TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread

So the NHC completely ignored all the intensity models on this one. Not one of the models show this ever reaching TS status at any time. 

at least they didn't name it Gully

i.imgur.com/46piy3c.jpg

Took a picture before it got dark, some clouds rolling in.

Beautiful day at the Poplarville airport. Got to taste some of that pretty blue sky today. Strictly an old guy pilot’s OPINION....I doubt SE LA sees widespread flooding. The area of “whatever” down there is extremely and classically R side weighted. Lake Ponchartrain will probably do the now normal 2-3 ft. rise. I’m expecting less wind than a good arctic front in January. In n out. The band plays Chalmette Saturday night and I fully expect to have a sore guitar strap shoulder and raw finger tips come Sunday AM. But, ALWAYS be prepared and attentive to official information. Everybody be safe.

I would think so. There is no definite center of circulation from which to initialize so.........garbage in, garbage out. Honestly, and this is just me at this point, I wouldn't even focus on the track itself at this point, since the horrendous weather is going to be far east from where the projected center lands. I mean, the NOLA area and SE LA is well to the east of the projected landfall and yet at this point, that is where the worst of the weather is forecast to be. The "landfall" projection (I use that term loosely in this case) is around Marsh Island below Lafayette, well to the west of the NOLA metro area, and yet the GFS is showing very little rainfall until about 100 miles east of where the center is projected to go ashore. Typically the worst weather is indeed east of the center, but in my observation the bad weather looks to be very displaced from the center, more than usual. Again, these are my amateur observations.

Yea. I thought about that after I posted it. from my untrained eye it looked at one point it was "getting its structure together" then it almost "blew apart". Like the whole East side of the storm went poof