[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO

Yes, unfortunately shifts are good for some and bad for others. No 100% winners in these storms

I'm not so sure a relocation means much if it comes in 10-15mb stronger due to better alignment and you get a sharper NE movement. HAFS hurricane model is an example of that, but that is just one piece of the puzzle that is hurricane modeling.

All in all, not much has changed. This is still aimed for landfall south of Lafayette on a NE trajectory and all of South Louisiana is going to see effects.

TropicalTidBits often has issues with outdated graphics. Sometimes model runs can be several runs behind

Lots of questions and all the answers are already here.

With all of the model agreement we are splitting hairs at this point.  Its coming to South Louisiana making landfall around Vermilion Bay.  Trying to watch the movement with radar is going to show wobbles so it might look to be moving due west when it fact its a wobble so that is why you should use the sat. loop to determine movement over time unless you have a long radar loop to look at over several hours.  Most of the free radar loops only show about an hour or two of images and that's impossible to determine an overall pattern in the movement.

That is a pretty solid wall there.