Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18

The CMC was horrible with last week's event, it is very inconsistent as usual.

How's the saying go, even a blind squirrel manages to find a nut once in a while.

The cmc had us having record or near record lows and highs and below freezing for almost a week straight with of course snow cover. I want it to be right all winter long but most of us know it almost always shows the absolute most extreme weather that never happens.

Well, the NAM looks better this run. SO close, and more moisture around than last run.

The nam I just looked at shows the precip drying up around Alexandria and disappearing

Just noticed they put 20% of wintry mix in my forecast for Thibodaux Tues night. It is only the weather bug app though and don't take it seriously. We will drive ourselves nuts over every model run. But Tuesday night is still a few days away.