Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18

Zack Fradella Administrator Chairman \| Founder Posts: 8,547 Staff Member	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:30:08 GMT -6 Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA, nem1987, and 1 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 15, 2018 20:30:08 GMT -6
	Zack Fradella FOX 8 Meteorologist StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder For Regular Weather Updates Like Me On Facebook Meteorologist Zack Fradella Follow me on Twitter & Instagram @zackfradellawx

Zack Fradella Administrator Chairman \| Founder Posts: 8,547 Staff Member	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:30:54 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 15, 2018 20:30:54 GMT -6 NAM’s end snow map doesn’t add up to the way it modeled the radar.
	Zack Fradella FOX 8 Meteorologist StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder For Regular Weather Updates Like Me On Facebook Meteorologist Zack Fradella Follow me on Twitter & Instagram @zackfradellawx

harpman - old GCWX Supporter Posts: 6,449	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:31:48 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by harpman - old on Jan 15, 2018 20:31:48 GMT -6 ^^^^ I'll take it. What was the previous snow total?
	Blowin' harp!

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:35:08 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 15, 2018 20:35:08 GMT -6 Jan 15, 2018 20:30:54 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said: NAM’s end snow map doesn’t add up to the way it modeled the radar. No it doesn't...doesn't even look close. Wonder what's up with that.
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MobileWeatherWatcher Category 5 Posts: 3,041	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:37:29 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Jan 15, 2018 20:37:29 GMT -6 NAM model doesn’t know what it wants to do apparently

harpman - old
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Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:40:52 GMT -6 via mobile

Post by harpman - old on Jan 15, 2018 20:40:52 GMT -6

Jan 15, 2018 20:35:08 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Jan 15, 2018 20:30:54 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

NAM’s end snow map doesn’t add up to the way it modeled the radar.

No it doesn't...doesn't even look close. Wonder what's up with that.

can you explain this?

Blowin' harp!

chloe06 GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,254	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:42:13 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by chloe06 on Jan 15, 2018 20:42:13 GMT -6 Jan 15, 2018 20:40:52 GMT -6 harpman - old said: Jan 15, 2018 20:35:08 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: No it doesn't...doesn't even look close. Wonder what's up with that. can you explain this? And which one do we go with?

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:45:30 GMT -6 harpman - old and nem1987 like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 15, 2018 20:45:30 GMT -6 NAM's radar reflectivity doesn't look all that impressive, and never fully transitions from rain on the south shore, yet it's snowfall total has a dusting just about to the coast.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Zack Fradella Administrator Chairman \| Founder Posts: 8,547 Staff Member	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:47:23 GMT -6 Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA, chloe06, and 2 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 15, 2018 20:47:23 GMT -6 The NAM radar is always off it seems. It's always so light, even during t-storm events. Here is the latest HRRR.
	Zack Fradella FOX 8 Meteorologist StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder For Regular Weather Updates Like Me On Facebook Meteorologist Zack Fradella Follow me on Twitter & Instagram @zackfradellawx

SKYSUMMIT
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President | Director of Operations

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Location: Ponchatoula, LA

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Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:48:25 GMT -6 nem1987 likes this

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 15, 2018 20:48:25 GMT -6

The transition continues to take place up north. Notice the snow metar just north of I-20 (blue metar). All the pink around DFW are freezing rain and the IP reports are sleet. There are also a few snowflakes noted which would be snow reports.

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NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59
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Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:48:59 GMT -6 via mobile PinkFreud - Nola FQ and Crafty1 like this

Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Jan 15, 2018 20:48:59 GMT -6

So in love with this Geocolor satellite.

Check out the obvious front moving thru central Texas. Look how the cold air makes it's own clouds.

www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/GOES16_sector_band.php?sector=sp&band=GEOCOLOR&length=48

HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN Moderator Director of Public Relations Posts: 6,258 Location: Gallatin, TN - 20 miles NE of Nashville Staff Member	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:49:03 GMT -6 Bayou Medic, nem1987, and 3 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Jan 15, 2018 20:49:03 GMT -6 The new HRRR, 0z, from noon to midnight.
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tomlinson10
Category 1

Posts: 188

Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:52:04 GMT -6 via mobile Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA likes this

Post by tomlinson10 on Jan 15, 2018 20:52:04 GMT -6

“I have a suspicion that the apparent recent increase in frozen precipitation along the Gulf Coast is more a function of increased water vapor”

-posted by bayou a few weeks ago

Tomorrow would be a great time for that increased water vapor theory to bear out.

Last Edit: Jan 15, 2018 20:53:37 GMT -6 by tomlinson10

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 20:55:12 GMT -6 Crafty1 likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 15, 2018 20:55:12 GMT -6 Livingston Parish and Baton Rouge schools have canceled for tomorrow.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

chloe06 GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,254	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 15, 2018 21:09:02 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by chloe06 on Jan 15, 2018 21:09:02 GMT -6 Jan 15, 2018 20:55:12 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: Livingston Parish and Baton Rouge schools have canceled for tomorrow. Do you think NOLA schools should at least close early just for precaution?
	Last Edit: Jan 15, 2018 21:09:18 GMT -6 by chloe06

Shoutbox

northshoreelise: not on the 12z... Oct 10, 2024 12:15:21 GMT -6

lencast: Really would appreciate it. Thank you, Lena Sept 27, 2024 5:20:46 GMT -6

lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

rebekahb-Metairie: Looks like it but I wait for the better trained eyes on the forum to respond. Sept 9, 2024 18:52:32 GMT -6

jdschlum-bedico/village of bo: Look further east than the 12z plots don’t it Sept 9, 2024 18:49:34 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Oh sorry guys! I didn't eve see these new messages down here lol Jul 26, 2024 13:14:47 GMT -6

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Deleted: Ernesto gonna mog hard.
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Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 15, 2018 20:30:08 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 15, 2018 20:30:54 GMT -6

Post by harpman - old on Jan 15, 2018 20:31:48 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 15, 2018 20:35:08 GMT -6

Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Jan 15, 2018 20:37:29 GMT -6

Post by harpman - old on Jan 15, 2018 20:40:52 GMT -6

Post by chloe06 on Jan 15, 2018 20:42:13 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 15, 2018 20:45:30 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 15, 2018 20:47:23 GMT -6