Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 11, 2018 15:30:26 GMT -6 Bayou Medic likes this

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 15:30:26 GMT -6

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE STARTING TO COME OUT FOR TOMORROW...

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
328 PM CST Sun Nov 11 2018

ALZ056-059-060-261>266-FLZ201>206-120500-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0006.181112T0600Z-181114T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Conecuh-Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-
Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-
Including the cities of Evergreen, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton,
Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard,
Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort,
Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan,
Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah,
Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay,
Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin,
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso,
and Wright
328 PM CST Sun Nov 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Alabama and northwest
Florida, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin
Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Conecuh, Covington,
Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland.
In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland,
Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and
Santa Rosa Inland.

* From midnight CST tonight through Tuesday afternoon

* Event total rainfall from 3 to 5 inches is possible in the watch
area. Heavy rainfall in a short period of time or in those
instances where the better defined showers and storms move
repeatedly over the same areas may lead to localized flash
flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

Last Edit: Nov 11, 2018 15:57:55 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 11, 2018 18:58:46 GMT -6 Bayou Medic likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 18:58:46 GMT -6 Good bit of rain already out there tonight.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 11, 2018 19:03:00 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Nov 11, 2018 19:03:00 GMT -6 Any idea where that warm front has moved to ?

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 11, 2018 19:08:38 GMT -6 Bayou Medic likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 19:08:38 GMT -6 Nov 11, 2018 19:03:00 GMT -6 thibodauxwx said: Any idea where that warm front has moved to ? thibodauxwx still well offshore with the surface low southeast of Corpus Christi
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 11, 2018 20:16:30 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Nov 11, 2018 20:16:30 GMT -6 Thank you

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 11, 2018 20:33:04 GMT -6 Bayou Medic, nem1987, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 20:33:04 GMT -6 LOL...UMMM, there are 3 stations in east Texas reporting snow, all with temps in the mid 40's to 50.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 11, 2018 23:07:12 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 23:07:12 GMT -6

Mesoscale Discussion 1635
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM CST Sun Nov 11 2018

Areas affected...Portions of central/east TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 120500Z - 120730Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Elevated thunderstorms capable of producing isolated and
marginally severe hail should persist overnight. Watch issuance is
not expected.

DISCUSSION...Low-level warm and moist air advection occurring atop a
stable boundary layer is likely contributing to elevated
thunderstorms across parts of central/east TX. Moderately steep
700-500 mb lapse rates around 7.8 C/km noted on the 00Z Del Rio, TX
sounding have probably overspread this region given 40-60 kt of
mid-level southwesterly flow ahead of an shortwave trough over the
Southwest and southern High Plains. Related MUCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg
should be present overnight with continued low-level moistening
centered around 850 mb. An isolated thunderstorm that developed
earlier over Gonzales County has undergone a storm split, with the
leftward-moving cell quickly becoming dominant as it moved into
Fayette County. This observed behavior coupled with around 50-55 kt
of effective bulk shear suggest that isolated supercells capable of
producing marginally severe hail will pose at least some severe
threat through for the next couple of hours as they move quickly
northeastward. Additional convective development may occur
overnight, and an increasingly messy/multicellular storm mode could
eventually interfere with hail production. Regardless, the initial
large hail threat with any supercells across this region will likely
remain too isolated/marginal to necessitate watch issuance.

..Gleason/Grams.. 11/12/2018

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

VERticalnoGO
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 557

Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 12, 2018 3:21:44 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by VERticalnoGO on Nov 12, 2018 3:21:44 GMT -6

Nov 11, 2018 20:33:04 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

LOL...UMMM, there are 3 stations in east Texas reporting snow, all with temps in the mid 40's to 50.

for real though, I swear giant hail is hitting my bedrm window...sounds like my rock tumbler?!?!!

"The Hilton was a HOT commodity"

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 12, 2018 5:14:00 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Nov 12, 2018 5:14:00 GMT -6 Tornado warning issued for Leeville

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 12, 2018 5:24:25 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Nov 12, 2018 5:24:25 GMT -6 A tornado warning has been issued for Leesville.

HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN Moderator Director of Public Relations Posts: 6,258 Location: Gallatin, TN - 20 miles NE of Nashville Staff Member	Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 12, 2018 5:49:37 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Nov 12, 2018 5:49:37 GMT -6
	GCWX Director of Public Relations Weather Underground www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLACOVIN110

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 12, 2018 7:57:20 GMT -6 Bayou Medic likes this

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 12, 2018 7:57:20 GMT -6

Other than that one tornado warned storm early this morning in Lafourche, majority of the weather has been both north and south of the watch box. However, the warm front is right along the coast so as it pushes into the south shore, activity should increase in the southern parishes.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 12, 2018 8:00:44 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 12, 2018 8:00:44 GMT -6

Mesoscale Discussion 1637
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0754 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018

Areas affected...the Gulf Coast region from southern Louisiana to
western parts of the Florida Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 426...

Valid 121354Z - 121600Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 426 continues.

SUMMARY...Risk for severe weather -- including a tornado or two --
continues.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue in/near WW 426, both inland, and
particularly offshore over the Gulf. While the warm front remains
largely just offshore, risk for severe weather continues along
coastal areas as storms developing over the water shift
north-northeast/inland with time.

Several rotating storms continue just offshore, and in particular,
several cells near eastern portions of the watch south of the region
from roughly Mobile Bay to Pensacola Bay are showing persistent
low-level rotation. While the warm front remains offshore --
particularly just to the east of this area, short-term risk for
severe weather may increase near the coast in the next 1-2 hours
across this portion of the WW area.

..Goss.. 11/12/2018

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT
Administrator

President | Director of Operations

Posts: 67,639

Location: Ponchatoula, LA

Staff Member

Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 12, 2018 9:10:09 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 12, 2018 9:10:09 GMT -6

Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
859 AM CST MON NOV 12 2018

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
South central Santa Rosa County in northwestern Florida...
South central Escambia County in northwestern Florida...

* Until 945 AM CST.

* At 859 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 4 miles southwest of Pensacola Beach, or 5 miles south
of Gulf Breeze, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Gulf Breeze and Pensacola Beach around 910 AM CST.
Oriole Beach around 920 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18 Nov 12, 2018 10:48:23 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 12, 2018 10:48:23 GMT -6 Very foggy here all of a sudden. Line of thunderstorms approaching from the west.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Heavy Rain Event, Severe Weather, 11/11/18 - 11/12/18

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 15:30:26 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 18:58:46 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Nov 11, 2018 19:03:00 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 19:08:38 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Nov 11, 2018 20:16:30 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 20:33:04 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 11, 2018 23:07:12 GMT -6

Post by VERticalnoGO on Nov 12, 2018 3:21:44 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Nov 12, 2018 5:14:00 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Nov 12, 2018 5:24:25 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Nov 12, 2018 5:49:37 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 12, 2018 7:57:20 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 12, 2018 8:00:44 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 12, 2018 9:10:09 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 12, 2018 10:48:23 GMT -6

Shoutbox

Welcome All Members & Guests

Supporter Us & Donate for the 2024 Season

Hurricane Season 2024

Tropical Outlook

Regional Radars

Today's Convective Outlook

Today's Weather

Watches and Warnings