Nate Discussion Thread

000
WTNT31 KWNH 090901
TCPAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL162017
500 AM EDT MON OCT 09 2017

...NATE HAS BECOME POST-TROPICAL BUT CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAIN
AND GUSTY WINDS FROM THE APPALACHIANS TO THE NORTHEAST...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.7N 81.7W
ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...SW OF AKRON OHIO
ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...NE OF COLUMBUS OHIO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 045 DEGREES AT 60 MPH...97 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.
WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 81.7
WEST. NATE HAS BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE, AND DOPPLER RADAR
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH NATE IS ON THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING IN THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC, WITH RAIN SHOWERS FARTHER
SOUTH INTO THE CAROLINAS. FARTHER NORTH, TROPICAL MOISTURE IS
INTERACTING WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY THROUGH THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST, LEADING TO
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FOR THOSE AREAS AND THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES. NATE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD, MOVING
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES DURING THE
DAY ON MONDAY.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN FROM
NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND ON
MONDAY.

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 5
AM EDT...
NOTE: SOME RAINFALL TOTALS IN NORTH CAROLINA THAT WERE INCLUDED IN
THE 3Z ADVISORY HAVE BEEN REMOVED PENDING FURTHER VERIFICATION.

...ALABAMA...
DIXON 6.94
FOLEY 6.54
ELBA 1 NNW 5.55
MOBILE 4.91
LEE 1 E 4.80
LOWRY MILL 4.68
BIRMINGHAM ARPT 2.81

...FLORIDA...
CRESTVIEW 8.32
HURLBURT FIELD 4.34

...GEORGIA...
ANNA RUBY FALLS 3 N 5.48
BRASSTOWN 5.18
UNION 3 SSW 4.98
SKY VALLEY 4.97
CHOESTOE 4.72
HIGDONS STORE 4.70
TITUS 1 S 4.20
LOOKOUT MOUNTAIN 4.19
DALTON 1 NNW 3.20
DOBBINS AFB/MARIETTA 2.32
SMYRNA 2.19

...KENTUCKY...
GREENVILLE 6 SSW 6.12
HOPKINSVILLE 5.72
EDDYVILLE 5 S 5.28
LEITCHFIELD 5.02
BAIZETOWN 3 ESE 4.90
MADRID 3 S 4.63
BENTON 4.60
ROCHESTER 1 NNW 4.40
CLERMONT 1 N 4.17
CHAPLIN 3 ENE 4.14
TONNIEVILLE 3 NW 4.06
BALLTOWN 2 SW 4.03

...LOUISIANA...
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT ARPT 1.13

...MISSISSIPPI...
BILOXI KEESLER AFB 4.56

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SCALY MOUNTAIN 6.36
HIGHLANDS 6.00
COWEE FD 5.99
BEAVER CREEK 5.64

...OHIO...
MILL CREEK 3.48
COLUMBUS/OHIO STATE UNIV ARPT 2.95
CINCINNATI/LUNKIN ARPT 2.22
ELYRIA/LORAIN CO. ARPT 2.19
COLUMBUS/BOLTON FIELD 2.13
ZANESVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.06
LANCASTER/FAIRFIELD ARPT 2.03

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
PINE MOUNTAIN 4 NE 7.07
SUNFISH MTN 5.84
SLICKING MTN 4.81

...TENNESSEE...
HIXSON 5.36
SOUTH PITTSBURG 4.52
GROTTO FALLS 4.51
MILE STRAIGHT 3.52
COALMONT 2.67

...VIRGINIA...
HILLSVILLE 3.00
VIRGINIA TECH ARPT 2.22

...WEST VIRGINIA...
HUNTINGTON/TRI-STATE ARPT 2.38


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER TATE

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 09/0900Z 40.7N 81.7W
12HR VT 09/1800Z 43.1N 76.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$