[H] HURRICANE BERYL - Discussion Thread

AF recon coming in the NE quadrant tells me an EWR is starting to take place so it might have peaked this morning, at least for now.

I do not like that bend

Eyewall replacement cycle commencing.

The NHC forecast discussion mentions interaction with elevated terrain in Jamaica, dry air intrusions, and vertical wind shear as factors in the expected reduction in future intensity. I can see the wind shear in the maps, and the effect of elevated terrain is kind of self evident, but where does the dry slotting come from? Fingers crossed for weakening to occur and thoughts for all in her path.

The only one I can find that keeps Beryl bombed is the HWRF. Am I missing any others?

Yes. I remember it doing pretty well that year.