I'm up...looking at the satellite pics. Holy dry air batman! This thing can't shake it. As long as that continues, big strengthening will not occur. Track looks good...don't see that changing. All intensity guidance still brings it to a middling cat 1, but nothing stronger. NHC's forecast of going a little above that is just to cover themselves.
I'm now off to focus on what happens once it comes inland.
Of course I wasn't actually going to sleep... haha! Anyway, John thanks for sticking with us. I go way back to the WWL forum days myself, and I remember you were pretty active in those days on the forum. Do you remember way back then we used to speculate about this super double secret Florida State model? What ever happened to that?
But anyway, thanks for sticking around and helping us out. Wow it certainly could have been much worse wind-wise. Although here in Lakeview, every time my central air turns off, I can hear a constant wind through the trees. We definitely have a sustained wind at this time. I just went outside and it really isn't very gusty here... just a steady wind ranging between 15-20 mph at the moment.
Keep up the input John... it is appreciated. Hope you've been well.
Post by julieo - Patterson on Aug 28, 2012 1:33:51 GMT -6
They just showed the Euro on TWC.... It went west.... Oh Lordy be! She was wondering if the NHC would make any changes or considerations of that shift.
Everyone must still be asleep before this storm moves through. Tonight will probably be tough to get some sleep with Isaac moving into the area... Be safe everyone!
Let me see if I get this right, pressure of 977mb still a tropical storm, even though they found winds of 90 mph at flight level? Models trended to the west once again? What a bad morning to wake up to.
Let me see if I get this right, pressure of 977mb still a tropical storm, even though they found winds of 90 mph at flight level? Models trended to the west once again? What a bad morning to wake up to.
Never have seen this with a storm so low in pressure and the winds don't increase much.. Very strange.
Recon better find the hurricane force winds at the surface, because when this 977mb hurricane at H85 settles down to the ground is going to catch people offguard. I am sure people are waking up this morning with a false sense of security. Like I said last night the dry air slot was going to be rotating and was going to be in the NW quadrant of the storm as it approaches, people are probably saying this is not bad.