Invest 92L Discussion Thread

1. Radar and surface observations from the eastern Caribbean indicate

that a broad area of low pressure is gradually approaching the

Leeward Islands. This low is accompanied by showers and squalls

mainly to the east of the center, and this activity is expected to

spread westward over the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands

today and Sunday. Upper-level winds are expected to be unfavorable

for development during the next couple of days, but the environment

could turn favorable for some development early next week when the

system begins to move northward and then recurves over the

west-central Atlantic Ocean. Additional information on this system

can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather

Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.