This is slightly off topic, but did anyone else notice what the GFS did after Isaac? It sends a tropical storm/hurricane into the gulf and then into the AL coast/ FL panhandle. La La land sure, but I thought I would just mention it.
That is the wave off the coast of Africa. The 12Z GFS brought it to the East coast.
Hi everyone! I live in Gretna, but am in Orange, Tx...my husband works at the refineries...My son, daughter i-l and grandbaby live in Harvey...My son wouldn't leave, so anyone that's staying, if you could every once in a while post what's happening on the Westbank, I sure would appreciate...
Stay safe and I pray this storm just glides in without much more strengthening...
And thank you ALL so much for your dedication in our forum...God Bless you all!
Actually, according to recon it has averaged 328 degrees for the last 4 hours.
That's NW. We already have established its overall motion is NW, with a NNW wobble and a WNW wobble here and there.
It's 2 degrees shy of NNW. Now it may be stair stepping, but if people can talk about a WNW motion, then it's ok to point this out also. People don't need to be reminded of this every time they post its motion over the last several hours.
The tight convection that was there earlier seems to be breaking down. The structure is very ragged appearing. Maybe it won't get much stronger. That would be nice. I'm not an expert at this and in no way am I making a prediction. Rather, I'm just stating what I'm continuing to observe over the last hour or so. Zack or Sky, could you comment on this possibility?
This is slightly off topic, but did anyone else notice what the GFS did after Isaac? It sends a tropical storm/hurricane into the gulf and then into the AL coast/ FL panhandle. La La land sure, but I thought I would just mention it.
That is the wave off the coast of Africa. The 12Z GFS brought it to the East coast.
Post by Zack Fradella on Aug 27, 2012 17:46:14 GMT -6
Convection continues to flare over the SW eyewall. If the Northern eyewall erupts, we could see a rapid increase in strength. The pressure continues to fall so enough of the circulation is enclosed by convection to keep deepening.
SKYSUMMIT: I'm hoping we're shoveling snow for Christmas
Nov 16, 2022 14:58:12 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your reply... as usual
Nov 5, 2022 11:37:29 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Yea, Lezak had a paper peer reviewed and published a year or so ago.
Nov 5, 2022 9:03:24 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis?
Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world.
Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6
stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives?
Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man I really hope that rain moves quickly on Saturday. I'm so pumped for 6 hours of awesome college football!
Nov 3, 2022 7:15:01 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Been unblocked. Dylan says that the station took major damage, so no idea when they'll even be able to stream again, or be on the air. Hopefully, they will at least let their employees deal with their own property issues!
Oct 2, 2022 18:17:35 GMT -6
gullywasher: Seriously, must we deal with Bruce Katz at noon, 4, 5 AND 9. ?
Sept 30, 2022 20:03:25 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: According to another met on twitter, the kitten was rescued by a producer who's adopting it. Of course that hasn't stopped the angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, who are insisting that it's a lie.
Sept 29, 2022 17:48:05 GMT -6
nolachic: Pink - he's probably blocking people he doesn't personally know to keep his cell charged and to get his head straight, and I'm sure he is beyond exhausted.
Sept 29, 2022 9:23:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I sent him a message yesterday as well, but he hasn't seen it.
Sept 29, 2022 5:46:06 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Oh hell, I meant for that to be a message!
Sept 28, 2022 19:38:19 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Dylan is taking a beating on Twitter. I just tried to send him a message of support, since we've been following each other for years, and HE BLOCKED ME!!!!!! Somebody who can get to him needs to do so, pronto!!! I'm very worried about him.
Sept 28, 2022 19:37:27 GMT -6
HarahanTim - Now in Covington!: Hmmm, I will say. that somewhere back there, we have stored the "Tums" icon, for those that give a prediction based on their "gut"!
Sept 24, 2022 11:38:12 GMT -6
T-man: Gully, no one here cares about your tender friggin' heart, ya big snoflake!!! :horns: :horns: :horns: :tongue:
Sept 24, 2022 10:24:18 GMT -6
