HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS)

klstiger GCWX Supporter Posts: 442	HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 6:20:09 GMT -6 via mobile NavyMom: WBR Parish likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by klstiger on Jul 8, 2019 6:20:09 GMT -6 I realize that this is not even formed yet... my question is on timing. If this does develop are we looking at end of the week or later weekend timing?
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HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 6:21:54 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by klstiger on Jul 8, 2019 6:21:54 GMT -6

Jul 8, 2019 6:18:51 GMT -6 tcane said:

What’s the timing on this? Flying back into New Orleans Friday mid day. Y’all do a great job but would appreciate when the experts post where it’s going on model runs to say when. A lot of us can’t read the maps and it gets frustrating trying to figure that part out sometimes Thanks. Y’all are great here.

Same question I had, flying out today and heading back Thursday night. Just want to make sure I don’t get stuck...

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SKYSUMMIT
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HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 6:28:16 GMT -6 klstiger and allicat1214 like this

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jul 8, 2019 6:28:16 GMT -6

Jul 8, 2019 6:18:51 GMT -6 tcane said:

What’s the timing on this? Flying back into New Orleans Friday mid day. Y’all do a great job but would appreciate when the experts post where it’s going on model runs to say when. A lot of us can’t read the maps and it gets frustrating trying to figure that part out sometimes Thanks. Y’all are great here.

This weekend...most between Saturday and Sunday depending on the final track.

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HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 6:38:52 GMT -6 Siker likes this

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Post by ndg on Jul 8, 2019 6:38:52 GMT -6

This is the reason why the Euro is stronger than the GFS's forecast, it builds a nice anticyclone on top it before reaching the NW gulf coast. The GFS in the other keeps the anticyclone ahead of towards the TX coast thus inducing northerly shear in this same area.

MobileWeatherWatcher Category 5 Posts: 3,041 Member is Online	HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 6:40:06 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Jul 8, 2019 6:40:06 GMT -6 Interesting model shifts the past coup!e days.

ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 6:56:53 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Jul 8, 2019 6:56:53 GMT -6 This is now Invest 92L, a good 24 hrs sooner than I thought lol.

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 7:08:36 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jul 8, 2019 7:08:36 GMT -6 First set of plots released: i.ibb.co/tDMSFbh/storm-92.gif
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HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 7:53:18 GMT -6

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Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Jul 8, 2019 7:53:18 GMT -6

Jul 8, 2019 6:21:54 GMT -6 klstiger said:

Jul 8, 2019 6:18:51 GMT -6 tcane said:

What’s the timing on this? Flying back into New Orleans Friday mid day. Y’all do a great job but would appreciate when the experts post where it’s going on model runs to say when. A lot of us can’t read the maps and it gets frustrating trying to figure that part out sometimes Thanks. Y’all are great here.

Same question I had, flying out today and heading back Thursday night. Just want to make sure I don’t get stuck...

Same here... my daughter has a BJJ tournament in NOLA all day Saturday.
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HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 8:30:21 GMT -6

Quote

Post by nolasim on Jul 8, 2019 8:30:21 GMT -6

Jul 8, 2019 7:08:36 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

First set of plots released:

i.ibb.co/tDMSFbh/storm-92.gif

I think this makes it all abundantly clear.

For those asking about timing and such, I'd say that at this point it's hard to pinpoint; unfortunately we have to wait awhile. As we can see from the models posted, the only certainty right now is uncertainty. Keep in mind we do not have an actual "system" in place as of yet.Probably by Wednesday we'll have somewhat of a clearer picture.........somewhat. Not much planning time, I know.

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HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN Moderator Director of Public Relations Posts: 6,258 Location: Gallatin, TN - 20 miles NE of Nashville Staff Member	HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 8:42:50 GMT -6 Crafty1 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Jul 8, 2019 8:42:50 GMT -6 12z NAM doesn't do SE Louisiana any favors.
	Last Edit: Jul 8, 2019 8:48:00 GMT -6 by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN GCWX Director of Public Relations Weather Underground www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLACOVIN110

hurricaner Moderator Board Member Posts: 5,167 Staff Member	HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 8:56:14 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by hurricaner on Jul 8, 2019 8:56:14 GMT -6 A future plan for recon flight into 92L for Wednesday. 2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A. POSSIBLE INVEST NEAR 28.0N 85.5W AT 10/1800Z. B. POSSIBLE P-3 TDR MISSION AT 11/0000Z.
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HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 9:11:41 GMT -6

Quote

Post by ndg on Jul 8, 2019 9:11:41 GMT -6

Jul 8, 2019 8:30:21 GMT -6 nolasim said:

Jul 8, 2019 7:08:36 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

First set of plots released:

i.ibb.co/tDMSFbh/storm-92.gif

I think this makes it all abundantly clear.

For those asking about timing and such, I'd say that at this point it's hard to pinpoint; unfortunately we have to wait awhile. As we can see from the models posted, the only certainty right now is uncertainty. Keep in mind we do not have an actual "system" in place as of yet.Probably by Wednesday we'll have somewhat of a clearer picture.........somewhat. Not much planning time, I know.

The only two models on it so far that are worth paying attention to are the Euro and UKMET, the TAB models are worthless.

Last Edit: Jul 8, 2019 9:12:47 GMT -6 by ndg

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HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 9:20:29 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Cheshire Cat on Jul 8, 2019 9:20:29 GMT -6

Jul 8, 2019 9:11:41 GMT -6 ndg said:

Jul 8, 2019 8:30:21 GMT -6 nolasim said:

I think this makes it all abundantly clear.

For those asking about timing and such, I'd say that at this point it's hard to pinpoint; unfortunately we have to wait awhile. As we can see from the models posted, the only certainty right now is uncertainty. Keep in mind we do not have an actual "system" in place as of yet.Probably by Wednesday we'll have somewhat of a clearer picture.........somewhat. Not much planning time, I know.

The only two models on it so far that are worth paying attention to are the Euro and UKMET, the TAB models are worthless.

Which codes/color are Euro & UKMET on this map?

hurricaner Moderator Board Member Posts: 5,167 Staff Member	HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 9:23:02 GMT -6 Cheshire Cat likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by hurricaner on Jul 8, 2019 9:23:02 GMT -6 Euro is orange and UKMET is blue.
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lsuhurricane Category 2 Posts: 552	HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS) Jul 8, 2019 9:35:41 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lsuhurricane on Jul 8, 2019 9:35:41 GMT -6 12Z Icon very similar to Euro for track and intensity.

HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS)

Post by klstiger on Jul 8, 2019 6:20:09 GMT -6

Post by klstiger on Jul 8, 2019 6:21:54 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jul 8, 2019 6:28:16 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jul 8, 2019 6:38:52 GMT -6

Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Jul 8, 2019 6:40:06 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jul 8, 2019 6:56:53 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jul 8, 2019 7:08:36 GMT -6

Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Jul 8, 2019 7:53:18 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Jul 8, 2019 8:30:21 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Jul 8, 2019 8:42:50 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Jul 8, 2019 8:56:14 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jul 8, 2019 9:11:41 GMT -6

Post by Cheshire Cat on Jul 8, 2019 9:20:29 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Jul 8, 2019 9:23:02 GMT -6

Post by lsuhurricane on Jul 8, 2019 9:35:41 GMT -6

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