TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread

A PTC and TS warnings maybe issued at 4pm.


Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico have become a little
better organized today. This system is expected to move generally
northward, and a tropical or subtropical depression is likely to
form over the west-central Gulf of Mexico tonight or early Friday.
A tropical storm warning will likely be required for a portion of
the northern Gulf Coast later this afternoon, and Potential Tropical
Cyclone advisories will likely be initiated on this system at 4 PM
CDT (2100 UTC). An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft
is en route to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.


Heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and
southern Mexico during the next couple of days. Heavy rains will
also begin to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday.
Please consult products from your local meteorological service for
more information.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

And in other news Bob says Vipri still shows Katrina as an East coast storm.  

I hate to be one of those people LOL, but I'm supposed to fly out of Baton Rouge to Charlotte on Sunday around lunch time. What's the chances that actually happens?

I think I'm lost [go figure] - is A one model and B another? Or, is this just the impact of landfall? TIA

I've been reading these forums for many years. I've noticed two distinct camps that seem to emerge when faced with a weather situation. There is a group that almost actively wishes for destruction and mayhem. Admittedly, I used to be in that group when I was much younger, and before I owned a home and paid insurance, etc. Then there is another group that will remain in complete denial about what could happen. My parents fall into that category. They were in complete denial about a certain storm until it was at the mouth of the Mississippi. The rest of us just kind of fall in the middle. It's interesting message board psychology. 

I'd be ok with the B scenario in Sky's post, I need to do some work outside and the breeze would help. Not so much the rain though, that would not be good.