[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico

darius Bogalusa
Category 5

Posts: 2,248

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 16:16:24 GMT -6 via mobile roorufus likes this

Quote

Post by darius Bogalusa on Nov 3, 2024 16:16:24 GMT -6

How are we still here?!?!?! November!!!! we are talking about November.....its depressing and I have had enough with house insurance increases......We will be moving next year.....I've had enough! I will just visit during the good parts😂✌🏾

cajungal
Category 5

Posts: 6,377

Member is Online

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 16:19:06 GMT -6 via mobile darius Bogalusa likes this

Quote

Post by cajungal on Nov 3, 2024 16:19:06 GMT -6

Nov 3, 2024 16:16:24 GMT -6 darius Bogalusa said:

How are we still here?!?!?! November!!!! we are talking about November.....its depressing and I have had enough with house insurance increases......We will be moving next year.....I've had enough! I will just visit during the good parts😂✌🏾

Good parts are 🦞

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

Nathan Category 1 Posts: 125	[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 17:32:02 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Nathan on Nov 3, 2024 17:32:02 GMT -6 Hoping for good results from the 18z run.

Will - Ascension Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,283	[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 17:40:04 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Nov 3, 2024 17:40:04 GMT -6 Nov 3, 2024 14:59:02 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: The HAFS-A is just down right stupid. We don't need that crap. I don't see this on the HAFS-A.

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 17:46:29 GMT -6 lisamath likes this

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 3, 2024 17:46:29 GMT -6

Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182024
700 PM EST Sun Nov 03 2024

...DISTURBANCE MEANDERING IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...

SUMMARY OF 700 PM EST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 76.9W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

trethe
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 1,425

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 18:04:23 GMT -6

Quote

Post by trethe on Nov 3, 2024 18:04:23 GMT -6

Nov 3, 2024 17:40:04 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish said:

Nov 3, 2024 14:59:02 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

The HAFS-A is just down right stupid. We don't need that crap.

I don't see this on the HAFS-A.

Yea, Will. It was there earlier when it was an invest. Perhaps something to do with switching from Invest to PTC? Don't know. As Sky said... it was "down right stupid".

nolasim
Moderator

Posts: 6,930
Location: Algiers-West Bank

Staff Member

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 18:57:15 GMT -6 RowBear and NavyMom: WBR Parish like this

Quote

Post by nolasim on Nov 3, 2024 18:57:15 GMT -6

You know I'm getting a little pissed off with some of our local media on Facebook. One local affiliate is saying a hurricane will form in the Gulf (perhaps) and head towards Louisiana (perhaps but either dissipated or as a weak TS). It seems like they are getting the public worked up for the sake of ratings. If I'm wrong, produce the data.

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

NavyMom: WBR Parish Moderator Posts: 1,571 Staff Member	[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 19:36:51 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Nov 3, 2024 19:36:51 GMT -6 Soo many of my friends are freaking right now because of all the FB posts!
	“On Christ, the solid Rock I stand. Everything else is just sinking sand.” Ambient Weather: ambientweather.net/dashboard/29355f8f3f87e2a4ec7ccc562ab0f3cf WU: www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLAADDIS7

cajungal
Category 5

Posts: 6,377

Member is Online

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 19:51:46 GMT -6 via mobile NavyMom: WBR Parish likes this

Quote

Post by cajungal on Nov 3, 2024 19:51:46 GMT -6

Nov 3, 2024 19:36:51 GMT -6 NavyMom: WBR Parish said:

Soo many of my friends are freaking right now because of all the FB posts!

Zack is not concerned. It will prob be nothing by the time it reaches our coastline with the strong shear. This is November not September

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

ju
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 703

Member is Online

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 20:39:30 GMT -6 RowBear, NavyMom: WBR Parish, and 1 more like this

Quote

Post by ju on Nov 3, 2024 20:39:30 GMT -6

Nov 3, 2024 19:36:51 GMT -6 NavyMom: WBR Parish said:

Soo many of my friends are freaking right now because of all the FB posts!

Ugh, you'd think people would think for themselves and do their own research. There's a thing called the internet.🙄

MobileWeatherWatcher
Category 5

Posts: 3,040

Member is Online

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 3, 2024 22:49:47 GMT -6 via mobile trueblue, RowBear, and 3 more like this

Quote

Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Nov 3, 2024 22:49:47 GMT -6

Nov 3, 2024 20:39:30 GMT -6 ju said:

Nov 3, 2024 19:36:51 GMT -6 NavyMom: WBR Parish said:

Soo many of my friends are freaking right now because of all the FB posts!

Ugh, you'd think people would think for themselves and do their own research. There's a thing called the internet.🙄

It’s been a tough year on TV meteorologists. They’ve had to spend seemingly as much time dealing with people sending wrong information intentionally just to get clicks on their pages and conspiracy theorists. Seriously, people thought the moon disappeared last month and the government was behind it. Social media can be a good tool to get weather information out, if it wasn’t for all the yahoos either posting wrong info or are too lazy to find out if what they’re reading is accurate.

Kory Moderator Posts: 1,613 Location: Metairie, LA Staff Member	[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 4, 2024 5:53:28 GMT -6 via mobile RowBear and NavyMom: WBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Kory on Nov 4, 2024 5:53:28 GMT -6 HAFS ramps this up fast in the Gulf but also completely shreds it as it gets closer to the coastline. Complete collapse of the system…
	Located in Metairie, Louisiana.

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 4, 2024 5:59:33 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 4, 2024 5:59:33 GMT -6

Nov 4, 2024 5:53:28 GMT -6 Kory said:

HAFS ramps this up fast in the Gulf but also completely shreds it as it gets closer to the coastline. Complete collapse of the system…

I was just about to post...the HAFS-B may be the one with the right idea. It ramps up in the Gulf and then you can see the shear shred him apart on approach.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 4, 2024 6:02:49 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 4, 2024 6:02:49 GMT -6

Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182024
700 AM EST Mon Nov 04 2024

...SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SOON...
...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 76.8W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM S OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Kory
Moderator

Posts: 1,613

Location: Metairie, LA

Staff Member

[TS]TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL - Gulf of Mexico Nov 4, 2024 6:40:42 GMT -6 redrover and NavyMom: WBR Parish like this

Quote

Post by Kory on Nov 4, 2024 6:40:42 GMT -6

All eyes on a big game in Baton Rouge this weekend.

Could this create some unusual impacts for a November football game? Will be interesting to see how much moisture is able to make it our way, what is left of the circulation by Saturday, and frontal boundary/trough interaction.