That's the little system the GFS has been trying to develop off the east coast of Florida with a tight loop back into the Gulf and west toward Texas. It never really develops it in the gulf beyond a weak low level circulation. The Canadian was a little more bullish.
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If it moves North as a small rainmaker, it might not be so bad. Winds would be unwelcome, though. A lot of us still have big piles of debris in front of our homes and businesses that have not been picked up yet. Wouldn't want piles of fence pickets and branches to fly.
The combination of a broad trough of low pressure over Florida and an upper-level low over the Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers that extend from the northwestern Caribbean Sea northward across much of the Florida peninsula and the adjacent waters. Environmental conditions have become less conducive for development and the chance of tropical cyclone formation has decreased. Nevertheless, locally heavy rainfall will likely continue over portions of western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida peninsula during the next several days while the system moves slowly northward and then westward near northern Florida and the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
