Bill Discussion Thread

thibodauxwx
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 3,537

Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 7:46:02 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Jun 15, 2015 7:46:02 GMT -6

Time:13:22:00ZCoordinates:25.500N 91.383WAcft. Static Air Press:974.7 mbAcft. Geopotential Hgt:310 mExtrap. Sfc. Press:1009.8 mb (29.82 inHg)Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s):From 181° at 47 kts (From the S at 54.1 mph)Air Temp:22.1°C* (71.8°F*)Dew Pt:21.5°C* (70.7°F*)Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind:51 kts (58.7 mph)SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind:39 kts (44.9 mph)SFMR Rain Rate:1 mm/hr (0.04 in/hr)

Time:13:38:00ZCoordinates:24.967N 91.000WAcft. Static Air Press:977.0 mbAcft. Geopotential Hgt:299 mExtrap. Sfc. Press:1010.9 mb (29.86 inHg)Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s):From 165° at 34 kts (From the SSE at 39.1 mph)Air Temp:24.5°C (76.1°F)Dew Pt:23.4°C (74.1°F)Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind:35 kts (40.3 mph)SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind:28 kts (32.2 mph)SFMR Rain Rate:3 mm/hr (0.12 in/hr)

Time:13:45:30ZCoordinates:25.033N 91.450WAcft. Static Air Press:976.5 mbAcft. Geopotential Hgt:301 mExtrap. Sfc. Press:1010.8 mb (29.85 inHg)Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s):From 190° at 36 kts (From the S at 41.4 mph)Air Temp:22.5°C* (72.5°F*)Dew Pt:-*Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind:37 kts (42.6 mph)SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind:34 kts (39.1 mph)SFMR Rain Rate:5 mm/hr (0.20 in/hr)

Time:13:50:00ZCoordinates:25.100N 91.700WAcft. Static Air Press:977.3 mbAcft. Geopotential Hgt:285 mExtrap. Sfc. Press:1009.8 mb (29.82 inHg)Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s):From 181° at 41 kts (From the S at 47.2 mph)Air Temp:22.4°C (72.3°F)Dew Pt:21.7°C (71.1°F)Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind:43 kts (49.5 mph)SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind:31 kts (35.7 mph)SFMR Rain Rate:8 mm/hr (0.31 in/hr)

Time:13:53:00ZCoordinates:25.133N 91.867WAcft. Static Air Press:977.0 mbAcft. Geopotential Hgt:287 mExtrap. Sfc. Press:1009.8 mb (29.82 inHg)Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s):From 164° at 36 kts (From the SSE at 41.4 mph)Air Temp:21.9°C (71.4°F)Dew Pt:21.9°C (71.4°F)Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind:38 kts (43.7 mph)SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind:35 kts (40.3 mph)SFMR Rain Rate:11 mm/hr (0.43 in/hr)

Time:13:55:30ZCoordinates:25.167N 92.033WAcft. Static Air Press:977.3 mbAcft. Geopotential Hgt:282 mExtrap. Sfc. Press:1009.2 mb (29.81 inHg)Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s):From 158° at 24 kts (From the SSE at 27.6 mph)Air Temp:22.5°C (72.5°F)Dew Pt:22.5°C (72.5°F)Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind:27 kts (31.1 mph)SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind:35 kts (40.3 mph)SFMR Rain Rate:11 mm/hr (0.43 in/hr)

Time:13:57:00ZCoordinates:25.167N 92.117WAcft. Static Air Press:977.0 mbAcft. Geopotential Hgt:280 mExtrap. Sfc. Press:1008.8 mb (29.79 inHg)Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s):From 171° at 14 kts (From the S at 16.1 mph)Air Temp:23.0°C (73.4°F)Dew Pt:22.8°C (73.0°F)Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind:15 kts (17.3 mph)SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind:27 kts (31.1 mph)SFMR Rain Rate:9 mm/hr (0.35 in/hr)

Last Edit: Jun 15, 2015 8:26:03 GMT -6 by thibodauxwx

thibodauxwx
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 3,537

Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:03:12 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Jun 15, 2015 8:03:12 GMT -6

Jun 15, 2015 7:45:10 GMT -6 ndg said:

91L is finally moving away from underneath the upper level low/trough and moving into an area of UL divergence (black arrows) & lighter winds aloft. This should make it get better organized and strengthen some before moving onshore tomorrow.

Do you think this will change the land fall area very much?

ndg
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 9,974

Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:27:32 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jun 15, 2015 8:27:32 GMT -6

Jun 15, 2015 8:03:12 GMT -6 thibodauxwx said:

Jun 15, 2015 7:45:10 GMT -6 ndg said:

91L is finally moving away from underneath the upper level low/trough and moving into an area of UL divergence (black arrows) & lighter winds aloft. This should make it get better organized and strengthen some before moving onshore tomorrow.

Do you think this will change the land fall area very much?

No not really, just that it may try to strenghten some right before landfall tomorrow morning, may become a strong tropical storm but at the most.

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:30:22 GMT -6 99lsfm2 and allicat1214 like this

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 15, 2015 8:30:22 GMT -6

If it does strengthen right before landfall, that means it will be strengthening at landfall which may catch a few people off guard because we all know a strengthening tropical storm at landfall is usually worse than a weakening hurricane at landfall.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

thibodauxwx
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 3,537

Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:32:05 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT likes this

Post by thibodauxwx on Jun 15, 2015 8:32:05 GMT -6

Jun 15, 2015 8:30:22 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

If it does strengthen right before landfall, that means it will be strengthening at landfall which may catch a few people off guard because we all know a strengthening tropical storm at landfall is usually worse than a weakening hurricane at landfall.

Wasn't it Cindy that did that 2005? and became a night mare.

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:36:39 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 15, 2015 8:36:39 GMT -6 A little tropical squall moving in...
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

teemickey GCWX Supporter Posts: 160	Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:40:18 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by teemickey on Jun 15, 2015 8:40:18 GMT -6 2 questions: So basically is it moving away from LA? Could this system do like Cindy, Allison, or France's and dump a lot of rain in our area? thanks
	I'm a wife, mom of 2 and Grammie of 6!

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:44:58 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 15, 2015 8:44:58 GMT -6

Jun 15, 2015 8:40:18 GMT -6 teemickey said:

2 questions:
So basically is it moving away from LA? Could this system do like Cindy, Allison, or France's and dump a lot of rain in our area? thanks

Passing squalls like the one moving through this morning is probably all southeast LA will see. The bulk of rain will be over southeast Texas and west Louisiana.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

storm92405
Tropical Low

Posts: 21

Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:46:46 GMT -6 via the ProBoards App

Post by storm92405 on Jun 15, 2015 8:46:46 GMT -6

Just by my observation of visible imagery looks like another center is becoming dominate way to the north of the current center. Right where they paint a LLC the inflow streamers doesn't inflow to the LLC of the southern most one on the east side. IDK could be my eyes.

I would like to have it and not need it rather than need it and not have it.

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:49:53 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 15, 2015 8:49:53 GMT -6 Updated QPF totals:
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:58:42 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 15, 2015 8:58:42 GMT -6

37 SSW Burns Point [Gmz455 Co, LA] AWOS reports MARINE TSTM WIND of M47 MPH at 8:35 AM CDT -- REPORT FROM AWOS KSCF LOCATED IN SOUTH MARSH ISLAND BLOCK 268.

10 WSW Freshwater City [Gmz452 Co, LA] PUBLIC reports MARINE TSTM WIND of E45 MPH at 9:41 AM CDT -- REPORT FROM PLATFORM IN VERMILION BLOCK 24.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 8:59:31 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 15, 2015 8:59:31 GMT -6

FLASH FLOOD WATCH - SOUTHEAST TEXAS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
957 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-152300-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FF.A.0013.150616T0300Z-150617T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANAHUAC...ANGLETON...BAY CITY...
BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...BRYAN...CALDWELL...CLEVELAND...
COLDSPRING...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS...CONROE...CORRIGAN...
CROCKETT...DAYTON...EAGLE LAKE...EDNA...EL CAMPO...FREEPORT...
FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON...GROVETON...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON...
HUMBLE...HUNTSVILLE...KATY...LAKE JACKSON...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
LEAGUE CITY...LIBERTY...LIVINGSTON...MADISONVILLE...
MISSOURI CITY...MONT BELVIEU...NAVASOTA...ONALASKA...PALACIOS...
PASADENA...PEARLAND...PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW...RICHMOND...
ROSENBERG...SEALY...SHEPHERD...SUGAR LAND...TEXAS CITY...
THE WOODLANDS...TOMBALL...TRINITY...WEIMAR...WHARTON...WILLIS...
WINNIE
957 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...
BURLESON...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT BEND...GALVESTON...
GRIMES...HARRIS...HOUSTON...JACKSON...LIBERTY...MADISON...
MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...
WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON AND WHARTON.

* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT WITH RAIN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AND DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY AS VERY RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE FLOWS INTO THE AREA AND
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES TOWARD THE COAST. WIDESPREAD RAIN
TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECT WITH MUCH HIGHER ISOLATED
TOTALS. THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HELP TO
DICTATE WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR.

* THE GROUND ACROSS THE AREA IS STILL WET AND NEARLY SATURATED IN
SOME LOCATIONS AND IT WILL ONLY TAKE A SHORT PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAIN TO CREATE RUNOFF. STREET FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY DURING THE
WATCH PERIOD. SMALL STREAM AND BAYOU FLOODING THREAT WILL
INCREASE AS WELL TUESDAY AFTER A FEW ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINS HAVE
MOVED INTO THE AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

Last Edit: Jun 15, 2015 9:03:52 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 9:02:24 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Jun 15, 2015 9:02:24 GMT -6 Have they issued any Tropical storm watches for Texas yet?

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Bill Discussion Thread Jun 15, 2015 9:03:55 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 15, 2015 9:03:55 GMT -6 Jun 15, 2015 9:02:24 GMT -6 thibodauxwx said: Have they issued any Tropical storm watches for Texas yet? Negative
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23