Forums – StormCast

srhunter Tropical Low Posts - 20 Likes - 21	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 11, 2017 12:26:12 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by srhunter on Dec 11, 2017 12:26:12 GMT -6 m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1696147370449360&id=765609236836516

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,638 Likes - 9,272 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 11, 2017 15:25:28 GMT -6 via mobile harpman, nem1987, and 2 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Dec 11, 2017 15:25:28 GMT -6 This is how it all starts out. We don't want to be in the bulls eye this early out. We just want to be in the picture with cold air near by and a feature to generate moisture.

Will GCWX Supporter Posts - 1,268 Likes - 979	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 11, 2017 16:53:38 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will on Dec 11, 2017 16:53:38 GMT -6 What does this afternoon's model output show, Sky?
	I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL - ALL OF MY POSTS ARE BASED ON MY OPINIONS ONLY.

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,638 Likes - 9,272 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 11, 2017 19:45:01 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Dec 11, 2017 19:45:01 GMT -6 Dec 11, 2017 16:53:38 GMT -6 Will said: What does this afternoon's model output show, Sky? A very wet and stormy Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

harpman GCWX Supporter Posts - 4,824 Likes - 2,158	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 11, 2017 19:58:43 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by harpman on Dec 11, 2017 19:58:43 GMT -6 Dec 11, 2017 19:45:01 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: Dec 11, 2017 16:53:38 GMT -6 Will said: What does this afternoon's model output show, Sky? A very wet and stormy Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Wet, as in not frozen? ;)
	Blowin' harp!

Will GCWX Supporter Posts - 1,268 Likes - 979	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 11, 2017 20:26:50 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will on Dec 11, 2017 20:26:50 GMT -6 Boo! I hate warm, stormy Christmases. It seems like I’m turning on the AC on Christmas Eve more than using the fireplace. Hope we end up at least getting cold temps. I don’t HAVE to have snow. I just really really want it.
	I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL - ALL OF MY POSTS ARE BASED ON MY OPINIONS ONLY.

mobileweatherwatcher
Category 5

Posts - 1,612

Likes - 895

Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 11, 2017 21:56:47 GMT -6 HarahanTim - Now in Covington! and PinkFreud like this

Post by mobileweatherwatcher on Dec 11, 2017 21:56:47 GMT -6

Dec 11, 2017 19:45:01 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Dec 11, 2017 16:53:38 GMT -6 Will said:

What does this afternoon's model output show, Sky?

A very wet and stormy Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Please no repeat of 2012.

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,638 Likes - 9,272 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 12, 2017 11:30:57 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Dec 12, 2017 11:30:57 GMT -6 EWWW...12z GFS keeps us in the 70's for Christmas but just right over in Texas, they stay below freezing for a few days with an ice storm. It doesn't push the front through.

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,638 Likes - 9,272 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 12, 2017 11:36:12 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Dec 12, 2017 11:36:12 GMT -6 christmas morning per the 12z GFS:

trueblue GCWX Supporter Posts - 1,681 Likes - 456 Social: - Facebook	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 12, 2017 11:52:16 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO, PinkFreud, and 1 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by trueblue on Dec 12, 2017 11:52:16 GMT -6 eh, GFS. I'm not convinced (or maybe I'm just delusional because the thought of a hot Christmas makes me want to hurt people).
	Kim Theriot-Smith

harpman GCWX Supporter Posts - 4,824 Likes - 2,158	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 12, 2017 12:08:01 GMT -6 PinkFreud likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by harpman on Dec 12, 2017 12:08:01 GMT -6 Dec 12, 2017 11:36:12 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: christmas morning per the 12z GFS: OHHH, no!!!!! It can't be!!!! LOL! Not another hot Christmas!!! It was so promising yesterday!!! That's a complete flip!!!
	Blowin' harp!

shibumi
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 2,659
Likes - 942

Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 12, 2017 12:17:50 GMT -6 via mobile SKYSUMMIT likes this

Post by shibumi on Dec 12, 2017 12:17:50 GMT -6

We know how poorly the GFS handles shallow arctic air. I remember it missing placement of surface air over a hundred miles over a less than 24 hour period.

If Xmas time involves arctic air we'll have to see how it plays out

Last Edit: Dec 12, 2017 12:18:09 GMT -6 by shibumi

99lsfm2 Board Member Moderator Posts - 6,796 Likes - 428	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 12, 2017 12:23:27 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by 99lsfm2 on Dec 12, 2017 12:23:27 GMT -6 Great another Christmas ice storm for OKC.
	GCWX Board Member NWS Trained Spotter - MOB

cajungal Category 5 Online Posts - 2,927 Likes - 1,079	Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 12, 2017 15:20:01 GMT -6 via mobile harpman, PinkFreud, and 1 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Dec 12, 2017 15:20:01 GMT -6 I don't expect snow again this soon after the last event. But hoping it is at least cold and not having to break out shorts for the 3rd year in a row.
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

PinkFreud
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 635

Likes - 523

Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018 Dec 12, 2017 19:24:28 GMT -6

Post by PinkFreud on Dec 12, 2017 19:24:28 GMT -6

Dec 10, 2017 10:25:53 GMT -6 kennethb said:

I recall my mom telling about the year it sneauxed in New Orleans for the Sugar Bowl. Actually it sneauxed on New Year's eve, December 1963, and sneaux on the ground for the Sugar Bowl January 1, 1964 then played outdoors in Tulane Stadium. Per the link below, here in Baton Rouge we did not even get a trace. And again such as Christmas 2004, there are times where New Orleans gets sneaux and others to the north can miss out.

www.weather.gov/lix/snowcli

I remember that! I was just a little kid, living in Jackson, MS at the time, but I clearly remember the Jackson paper publishing a photo on the front page, with the headline, "Sugar Bowl Filled With Snow Ice Cream!".

Christmas 2017 to January 5, 2018

Post by srhunter on Dec 11, 2017 12:26:12 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Dec 11, 2017 15:25:28 GMT -6

Post by Will on Dec 11, 2017 16:53:38 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Dec 11, 2017 19:45:01 GMT -6

Post by harpman on Dec 11, 2017 19:58:43 GMT -6

Post by Will on Dec 11, 2017 20:26:50 GMT -6

Post by mobileweatherwatcher on Dec 11, 2017 21:56:47 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Dec 12, 2017 11:30:57 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Dec 12, 2017 11:36:12 GMT -6

Post by trueblue on Dec 12, 2017 11:52:16 GMT -6

Post by harpman on Dec 12, 2017 12:08:01 GMT -6

Post by shibumi on Dec 12, 2017 12:17:50 GMT -6

Post by 99lsfm2 on Dec 12, 2017 12:23:27 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Dec 12, 2017 15:20:01 GMT -6

Post by PinkFreud on Dec 12, 2017 19:24:28 GMT -6

Support StormCast!

Hurricane Season 2020

Current Storms

Tropical Outlook

Convective Outlooks

Local Radars

NWS Text Products

Today's Weather

Watches and Warnings