Post by Briella - Houma on Aug 30, 2017 5:55:35 GMT -6
NHC_Atlantic
Advisories will likely be initiated at 11 AM EDT on the low pressure area west of the Cabo Verde Islands. #93L
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Harvey, located over southwestern Louisiana.
1. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area a couple hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better organized overnight, and advisories will likely be initiated at 11 AM EDT on a tropical cyclone. The system is forecast to gradually intensify and move west-northwestward to westward at about 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
Post by Tropic Novice on Aug 30, 2017 7:27:59 GMT -6
is this true.. just read this on NOLA.Com Tropical Storm Irma formed Wednesday morning (Aug. 30) in the Atlantic Ocean near the Cabo Verde Islands, the National Hurricane Center said at 8 a.m.
Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Aug 30, 2017 7:33:43 GMT -6
1. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area a couple hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better organized overnight, and advisories will likely be initiated at 11 AM EDT on a tropical cyclone. The system is forecast to gradually intensify and move west-northwestward to westward at about 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
Since it formed so early. Better chance it is a fish.
Is that true? I thought based on models so far it seemed like we had a long tracker one here.
GFS took it to out to sea last run. Still watching of course. But the vast majority of waves that develop that far out dont make it all the way across the pond.
Last Edit: Aug 30, 2017 7:42:19 GMT -6 by cajungal
Is that true? I thought based on models so far it seemed like we had a long tracker one here.
GFS took it to out to sea last run. Still watching of course. But the vast majority of waves that develop that far out dont make it all the way across the pond.
Still too early to tell, for now models agree that the ridge to the north of Irma over the Atlantic Ocean will be too strong for it to recurve this early, east of 60th longitude. The question comes in the 8-14 day range if the ridge will continue retrograding westward with it or will it give in the trough setting itself across the eastern US recurving out out to sea between the eastern US and Bermuda or much closer threatening the US. At this time the gulf coast has nothing to worry about, but if the ridging over the Atlantic proves to be stronger than what the models show then this could be a threat to the Greater Antilles, FL and or gulf coast. IMO.
![](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022022_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/204710_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png")
