Reel in your anxieties. Quit worrying. We get higher winds in thunderstorms!!! Since we don't even have a hurricane in the gulf, why not get some rest? Just go to bed and quit worrying about what is not there. I'm going. G'nite.
I just compared position to 10pm stats and definitely more west jog right? Not much but more west than north that round.
I've been staring at the same loops for almost 12 hours so my eyes aren't really that great right now, but I see it too. If you put on the forecast points, it looks like the center is directly under the point moving WNW.
Just saw Damon singleton on WDSU saying winds near or above 50mph on thursday. Is that accurate? If so, airline might not operate. Looks like I'm driving to Nashville :-(
I'm up...looking at the satellite pics. Holy dry air batman! This thing can't shake it. As long as that continues, big strengthening will not occur. Track looks good...don't see that changing. All intensity guidance still brings it to a middling cat 1, but nothing stronger. NHC's forecast of going a little above that is just to cover themselves.
I'm now off to focus on what happens once it comes inland.
I'd like some input on potential safe areas to intercept in Louisiana if that's what it comes down to. The initial plan was to capture the surge in SW MS. I'd need a LA solution that would protect from surge AND inland flooding with zero doubts.....preferably a parking garage that isn't in New Orleans.
I'm up...looking at the satellite pics. Holy dry air batman! This thing can't shake it. As long as that continues, big strengthening will not occur. Track looks good...don't see that changing. All intensity guidance still brings it to a middling cat 1, but nothing stronger. NHC's forecast of going a little above that is just to cover themselves.
I'm now off to focus on what happens once it comes inland.
Where is all this dry air coming from? As soon as it looks like he's mixing some out, he gets nailed with it again.
SKYSUMMIT: I'm hoping we're shoveling snow for Christmas
Nov 16, 2022 14:58:12 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your reply... as usual
Nov 5, 2022 11:37:29 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Yea, Lezak had a paper peer reviewed and published a year or so ago.
Nov 5, 2022 9:03:24 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis?
Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world.
Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6
stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives?
Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man I really hope that rain moves quickly on Saturday. I'm so pumped for 6 hours of awesome college football!
Nov 3, 2022 7:15:01 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Been unblocked. Dylan says that the station took major damage, so no idea when they'll even be able to stream again, or be on the air. Hopefully, they will at least let their employees deal with their own property issues!
Oct 2, 2022 18:17:35 GMT -6
gullywasher: Seriously, must we deal with Bruce Katz at noon, 4, 5 AND 9. ?
Sept 30, 2022 20:03:25 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: According to another met on twitter, the kitten was rescued by a producer who's adopting it. Of course that hasn't stopped the angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, who are insisting that it's a lie.
Sept 29, 2022 17:48:05 GMT -6
nolachic: Pink - he's probably blocking people he doesn't personally know to keep his cell charged and to get his head straight, and I'm sure he is beyond exhausted.
Sept 29, 2022 9:23:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I sent him a message yesterday as well, but he hasn't seen it.
Sept 29, 2022 5:46:06 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Oh hell, I meant for that to be a message!
Sept 28, 2022 19:38:19 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Dylan is taking a beating on Twitter. I just tried to send him a message of support, since we've been following each other for years, and HE BLOCKED ME!!!!!! Somebody who can get to him needs to do so, pronto!!! I'm very worried about him.
Sept 28, 2022 19:37:27 GMT -6
HarahanTim - Now in Covington!: Hmmm, I will say. that somewhere back there, we have stored the "Tums" icon, for those that give a prediction based on their "gut"!
Sept 24, 2022 11:38:12 GMT -6
T-man: Gully, no one here cares about your tender friggin' heart, ya big snoflake!!! :horns: :horns: :horns: :tongue:
Sept 24, 2022 10:24:18 GMT -6
