TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread

MobileWeatherWatcher Category 5 Posts: 3,041	TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 9, 2018 22:39:48 GMT -6 Mike T.- Chackbay,La, flora... Covington, near CHS, and 4 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Sept 9, 2018 22:39:48 GMT -6 Start praying for the Carolinas. I don’t like the looks of this.

HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 4:00:23 GMT -6 Bayou Medic likes this

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Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Sept 10, 2018 4:00:23 GMT -6

This early morning's Euro, came in a little further south, basically with landfall in northern S.C., direct hit on Myrtle Beach.

This run is slightly better news, for the coastal areas, much worse, for inland areas, as the circulation still stalls, just further inland.

Here is the projected rain totals, for the next 7 days, most of it from Thurs to Monday.

Last Edit: Sept 10, 2018 4:01:52 GMT -6 by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN

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HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN Moderator Director of Public Relations Posts: 6,258 Location: Gallatin, TN - 20 miles NE of Nashville Staff Member	TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 4:08:05 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Sept 10, 2018 4:08:05 GMT -6 06z GFS is sticking with central N.C.
	Last Edit: Sept 10, 2018 4:12:16 GMT -6 by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN GCWX Director of Public Relations Weather Underground www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLACOVIN110

nola7
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 5:57:01 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by nola7 on Sept 10, 2018 5:57:01 GMT -6

Sept 10, 2018 4:08:05 GMT -6 HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN said:

06z GFS is sticking with central N.C.

Looks like its headed straight at Camp Lejeune. I haven't been there in years but I can't imagine the preparation they are going through.

matt GCWX Supporter Posts: 317	TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 6:31:40 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by matt on Sept 10, 2018 6:31:40 GMT -6 When is the next recon to flo?

Bayou Medic Moderator Board Member Posts: 1,345 Staff Member	TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 6:46:31 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Bayou Medic on Sept 10, 2018 6:46:31 GMT -6 They're currently in the storm now. Sept 10, 2018 6:31:40 GMT -6 matt said: When is the next recon to flo?
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wannabewm
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 7:59:07 GMT -6

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Post by wannabewm on Sept 10, 2018 7:59:07 GMT -6

First time poster here but I have recently relocated to Columbia, SC from Denham Springs, LA. Does anyone expect a more southward trend in the track that would increase a SC coast landfall? It seems that the near due West movement is continuing and it would seem to me that would result in a more southerly track of the forecast cone.

I value your input much more than other forums that will remain nameless. Thanks for all the info even though this storm will not be impacting most of you directly!

tigerfanshane
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 8:30:30 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by tigerfanshane on Sept 10, 2018 8:30:30 GMT -6

Sept 10, 2018 7:59:07 GMT -6 wannabewm said:

First time poster here but I have recently relocated to Columbia, SC from Denham Springs, LA. Does anyone expect a more southward trend in the track that would increase a SC coast landfall? It seems that the near due West movement is continuing and it would seem to me that would result in a more southerly track of the forecast cone.

I value your input much more than other forums that will remain nameless. Thanks for all the info even though this storm will not be impacting most of you directly!

TD?

HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 8:37:32 GMT -6

Quote

Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Sept 10, 2018 8:37:32 GMT -6

Sept 10, 2018 7:59:07 GMT -6 wannabewm said:

First time poster here but I have recently relocated to Columbia, SC from Denham Springs, LA. Does anyone expect a more southward trend in the track that would increase a SC coast landfall? It seems that the near due West movement is continuing and it would seem to me that would result in a more southerly track of the forecast cone.

I value your input much more than other forums that will remain nameless. Thanks for all the info even though this storm will not be impacting most of you directly!

Glad to have you posting!

Pay attention to the EURO, this afternoon. Last night's run (above) , certainly put your area under more concern. As is always stated, watch the trend.

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nolamatt
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 8:38:53 GMT -6

Quote

Post by nolamatt on Sept 10, 2018 8:38:53 GMT -6

I would expect by tomorrow a more certain landfall estimate will be in play but right now the models are moving back and forth... I will say they have gotten much better 3-5 days out but if you are unsure make plans either way... be packed and ready to go regardless because this storm wherever it hits will likely be a cat 3 at landfall.

SKYSUMMIT
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 8:48:57 GMT -6

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 10, 2018 8:48:57 GMT -6

Hurricane Florence Advisory Number 45
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
1100 AM AST Mon Sep 10 2018

...FLORENCE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.0N 60.0W
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1240 MI...2000 KM ESE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

hurricaner Moderator Board Member Posts: 5,167 Staff Member	TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 9:20:00 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by hurricaner on Sept 10, 2018 9:20:00 GMT -6 Also keep in mind that according to the last discussion they are expecting Flo to increase in size, so it won't have pinpoint area of affect.
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SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 9:35:15 GMT -6 Bayou Medic likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 10, 2018 9:35:15 GMT -6 Static animation:
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Pas_Bon
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 9:36:29 GMT -6 via mobile HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN, SKYSUMMIT, and 3 more like this

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Post by Pas_Bon on Sept 10, 2018 9:36:29 GMT -6

*^%# is about to get real. So much for a “dead season,” huh?

The adage is repeated here over. And over. And over again. It only takes one storm.....

This one should be a doozy. Folks in the Carolinas and elsewhere are on my mind. Godspeed.

Remember the boat times?

harpman - old GCWX Supporter Posts: 6,449	TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread Sept 10, 2018 10:03:40 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by harpman - old on Sept 10, 2018 10:03:40 GMT -6 Sept 10, 2018 9:35:15 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: Static animation: Scott, do you have a link to this floater?
	Blowin' harp!

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE Discussion Thread

Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Sept 9, 2018 22:39:48 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Sept 10, 2018 4:00:23 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Sept 10, 2018 4:08:05 GMT -6

Post by nola7 on Sept 10, 2018 5:57:01 GMT -6

Post by matt on Sept 10, 2018 6:31:40 GMT -6

Post by Bayou Medic on Sept 10, 2018 6:46:31 GMT -6

Post by wannabewm on Sept 10, 2018 7:59:07 GMT -6

Post by tigerfanshane on Sept 10, 2018 8:30:30 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Sept 10, 2018 8:37:32 GMT -6

Post by nolamatt on Sept 10, 2018 8:38:53 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 10, 2018 8:48:57 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Sept 10, 2018 9:20:00 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 10, 2018 9:35:15 GMT -6

Post by Pas_Bon on Sept 10, 2018 9:36:29 GMT -6

Post by harpman - old on Sept 10, 2018 10:03:40 GMT -6

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