Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15

SKYSUMMIT
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Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 8:38:26 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 8:38:26 GMT -6

Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
837 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southwestern Harris County in southeastern Texas...
Northwestern Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
North central Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 915 AM CST.

* At 837 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over northeastern Riverstone, or over First Colony,
moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Northwestern Pasadena, Pearland, Sugar Land, Missouri City,
northern Friendswood, Stafford, South Houston, Bellaire, West
University Place, Galena Park, Jacinto City, Webster, Hunters Creek
Village, Piney Point Village, Astrodome Area, Greater Fifth Ward,
Fourth Ward, Fresno, Town West and First Colony.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and
widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest
floor of a building.

&&

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
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President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

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Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 8:43:24 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 8:43:24 GMT -6

Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
842 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
West central Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Matagorda County in southeastern Texas...
Central Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 915 AM CST.

* At 842 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Sweeny, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Southwestern League City, southwestern Friendswood, Lake Jackson,
Alvin, Angleton, Santa Fe, Hitchcock, West Columbia, Sweeny,
Richwood, Brazoria, Danbury, Holiday Lakes, Hillcrest, Bailey's
Prairie, Liverpool, Bonney, Wild Peach Village and Chocolate Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

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Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 8:45:37 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 8:45:37 GMT -6

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
845 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southwestern Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
East central Matagorda County in southeastern Texas...
Southern Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 915 AM CST.

* At 844 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Brazoria, or
near Sweeny, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Lake Jackson, Angleton, Freeport, Clute, Hitchcock, Sweeny,
Surfside Beach, Richwood, Brazoria, Jones Creek, Oyster Creek,
southeastern Bailey's Prairie, Sargent, southern Wild Peach Village
and San Luis Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for southeastern
Texas.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 9:22:48 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 9:22:48 GMT -6

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
921 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northwestern Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
Eastern Matagorda County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1000 AM CST.

* At 920 AM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Danbury to near Freeport to 9 miles southeast
of Sargent, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Galveston Island West End, Galveston Causeway, Texas City,
southeastern Lake Jackson, La Marque, Freeport, Clute, Hitchcock,
Surfside Beach, Galveston Pier 21, Richwood, Jones Creek, Danbury,
Bayou Vista, Oyster Creek, Jamaica Beach, Tiki Island, Galveston
Pleasure Pier, Galveston State Park and The Strand.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground
lightning is occurring with these storms. Move indoors immediately.
Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. Remember, if you can
hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for southeastern
Texas.

LAT...LON 2935 9459 2879 9533 2871 9550 2872 9563
2888 9546 2923 9538 2951 9450
TIME...MOT...LOC 1520Z 267DEG 43KT 2916 9534 2889 9540 2878 9552

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 9:30:49 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 9:30:49 GMT -6

Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
924 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
East central Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1000 AM CST.

* At 924 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Angleton, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Angleton and Danbury.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
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Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

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Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 9:31:13 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 9:31:13 GMT -6

Stafford [Fort Bend Co, TX] EMERGENCY MNGR reports TORNADO at 8:39 AM CST -- SEVERAL ROOFS FROM HOMES AND BUSINESS BLOWN OFF FROM MURPHY RD TO GREENBRIER RO IN STAFFORD. MULTIPLE SIGHTINGS OF FUNNEL CLOUD WITH DAMAGE.

Last Edit: Feb 14, 2017 9:34:44 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
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Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

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Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 10:06:31 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 10:06:31 GMT -6

Since it wasn't posted yet, here's the new Tornado Watch:

Tornado Watch Number 33
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
940 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest Louisiana
Southeast Texas
Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 940 AM until
300 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will track across
the watch area late this morning and early afternoon, posing a risk
of damaging winds and a tornado or two.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
north and south of a line from 50 miles northwest of Port Arthur TX
to 50 miles east northeast of Lake Charles LA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 10:07:00 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 10:07:00 GMT -6 VAN Vleck [Matagorda Co, TX] EMERGENCY MNGR reports TSTM WND DMG at 8:20 AM CST -- TREES DAMAGE... RVS FLIPPED OVER... DAMAGE TO AT LEAST 1 HOME IN VAN VLECK. DAMAGE PATH ABOUT 1 MILE LONG.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Bayou Medic Moderator Board Member Posts: 1,345 Staff Member	Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 11:03:03 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Bayou Medic on Feb 14, 2017 11:03:03 GMT -6 All of SELA upgraded to SLIGHT RISK now.
	GCWX Board Member Spotter Network Trained Emergency Medical Technician 911 Emergency Operator

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 12:22:54 GMT -6 tgrgrd00 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 12:22:54 GMT -6 I would have probably left it as Marginal. That line doesn't look to do too much as it moves east...may even fall apart some.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

wilee81 GCWX Supporter Posts: 652	Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 12:29:25 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by wilee81 on Feb 14, 2017 12:29:25 GMT -6 Yeah it looks like there's a pretty decent rain shield ahead of the main line of t'storms

SKYSUMMIT
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Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

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Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 13:35:35 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 13:35:35 GMT -6

That line should continue to weaken as it moves east. For later this afternoon and evening, the best severe potential looks to be right along the coast. If additional storms can develop there, those will have the potential to become strong or severe.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Will - Ascension Parish
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 3,283

Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 13:56:20 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Feb 14, 2017 13:56:20 GMT -6

Feb 14, 2017 13:35:35 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

That line should continue to weaken as it moves east. For later this afternoon and evening, the best severe potential looks to be right along the coast. If additional storms can develop there, those will have the potential to become strong or severe.

Yes, it sure looks to just provide around an inch or two of rain and that's it. Another month and we'll be in the middle of spring flood season. Seems as though it never ends!

Last Edit: Feb 14, 2017 13:56:54 GMT -6 by Will - Ascension Parish

SKYSUMMIT
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Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

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Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 14:16:43 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 14:16:43 GMT -6

Mesoscale Discussion 0182
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0202 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2017

Areas affected...Portions of southern/eastern
LA...western/central/southern MS

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 142002Z - 142230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Areas east of Tornado Watch 33 are being monitored for
isolated severe potential this afternoon. Present indications are
that additional/downstream Watch issuance is unlikely.

DISCUSSION...Substantial weakening has been noted with a convective
line crossing parts of western LA. As the broader precipitation
pattern associated with this MCS has transitioned from
trailing-stratiform to leading-stratiform, warm-sector
destabilization attendant to 1007-mb surface low analyzed in
northwest LA has been restricted. Furthermore, the 18Z Slidell LA
sounding indicates that the low levels north of the immediate Gulf
Coast are only modestly moist, with a lowest-100-mb mean mixing
ratio of 10.8 g/kg. Surface dewpoints have mixed out into the upper
50s to around 60F across many parts of central/southern MS and
southern LA where insolation has occurred peripheral to denser
MCS-related cloud canopies. As such, observational trends suggest
that inland destabilization remains quite muted ahead of any remnant
convection accompanying the MCS, and this activity may pose only
marginal/isolated severe potential through late afternoon as it
spreads across parts of the Lower MS Valley region.

Regardless, a well-defined surge of drying is evident on the upshear
side of the MCS -- based on the larger-scale bowed precipitation
pattern accompanying the aforementioned activity. The related
augmentation of a midlevel speed maximum by the remnant mesoscale
circulation may provide sufficient wind fields for conditional and
isolated damaging-wind potential if any more robust convective cores
were to evolve in the strongly sheared environment. Areas of partial
insolation -- especially from central MS to southeast LA -- may have
boosted low-level lapse rates sufficiently to support such
potential. Somewhat richer Gulf moisture just offshore may be
advected inland with time, and this could eventually translate to a
modest increase in severe potential near the coast. However,
substantial uncertainty in these scenarios remains.

..Cohen/Hart.. 02/14/2017

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15 Feb 14, 2017 16:39:32 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Feb 14, 2017 16:39:32 GMT -6 it looks like the rain is pushing into the Thibodaux area now, street lights are on in downtown already

Severe Weather Discussion - Tuesday, 2/14 - 2/15

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 8:38:26 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 8:43:24 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 8:45:37 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 9:22:48 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 9:30:49 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 9:31:13 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 10:06:31 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 10:07:00 GMT -6

Post by Bayou Medic on Feb 14, 2017 11:03:03 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 12:22:54 GMT -6

Post by wilee81 on Feb 14, 2017 12:29:25 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 13:35:35 GMT -6

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Feb 14, 2017 13:56:20 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Feb 14, 2017 14:16:43 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Feb 14, 2017 16:39:32 GMT -6

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