2. A trough of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing numerous showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it meanders over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains associated with this disturbance are likely over portions of eastern Mexico during the remainder of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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Post by hurricaner on Sept 5, 2017 11:33:00 GMT -6
The percentages continue to increase on 95L 70/80%.
A well-defined area of low pressure has formed about 50 miles east of Tampico, Mexico in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico in association with numerous showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it meanders over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains associated with this disturbance are likely over portions of eastern Mexico during the remainder of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.