[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO

shompy64
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 330

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:15:11 GMT -6 via mobile SKYSUMMIT, flora... Covington, near CHS, and 2 more like this

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Post by shompy64 on Sept 9, 2024 5:15:11 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 5:11:32 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish said:

Could you please post the GRAF updates as you see them, Zack?

I’m sure Zack is quite busy today. Appreciate him going above and beyond giving his insight on here when he is able.

Will - Ascension Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,282	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:18:23 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 9, 2024 5:18:23 GMT -6 Probably right!

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,618 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:18:48 GMT -6 roz, NavyMom: WBR Parish, and 3 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 9, 2024 5:18:48 GMT -6 Mike posted a nice round up of the latest hurricane models:
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Will - Ascension Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,282	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:19:53 GMT -6 darius Bogalusa likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 9, 2024 5:19:53 GMT -6 HAFS-A is concerning for sela.

flora... Covington, near CHS GCWX Supporter Posts: 2,080	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:20:25 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by flora... Covington, near CHS on Sept 9, 2024 5:20:25 GMT -6 Good Morning Everyone, I see we have gotten the expected but yet unwelcomed news of a continued eastern shift.. Am I understanding this system still doesn’t have a center?
	Last Edit: Sept 9, 2024 5:22:24 GMT -6 by flora... Covington, near CHS Covington... near CHS

SKYSUMMIT
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Location: Ponchatoula, LA

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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:22:06 GMT -6 flora... Covington, near CHS, Will - Ascension Parish, and 1 more like this

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 9, 2024 5:22:06 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 5:20:25 GMT -6 flora... Covington, near CHS said:

Good Morning Everyone, I see we have gotten the expected but yet I welcomed news of a continued eastern shift..
Am I understanding this system still doesn’t have a center?

That's correct. It does not have a confirmed center but that's probably about to be changing later this morning.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Will - Ascension Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,282	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:22:48 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 9, 2024 5:22:48 GMT -6 Not yet but they're en route now so maybe by the 10:00am update we'll have something.

pastormichael Category 2 Pastor at Pine Ridge Methodist church between Greensburg and Kentwood, LA. Posts: 423	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:24:53 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by pastormichael on Sept 9, 2024 5:24:53 GMT -6 Is there any chance that this may shift farther east into South MS or South AL and miss us altogether?

Zack Fradella Administrator Chairman \| Founder Posts: 8,540 Staff Member	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:24:55 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex, KipF, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Sept 9, 2024 5:24:55 GMT -6 06Z HAFS
	Zack Fradella FOX 8 Meteorologist StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder For Regular Weather Updates Like Me On Facebook Meteorologist Zack Fradella Follow me on Twitter & Instagram @zackfradellawx

cajungal Category 5 Posts: 6,364	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:27:53 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 5:27:53 GMT -6 Not what I wanted to wake up to. A Morgan City hit would not be good for me here in Thibodaux if that happened
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

darius Bogalusa Category 5 Posts: 2,232	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:31:57 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by darius Bogalusa on Sept 9, 2024 5:31:57 GMT -6 Kory or sky......can we get graphics on future wind Shear and dry air in the northern gulf?

Nathan Category 1 Posts: 125	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:37:16 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Nathan on Sept 9, 2024 5:37:16 GMT -6 Definitely not what any of us wanted to wake up to! Hope this doesnt become another andrew!

schexstorm
Tropical Low

Posts: 20
Location: New Iberia

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:38:32 GMT -6

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Post by schexstorm on Sept 9, 2024 5:38:32 GMT -6

Zach, do you think it will be a lopsided storm at landfall? I'm in New Iberia and if the center moves to Morgan City then it looks like most of the wind/rain is on the western side. I guess if depends on a tight center or not. thanks

Zack Fradella
Administrator

Chairman | Founder

Posts: 8,540

Staff Member

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:39:29 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Zack Fradella on Sept 9, 2024 5:39:29 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 5:38:32 GMT -6 schexstorm said:

Zach, do you think it will be a lopsided storm at landfall? I'm in New Iberia and if the center moves to Morgan City then it looks like most of the wind/rain is on the western side. I guess if depends on a tight center or not. thanks

Those fine details are tough to call days in advance. Remember, Delta was interacting with a trough and it's NW quad was the worst.

Zack Fradella
FOX 8 Meteorologist
StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder

For Regular Weather Updates
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cajungal
Category 5

Posts: 6,364

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 5:39:40 GMT -6 via mobile shelbysmom — Jefferson, la, flora... Covington, near CHS, and 4 more like this

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Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 5:39:40 GMT -6

Everyone is saying it is just going to be a 1, don’t worry. They don’t know that! And for hurricane ravaged Terrebonne and Lafourche, there are people that still never were able to fix their damaged homes from Ida! So no even a 1 would be bad

Last Edit: Sept 9, 2024 5:43:02 GMT -6 by cajungal

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO

Post by shompy64 on Sept 9, 2024 5:15:11 GMT -6

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 9, 2024 5:18:23 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 9, 2024 5:18:48 GMT -6

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 9, 2024 5:19:53 GMT -6

Post by flora... Covington, near CHS on Sept 9, 2024 5:20:25 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 9, 2024 5:22:06 GMT -6

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 9, 2024 5:22:48 GMT -6

Post by pastormichael on Sept 9, 2024 5:24:53 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Sept 9, 2024 5:24:55 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 5:27:53 GMT -6

Post by darius Bogalusa on Sept 9, 2024 5:31:57 GMT -6

Post by Nathan on Sept 9, 2024 5:37:16 GMT -6

Post by schexstorm on Sept 9, 2024 5:38:32 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Sept 9, 2024 5:39:29 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 5:39:40 GMT -6

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