[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread

Remnants/Dissipated

lsuhurricane Category 2 Posts: 552	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:38:09 GMT -6 via mobile darius Bogalusa likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lsuhurricane on Jun 30, 2024 9:38:09 GMT -6 Yep, ICON landfalls at 963 mb near Galveston. Notable shift north

MobileWeatherWatcher Category 5 Posts: 3,037	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:40:47 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Jun 30, 2024 9:40:47 GMT -6 If anyone is curious about what AccuWeather has x.com/accuweather/status/1807412454991024506?s=46&t=XqZGN8evQWVveGeewN6qkA

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,615 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:42:16 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex, NavyMom: WBR Parish, and 5 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 9:42:16 GMT -6 June 30th and the first hurricane of the season reaches Cat 4 intensity. #mindblown
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,615 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:43:34 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 9:43:34 GMT -6 12z ICON at landfall. Moving north here:
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

bstelly24-Denham Springs, LA
Meteorology Student

Posts: 963

[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:43:56 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by bstelly24-Denham Springs, LA on Jun 30, 2024 9:43:56 GMT -6

Jun 30, 2024 9:37:43 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Hurricane Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1135 AM AST Sun Jun 30 2024

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FIND BERYL NOW AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED IN THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

NOAA and Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft data indicate
that Beryl has strengthened to an extremely dangerous category 4
hurricane. The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 130 mph
(215 km/h) with higher gusts.

SUMMARY OF 1135 AM AST...1535 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 54.9W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM E OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES

This will be a very historic season.

darius Bogalusa
Category 5

Posts: 2,231

[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:47:56 GMT -6 via mobile NavyMom: WBR Parish and spencer6898 like this

Quote

Post by darius Bogalusa on Jun 30, 2024 9:47:56 GMT -6

Jun 30, 2024 9:42:16 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

June 30th and the first hurricane of the season reaches Cat 4 intensity. #mindblown

I don't think people get how absurd this is.....

lsuhurricane Category 2 Posts: 552	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:48:29 GMT -6 via mobile spencer6898 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lsuhurricane on Jun 30, 2024 9:48:29 GMT -6 Really would like these models to be closer in reality from an initialization standpoint. GFS starts 20mb higher than actual

cajungal Category 5 Posts: 6,363 Member is Online	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:48:42 GMT -6 via mobile spencer6898 and fleurdelisa-Folsom, LA like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Jun 30, 2024 9:48:42 GMT -6 Jun 30, 2024 9:43:34 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: 12z ICON at landfall. Moving north here: Houston we have a problem
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

rebekahb-Metairie GCWX Supporter Posts: 238	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:54:47 GMT -6 via mobile NavyMom: WBR Parish and spencer6898 like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by rebekahb-Metairie on Jun 30, 2024 9:54:47 GMT -6 Beryl is a beauty on imagery. It’s wild how something can have such an awe about it but bring the potential for massive destruction all at the same time.

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,615

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:55:03 GMT -6 spencer6898 likes this

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 9:55:03 GMT -6

Jun 30, 2024 9:48:29 GMT -6 lsuhurricane said:

Really would like these models to be closer in reality from an initialization standpoint. GFS starts 20mb higher than actual

That's probably impossible when these storms bomb out like this and undergo rapid intensification.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,615 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:57:26 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 9:57:26 GMT -6 The 12z GFS is very close to the 06z run as far as track...near Jamaica around mid day Wednesday. Now what happens from here?
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 778	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 9:59:01 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jun 30, 2024 9:59:01 GMT -6 Will the HH data be in the 12z run??

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,615 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 10:05:12 GMT -6 rebekahb-Metairie likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 10:05:12 GMT -6 12z GFS has Beryl making landfall near Cancun very late the night of the 4th as a weakening tropical storm.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

swla6
Tropical Storm

Posts: 96

[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 10:09:24 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by swla6 on Jun 30, 2024 10:09:24 GMT -6

Jun 30, 2024 10:05:12 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

12z GFS has Beryl making landfall near Cancun very late the night of the 4th as a weakening tropical storm.

To me it looks like after Beryl hits Cancun are it starts moving more NW instead of WNW possibly starting to feel the weakness

Last Edit: Jun 30, 2024 10:10:08 GMT -6 by swla6

hurricaner Moderator Board Member Posts: 5,166 Staff Member	[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread Jun 30, 2024 10:09:38 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by hurricaner on Jun 30, 2024 10:09:38 GMT -6 The 12Z GFS initialized Beryl way too weak. It shows Beryl at 1pm today with a central pressure of 981mb and at 10:30 pressure was already 962mb.
	GCWX Board Member

lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

jenniqtip: I donate every year. 😀ju sry as soon as the first area of interest pops up!! I rarely post though so the tag isn’t necessary. Just know I appreciate everything you do!! Jul 7, 2024 12:53:12 GMT -6

[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread

Post by lsuhurricane on Jun 30, 2024 9:38:09 GMT -6

Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Jun 30, 2024 9:40:47 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 9:42:16 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 9:43:34 GMT -6

Post by bstelly24-Denham Springs, LA on Jun 30, 2024 9:43:56 GMT -6

Post by darius Bogalusa on Jun 30, 2024 9:47:56 GMT -6

Post by lsuhurricane on Jun 30, 2024 9:48:29 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Jun 30, 2024 9:48:42 GMT -6

Post by rebekahb-Metairie on Jun 30, 2024 9:54:47 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 9:55:03 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 9:57:26 GMT -6

Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jun 30, 2024 9:59:01 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 30, 2024 10:05:12 GMT -6

Post by swla6 on Jun 30, 2024 10:09:24 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Jun 30, 2024 10:09:38 GMT -6

Shoutbox

Welcome All Members & Guests

Supporter Us & Donate for the 2024 Season

Current Storms

Hurricane Season 2024

Tropical Outlook

Regional Radars

Today's Convective Outlook

Today's Weather

Watches and Warnings