Jose Discussion Thread

SKYSUMMIT
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Jose Discussion Thread Sept 6, 2017 20:55:56 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 6, 2017 20:55:56 GMT -6

Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
1100 PM AST Wed Sep 06 2017

...JOSE CONTINUES INTENSIFYING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 47.5W
ABOUT 925 MI...1485 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES

REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!)
Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Mr. Spock
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Posts: 201

Jose Discussion Thread Sept 6, 2017 22:25:27 GMT -6

Post by Mr. Spock on Sept 6, 2017 22:25:27 GMT -6

The NHC track for Jose not only tracks it as being a fish but also forecasts Jose to weaken to a Tropical Storm. Can someone explain? I suppose that Jose is forecast to skim Northward just to the West of that Atlantic High. Why would it weaken? Maybe some wind shear? Thanks.

Permit me this small lapse into human emotion. I hate Hurricanes and Tornadoes. Live long and prosper.

coreyl Category 2 Posts: 514	Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 0:59:59 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by coreyl on Sept 7, 2017 0:59:59 GMT -6 Tonight's 00z Euro has Jose headed towards South Florida in Ten Days, now that would be something. I don't recall storms stalling out over the Atlantic for so long. In fact, it showed something similar in the 12z from Wed as well
	Last Edit: Sept 7, 2017 1:09:41 GMT -6 by coreyl

Briella - Houma Category 5 Posts: 8,421	Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 2:10:45 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Briella - Houma on Sept 7, 2017 2:10:45 GMT -6 Interesting, Euro showed that a couple days ago as well.
	Briella Helicity - The Weather Superstore www.helicity.co

Jess23
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Posts: 165

Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 4:24:22 GMT -6 via mobile Huracan likes this

Post by Jess23 on Sept 7, 2017 4:24:22 GMT -6

Sept 5, 2017 0:57:40 GMT -6 Huracan said:

Not going to lie...I was hoping maybe this was the year we'd see a little Fujiwhara effect in the Atlantic given the number of storms. Guess that would be rather terrifying.

Interesting that you posted this and yesterday in the Irma thread we saw it on the models.

Jess23 GCWX Supporter Posts: 165	Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 4:25:52 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Jess23 on Sept 7, 2017 4:25:52 GMT -6 Sept 7, 2017 2:10:45 GMT -6 Briella - Houma said: Interesting, Euro showed that a couple days ago as well. That would be devastating for Florida to get hit twice!

SKYSUMMIT
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Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 9:00:58 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 9:00:58 GMT -6

Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 07 2017

...JOSE EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY FRIDAY...
...WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 50.6W
ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!)
Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 64,796 Location: Hammond, LA Staff Member	Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 9:07:04 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 9:07:04 GMT -6 This is absolutely horrible. The same island who were just ravaged by Irma will get another major hurricane this weekend.
	REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

cajungal Category 5 Posts: 5,099	Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 9:08:13 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Sept 7, 2017 9:08:13 GMT -6 Unbelievable. also hope it doesn't do that loop and threaten Florida.
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

wxwatcher
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 72

Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 11:17:59 GMT -6

Post by wxwatcher on Sept 7, 2017 11:17:59 GMT -6

Sept 7, 2017 9:08:13 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Unbelievable.

also hope it doesn't do that loop and threaten Florida.

Jose looks to sit around for about 10 days or so and it looks like our next storm to watch will be developing as well according to the GFS

link

SKYSUMMIT
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Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 11:53:07 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 11:53:07 GMT -6

Hurricane Jose Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
200 PM AST Thu Sep 07 2017

...JOSE NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 51.4W
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES

REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!)
Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
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Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 14:42:17 GMT -6 wxwatcher likes this

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 14:42:17 GMT -6

Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
500 PM AST Thu Sep 07 2017

...JOSE BECOMES 3RD MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2017 ATLANTIC SEASON...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 52.4W
ABOUT 590 MI...955 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES

REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!)
Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
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Posts: 64,796

Location: Hammond, LA

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Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 20:49:33 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 20:49:33 GMT -6

Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
1100 PM AST Thu Sep 07 2017

...CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE JOSE MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 53.9W
ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES

REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!)
Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

huskiesdelabasin
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Posts: 732

Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 22:20:41 GMT -6

Post by huskiesdelabasin on Sept 7, 2017 22:20:41 GMT -6

hey sky i see irma in ga here jose behind and out a little another one that comes of africa but what about the one that forms off the coast up by maine? it that would happen would that or the thing above it be part of the named storms if they turn into storms?

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 64,796 Location: Hammond, LA Staff Member	Jose Discussion Thread Sept 7, 2017 22:36:02 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 22:36:02 GMT -6 huskiesdelabasin that's an upper level low that spins off the trough moving out.
	Last Edit: Sept 7, 2017 22:36:14 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis? Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6

Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world. Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6

stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives? Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6

Jose Discussion Thread

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 6, 2017 20:55:56 GMT -6

Post by Mr. Spock on Sept 6, 2017 22:25:27 GMT -6

Post by coreyl on Sept 7, 2017 0:59:59 GMT -6

Post by Briella - Houma on Sept 7, 2017 2:10:45 GMT -6

Post by Jess23 on Sept 7, 2017 4:24:22 GMT -6

Post by Jess23 on Sept 7, 2017 4:25:52 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 9:00:58 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 9:07:04 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Sept 7, 2017 9:08:13 GMT -6

Post by wxwatcher on Sept 7, 2017 11:17:59 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 11:53:07 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 14:42:17 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 20:49:33 GMT -6

Post by huskiesdelabasin on Sept 7, 2017 22:20:41 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 7, 2017 22:36:02 GMT -6

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