Katia Discussion Thread

The percentages continue to increase on 95L 70/80%.

A well-defined area of low pressure has formed about 50 miles east
of Tampico, Mexico in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico in
association with numerous showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are conducive for gradual development, and
this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the
next couple of days while it meanders over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains associated with this
disturbance are likely over portions of eastern Mexico during the
remainder of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.