Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread

Remnants/Dissipated

nolasim
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Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 16:25:29 GMT -6 Mike T.- Chackbay,La, whitecap, and 3 more like this

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Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2019 16:25:29 GMT -6

Never let it be said that this forum did not have a sense of humor.

As always, we'll wait and see how this data verifies in future runs of models. Remember yesterday the ICON had Dorian coming right at SE LA. Who knows what tomorrow will bring. *wine

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

grisairgasm GCWX Supporter Posts: 5,866	Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 16:26:20 GMT -6 ed54 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by grisairgasm on Aug 29, 2019 16:26:20 GMT -6 Keep in mind that basically the N half of Fla E coast into Georgia coast does not see majors per climatology. Can’t ignore that.

grisairgasm GCWX Supporter Posts: 5,866	Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 16:38:10 GMT -6 dixielou likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by grisairgasm on Aug 29, 2019 16:38:10 GMT -6 Umm...uuuh....is it possible for grown men to experience pain similar to labor in the brain? Just sayin’

roz
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Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 16:45:46 GMT -6 HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN, SKYSUMMIT, and 6 more like this

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Post by roz on Aug 29, 2019 16:45:46 GMT -6

While we are waiting on the 00z models please consider donating to the forum, by clicking on the donate button on the home page. I just made another donation this year because I really appreciate all the input.

I don't always comment on the forum, but I monitor it to keep updated.

:weatherman:

Mike T.- Chackbay,La
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Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 16:51:58 GMT -6 via mobile Cheshire Cat, kitzikatz, and 8 more like this

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Post by Mike T.- Chackbay,La on Aug 29, 2019 16:51:58 GMT -6

Aug 29, 2019 16:17:19 GMT -6 grisairgasm said:

Fajita effect? Christ, what would that mean? LOL

Fajita effect...that's when you put squirt cheese and Vienna sausages on tortillas instead of crackers while waiting on the perfect storm.

ndg
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Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 17:21:01 GMT -6 Cheshire Cat, harpman - old, and 2 more like this

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Post by ndg on Aug 29, 2019 17:21:01 GMT -6

I told you yesterday, how about that ICON!!!
Now both GFS and Euro have been trending towards it in Dorian making landfall further south in S FL. UKMET has also been fairly persistent in a more southerly landfall.
Good news for us in Orlando if current trends continue. Even if it was to eventually come up the Peninsula towards Tampa or Orlando it will be much weaker because it made landfall further south.

nolanana GCWX Supporter Posts: 119	Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 17:50:49 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolanana on Aug 29, 2019 17:50:49 GMT -6 What the heck is ICON??? I don't see anything about those two things in the Gulf anywhere else!!

HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN
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Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 17:53:14 GMT -6

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Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Aug 29, 2019 17:53:14 GMT -6

Aug 29, 2019 17:50:49 GMT -6 nolanana said:

What the heck is ICON??? I don't see anything about those two things in the Gulf anywhere else!!

The ICON is the German model, and it really got attention for Barry, which it nailed, way better then all the other models.

That doesn't mean it will happen again, but hey, looking at the possibilities is what this forum is partly about.

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Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,555 Member is Online	Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 17:59:51 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Aug 29, 2019 17:59:51 GMT -6 Does anyone know why the Hurricane Center no longer includes the barometric pressure on their update graphics? I noticed that last year too....

derecho
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Posts: 100

Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 18:12:34 GMT -6

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Post by derecho on Aug 29, 2019 18:12:34 GMT -6

235300 2246N 06748W 7521 02401 9892 +165 +126 192072 074 070 001 00
235330 2245N 06747W 7513 02440 9927 +157 +119 196083 087 071 000 00
235400 2244N 06745W 7527 02446 9966 +144 +115 199082 085 069 000 00
235430 2243N 06744W 7525 02465 9993 +135 +124 202075 078 063 002 00

235900 2256N 06750W 6957 03038 9886 +107 //// 154072 075 078 002 01
235930 2257N 06749W 6967 03050 9926 +093 //// 153084 086 076 004 01
000000 2259N 06747W 6980 03054 //// +077 //// 150081 086 070 007 01
000030 2300N 06746W 6966 03088 9998 +075 +069 150079 081 066 009 00
000100 2301N 06745W 6969 03101 0005 +084 +066 149073 078 066 003 00

Recent observations from the NOAA and Air Force planes currently flying through Dorian - highest values I've seen from all the missions so far. Looks like he's starting his run at intensifying

Last Edit: Aug 29, 2019 18:14:21 GMT -6 by derecho

ULM Atmospheric Science BS
UAH Earth System Science MS
Huntsville, AL // St. Amant, LA

derecho Meteorologist Posts: 100	Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 18:37:34 GMT -6 Jess23 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by derecho on Aug 29, 2019 18:37:34 GMT -6 Looking more symmetrical on satellite too (I don't know how to make it show up in my post, sorry)
	Last Edit: Aug 29, 2019 18:38:15 GMT -6 by derecho ULM Atmospheric Science BS UAH Earth System Science MS Huntsville, AL // St. Amant, LA

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 18:42:07 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 29, 2019 18:42:07 GMT -6 I noticed he flattened out in the southwest quadrant over the past few hours but is now starting to look much better and the CDO is expanding.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

gcgreenwave05
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Posts: 109

Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 18:54:42 GMT -6

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Post by gcgreenwave05 on Aug 29, 2019 18:54:42 GMT -6

So is it that this high is building stronger which is why this track could still potentially be as south as Miami? and the storm is just supposed to rotate around it? is there anything else that may have an influence on this?

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 18:58:22 GMT -6 via mobile goldenbetty, gcgreenwave05, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 29, 2019 18:58:22 GMT -6 00z plots are starting to spread again. Let's see what tonight's runs have in-store
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

hurricaner Moderator Board Member Posts: 5,167 Staff Member	Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2019 19:18:02 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by hurricaner on Aug 29, 2019 19:18:02 GMT -6 Around 7pm a VDM had the pressure at 980mb which is about a 6mb drop in about 3hr.
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lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

jenniqtip: I donate every year. 😀ju sry as soon as the first area of interest pops up!! I rarely post though so the tag isn’t necessary. Just know I appreciate everything you do!! Jul 7, 2024 12:53:12 GMT -6

Hurricane Dorian Discussion Thread

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2019 16:25:29 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Aug 29, 2019 16:26:20 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Aug 29, 2019 16:38:10 GMT -6

Post by roz on Aug 29, 2019 16:45:46 GMT -6

Post by Mike T.- Chackbay,La on Aug 29, 2019 16:51:58 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Aug 29, 2019 17:21:01 GMT -6

Post by nolanana on Aug 29, 2019 17:50:49 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Aug 29, 2019 17:53:14 GMT -6

Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Aug 29, 2019 17:59:51 GMT -6

Post by derecho on Aug 29, 2019 18:12:34 GMT -6

Post by derecho on Aug 29, 2019 18:37:34 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 29, 2019 18:42:07 GMT -6

Post by gcgreenwave05 on Aug 29, 2019 18:54:42 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 29, 2019 18:58:22 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Aug 29, 2019 19:18:02 GMT -6

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