[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO

cajungal
Category 5

Posts: 6,364

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 13:47:18 GMT -6 via mobile Mike T.- Chackbay,La likes this

Quote

Post by cajungal on Sept 8, 2024 13:47:18 GMT -6

Sept 8, 2024 13:40:23 GMT -6 Mike T.- Chackbay,La said:

I've seen it said on here many times that "the trend is your friend". From what I'm reading on all the posts recently, the trend is likely not gonna be a friend to us in Terrebonne/Lafourche/St.Mary. Ughhhhhh

My thoughts exactly.

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

nolasim
Moderator

Posts: 6,929
Location: Algiers-West Bank

Staff Member

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 13:47:25 GMT -6 shelbysmom — Jefferson, la, Mike T.- Chackbay,La, and 9 more like this

Quote

Post by nolasim on Sept 8, 2024 13:47:25 GMT -6

At any rate, while we are in wait-and-see mode, I truly appreciate this forum and all of its members and the valuable information shared here over the years, especially info. that the general public may not be immediately aware of. This forum has been a huge support to my family and me over the years and not just during hurricane season. I remember two Springs ago when we had severe weather and tornadoes were popping up all over the place and being monitored, one of our forum friends here (this person knows who this person is) actually called me and said, "Jim, get your arse in a closet...NOW!" This place has truly been a lifesaving repository of valuable information and all y'all are truly appreciated.

Thank you all for being a part of this. Now....we return to our regular wait-and-see programming.

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

nolasim
Moderator

Posts: 6,929
Location: Algiers-West Bank

Staff Member

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 13:48:50 GMT -6 Mike T.- Chackbay,La and grisairgasm like this

Quote

Post by nolasim on Sept 8, 2024 13:48:50 GMT -6

Sept 8, 2024 13:46:19 GMT -6 gulfbreeze said:

Sept 8, 2024 13:40:23 GMT -6 Mike T.- Chackbay,La said:

I've seen it said on here many times that "the trend is your friend". From what I'm reading on all the posts recently, the trend is likely not gonna be a friend to us in Terrebonne/Lafourche/St.Mary. Ughhhhhh

Not a friend to us in Vermilion either -

Keep in mind though that if it keeps trending that way it might essentially miss y'all altogether. I mean, more eastward trending and it could take aim at Plaquemines, right? Everything is on the table at this point it seems.

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

jimmycarl
Category 5

Posts: 1,514

Location: West Side Of The MS Coast

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 13:49:12 GMT -6 grisairgasm likes this

Quote

Post by jimmycarl on Sept 8, 2024 13:49:12 GMT -6

Sept 8, 2024 13:47:25 GMT -6 nolasim said:

At any rate, while we are in wait-and-see mode, I truly appreciate this forum and all of its members and the valuable information shared here over the years, especially info. that the general public may not be immediately aware of. This forum has been a huge support to my family and me over the years and not just during hurricane season. I remember two Springs ago when we had severe weather and tornadoes were popping up all over the place and being monitored, one of our forum friends here (this person knows who this person is) actually called me and said, "Jim, get your arse in a closet...NOW!" This place has truly been a lifesaving repository of valuable information and all y'all are truly appreciated.

Thank you all for being a part of this. Now....we return to our regular wait-and-see programming.

I 2nd that.

grisairgasm
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 5,866

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 13:50:48 GMT -6 nolasim, NavyMom: WBR Parish, and 1 more like this

Quote

Post by grisairgasm on Sept 8, 2024 13:50:48 GMT -6

Sept 8, 2024 13:47:25 GMT -6 nolasim said:

At any rate, while we are in wait-and-see mode, I truly appreciate this forum and all of its members and the valuable information shared here over the years, especially info. that the general public may not be immediately aware of. This forum has been a huge support to my family and me over the years and not just during hurricane season. I remember two Springs ago when we had severe weather and tornadoes were popping up all over the place and being monitored, one of our forum friends here (this person knows who this person is) actually called me and said, "Jim, get your arse in a closet...NOW!" This place has truly been a lifesaving repository of valuable information and all y'all are truly appreciated.

Thank you all for being a part of this. Now....we return to our regular wait-and-see programming.

And I’ll make that phone call again if necessary lol!

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,616 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 13:59:50 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 8, 2024 13:59:50 GMT -6 We keep saying Francine here, but 92L is looking pretty good and has a high chance of development. Could we "Get Gordon"
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

amacina - Ascension&Terrebonne
Category 1

Posts: 369

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 14:00:45 GMT -6 via mobile klstiger, jenniqtip, and 1 more like this

Quote

Post by amacina - Ascension&Terrebonne on Sept 8, 2024 14:00:45 GMT -6

Sept 8, 2024 13:59:50 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

We keep saying Francine here, but 92L is looking pretty good and has a high chance of development. Could we "Get Gordon"

I don’t even want to think about the billboards he’ll come up with if that happens.

Last Edit: Sept 8, 2024 14:00:59 GMT -6 by amacina - Ascension&Terrebonne

isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 779	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 14:01:18 GMT -6 via mobile roz and NavyMom: WBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Sept 8, 2024 14:01:18 GMT -6 PTC6 forms in the BOC cone will be coming at 4PM
	Last Edit: Sept 8, 2024 14:04:59 GMT -6 by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish

jimmycarl Category 5 Posts: 1,514 Location: West Side Of The MS Coast	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 14:09:52 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by jimmycarl on Sept 8, 2024 14:09:52 GMT -6 Sept 8, 2024 14:01:18 GMT -6 isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish said: PTC6 forms in the BOC cone will be coming at 4PM Where did you see this at?

Kory
Moderator

Posts: 1,601

Location: Metairie, LA

Staff Member

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 14:12:27 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by Kory on Sept 8, 2024 14:12:27 GMT -6

Recon is finding 2 robust low level centers. I suspected there were multiple just looking at visible. One will have to become the dominant one and take over or this will be slow to strengthen. Its possible we stay with competing low level centers and thus slower strengthening.

Located in Metairie, Louisiana.

jimmycarl Category 5 Posts: 1,514 Location: West Side Of The MS Coast	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 14:13:20 GMT -6 saetyl and NavyMom: WBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by jimmycarl on Sept 8, 2024 14:13:20 GMT -6 We're only like potentially 3 possibly 4 days out so I hope the NHC cone is not like 200+ miles wide.

isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 779

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 14:13:59 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Sept 8, 2024 14:13:59 GMT -6

Sept 8, 2024 14:09:52 GMT -6 jimmycarl said:

Sept 8, 2024 14:01:18 GMT -6 isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish said:

PTC6 forms in the BOC cone will be coming at 4PM

Where did you see this at?

x.com/hurrtrackerapp/status/1832874268243144949?s=46

optimist
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 637

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 14:19:15 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by optimist on Sept 8, 2024 14:19:15 GMT -6

Sept 8, 2024 14:12:27 GMT -6 Kory said:

Recon is finding 2 robust low level centers. I suspected there were multiple just looking at visible. One will have to become the dominant one and take over or this will be slow to strengthen. Its possible we stay with competing low level centers and thus slower strengthening.

How will a slower organizing storm affect the path?

isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 779	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 14:21:07 GMT -6 via mobile NavyMom: WBR Parish likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Sept 8, 2024 14:21:07 GMT -6 Here is the 12z AIFS that just came out and it’s sticking to its guns.
	Last Edit: Sept 8, 2024 14:21:44 GMT -6 by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish

bdominguez
Tropical Low

Posts: 6

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 8, 2024 14:23:15 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by bdominguez on Sept 8, 2024 14:23:15 GMT -6

Sept 8, 2024 14:19:15 GMT -6 optimist said:

Sept 8, 2024 14:12:27 GMT -6 Kory said:

Recon is finding 2 robust low level centers. I suspected there were multiple just looking at visible. One will have to become the dominant one and take over or this will be slow to strengthen. Its possible we stay with competing low level centers and thus slower strengthening.

How will a slower organizing storm affect the path?

Weaker tends to go more west.

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO

Post by cajungal on Sept 8, 2024 13:47:18 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Sept 8, 2024 13:47:25 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Sept 8, 2024 13:48:50 GMT -6

Post by jimmycarl on Sept 8, 2024 13:49:12 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Sept 8, 2024 13:50:48 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 8, 2024 13:59:50 GMT -6

Post by amacina - Ascension&Terrebonne on Sept 8, 2024 14:00:45 GMT -6

Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Sept 8, 2024 14:01:18 GMT -6

Post by jimmycarl on Sept 8, 2024 14:09:52 GMT -6

Post by Kory on Sept 8, 2024 14:12:27 GMT -6

Post by jimmycarl on Sept 8, 2024 14:13:20 GMT -6

Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Sept 8, 2024 14:13:59 GMT -6

Post by optimist on Sept 8, 2024 14:19:15 GMT -6

Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Sept 8, 2024 14:21:07 GMT -6

Post by bdominguez on Sept 8, 2024 14:23:15 GMT -6

Shoutbox

Welcome All Members & Guests

Supporter Us & Donate for the 2024 Season

Current Storms

Hurricane Season 2024

Tropical Outlook

Regional Radars

Today's Convective Outlook

Today's Weather

Watches and Warnings