERM [TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT]...EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OCCURRING OVER MOST INLAND AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
I-10 CORRIDOR. TO THE WEST LATEST SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW THE NEXT MID
LEVEL IMPULSE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST COMBINED WITH SLIGHTLY DEEPER
MOISTURE IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY ALONG WITH SFC
BASED CAPES RANGING FROM 2000 TO 2800 J/KG BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY POSSIBLY LEADING TO MORE STATEMENTS BY LATE AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING. LIKE EARLIER IN THE WEEK WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
STILL NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH WE CAN'T RULE OUT AN ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLY BECOMING BRIEFLY SEVERE. GUSTY STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WILL LIKELY SEE
MORE SUN THAN CLOUDS EARLY IN THE DAY FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. COULD STILL SEE SOME PATCHY FOG ALSO THIS
MORNING THOUGH NOT AS MUCH COVERAGE AS YESTERDAY. AS FOR TEMPS WILL
LEAN VERY CLOSE TO THE WARMER MAV GUIDANCE THROUGH TONIGHT DUE TO
MOSTLY FROM PERSISTENCE. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO
LOWER 90S FOR MOST INLAND AREAS AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S CLOSE TO THE
COAST. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S FOR MOST INLAND AREAS AND
THE LOWER 70S CLOSER TO THE COAST. 32/EE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WEAK COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO APPROACH
FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY...APPROACHING THE COAST BY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT INTERACTS WITH A NARROW STRIP OF DEEP MOISTURE AND ALONG
WITH DAYTIME INSTABILITY...SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS/STORMS ARE
FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES. THE
NORTHERN TIER OF ZONES...LOOK TO BE ISOLATED IN COVERAGE. DAYTIME
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S INTERIOR. MID 80S CLOSER TO
THE BEACHES.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
519 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015
.SHORT TERM [TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT]...EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OCCURRING OVER MOST INLAND AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
I-10 CORRIDOR. TO THE WEST LATEST SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW THE NEXT MID
LEVEL IMPULSE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST COMBINED WITH SLIGHTLY DEEPER
MOISTURE IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY ALONG WITH SFC
BASED CAPES RANGING FROM 2000 TO 2800 J/KG BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY POSSIBLY LEADING TO MORE STATEMENTS BY LATE AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING. LIKE EARLIER IN THE WEEK WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
STILL NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH WE CAN'T RULE OUT AN ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLY BECOMING BRIEFLY SEVERE. GUSTY STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WILL LIKELY SEE
MORE SUN THAN CLOUDS EARLY IN THE DAY FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. COULD STILL SEE SOME PATCHY FOG ALSO THIS
MORNING THOUGH NOT AS MUCH COVERAGE AS YESTERDAY. AS FOR TEMPS WILL
LEAN VERY CLOSE TO THE WARMER MAV GUIDANCE THROUGH TONIGHT DUE TO
MOSTLY FROM PERSISTENCE. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO
LOWER 90S FOR MOST INLAND AREAS AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S CLOSE TO THE
COAST. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S FOR MOST INLAND AREAS AND
THE LOWER 70S CLOSER TO THE COAST. 32/EE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WEAK COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO APPROACH
FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY...APPROACHING THE COAST BY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT INTERACTS WITH A NARROW STRIP OF DEEP MOISTURE AND ALONG
WITH DAYTIME INSTABILITY...SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS/STORMS ARE
FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES. THE
NORTHERN TIER OF ZONES...LOOK TO BE ISOLATED IN COVERAGE. DAYTIME
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S INTERIOR. MID 80S CLOSER TO
THE BEACHES.
