Forums – StormCast

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts - 3,390 Likes - 814	Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 6:32:07 GMT -6 via mobile Jess23 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Jan 16, 2019 6:32:07 GMT -6 The weather this year sure is weird.

ndg
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 9,395
Likes - 5,923

Social: - Twitter

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 7:34:45 GMT -6

Quote

Post by ndg on Jan 16, 2019 7:34:45 GMT -6

Besides the GFS's fantasy snow for the gulf coast in its long range gone on its two last runs both the GFS and Euro have trended warmer during the past 24 hrs for this weekend's Arctic intrusion, no longer both models show freezing temps for the South Shore.

cajungal Category 5 Posts - 4,570 Likes - 2,489	Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 7:39:57 GMT -6 via mobile VERticalnoGO likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Jan 16, 2019 7:39:57 GMT -6 If nothing changes by the 2nd week of February I give up on this winter. It has been very boring.
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

tomlinson10 Category 1 Posts - 177 Likes - 137	Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 9:06:17 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by tomlinson10 on Jan 16, 2019 9:06:17 GMT -6 00z Canadian reintroduces the sleet/snow possibility for next Wed/Thu in SWLA and CenLA. Want to see the next GFS runs pick up on that.
	Last Edit: Jan 16, 2019 9:06:40 GMT -6 by tomlinson10

Zack Fradella Chairman \| Founder Administrator Posts - 7,373 Likes - 7,604 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 13:21:52 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 16, 2019 13:21:52 GMT -6 You have to like the look of the 12Z EURO at Day 10! Nothing specific now but the upper pattern favors a storm and you don't want a snowstorm to show up 10 days out.
	Last Edit: Jan 16, 2019 13:24:18 GMT -6 by Zack Fradella Zack Fradella FOX 8 Meteorologist StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder For Regular Weather Updates Like Me On Facebook Meteorologist Zack Fradella Follow me on Twitter & Instagram @zackfradellawx

ndg
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 9,395
Likes - 5,923

Social: - Twitter

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 13:57:25 GMT -6 Jess23 and kimmiela like this

Quote

Post by ndg on Jan 16, 2019 13:57:25 GMT -6

Jan 16, 2019 13:21:52 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

You have to like the look of the 12Z EURO at Day 10!

Nothing specific now but the upper pattern favors a storm and you don't want a snowstorm to show up 10 days out.

"Blessed are those that don't give up hope by looking at the Euro's 10 day forecast which is twice as bad as its 7 day range forecast"

;))

Last Edit: Jan 16, 2019 13:57:54 GMT -6 by ndg

harpman
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 5,971
Likes - 3,473

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 16:07:23 GMT -6 Jess23 likes this

Quote

Post by harpman on Jan 16, 2019 16:07:23 GMT -6

Jan 16, 2019 13:57:25 GMT -6 ndg said:

Jan 16, 2019 13:21:52 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

You have to like the look of the 12Z EURO at Day 10!

Nothing specific now but the upper pattern favors a storm and you don't want a snowstorm to show up 10 days out.

"Blessed are those that don't give up hope by looking at the Euro's 10 day forecast which is twice as bad as its 7 day range forecast"

;))

I thought the Euro was King!?

Blowin' harp!

B. Verdun GCWX Supporter Posts - 30 Likes - 33	Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 16:07:46 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by B. Verdun on Jan 16, 2019 16:07:46 GMT -6 How will this 3 way split of the vortex affect us down this way?

Zack Fradella
Chairman | Founder Administrator

Posts - 7,373
Likes - 7,604

Social: - Facebook, Twitter

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 16:14:33 GMT -6 Jess23 and VERticalnoGO like this

Quote

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 16, 2019 16:14:33 GMT -6

Jan 16, 2019 16:07:23 GMT -6 harpman said:

Jan 16, 2019 13:57:25 GMT -6 ndg said:

"Blessed are those that don't give up hope by looking at the Euro's 10 day forecast which is twice as bad as its 7 day range forecast"

;))

I thought the Euro was King!?

It's winter, anything that looks promising for snow, Mr. Grinch will change to a different favorite model.

Zack Fradella
FOX 8 Meteorologist
StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder

For Regular Weather Updates
Like Me On Facebook
Meteorologist Zack Fradella
Follow me on Twitter & Instagram
@zackfradellawx

harpman
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 5,971
Likes - 3,473

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 16:16:22 GMT -6 ndg and VERticalnoGO like this

Quote

Post by harpman on Jan 16, 2019 16:16:22 GMT -6

Jan 16, 2019 16:14:33 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

Jan 16, 2019 16:07:23 GMT -6 harpman said:

I thought the Euro was King!?

It's winter, anything that looks promising for snow, Mr. Grinch will change to a different favorite model.

Blowin' harp!

Zack Fradella
Chairman | Founder Administrator

Posts - 7,373
Likes - 7,604

Social: - Facebook, Twitter

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 16:34:05 GMT -6 Jess23 likes this

Quote

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 16, 2019 16:34:05 GMT -6

18Z GFS about to dump on us in 8-10 days.

Amazing how just subtle differences in the short-term changes the whole look. The Polar Vortex gets stuck just north of the border and is ready to unload on this run. The past few runs sucks the Polar Vortex back up into central Canada taking all the frigid cold with it.

Zack Fradella
FOX 8 Meteorologist
StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder

For Regular Weather Updates
Like Me On Facebook
Meteorologist Zack Fradella
Follow me on Twitter & Instagram
@zackfradellawx

Zack Fradella
Chairman | Founder Administrator

Posts - 7,373
Likes - 7,604

Social: - Facebook, Twitter

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 16:41:35 GMT -6 Jess23 likes this

Quote

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 16, 2019 16:41:35 GMT -6

GFS just took that step towards the EURO in the 7-10 day range.

The Gulf low doesn't crank early enough though so it snows over the Gulf and the Florida Panhandle.

We like the look at this range though.

Zack Fradella
FOX 8 Meteorologist
StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder

For Regular Weather Updates
Like Me On Facebook
Meteorologist Zack Fradella
Follow me on Twitter & Instagram
@zackfradellawx

HarahanTim - Now in Covington!
Director of Public Relations Moderator

Posts - 5,632
Likes - 4,298

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 16:42:16 GMT -6

Quote

Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Jan 16, 2019 16:42:16 GMT -6

Jan 16, 2019 16:34:05 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

18Z GFS about to dump on us in 8-10 days.

Amazing how just subtle differences in the short-term changes the whole look. The Polar Vortex gets stuck just north of the border and is ready to unload on this run. The past few runs sucks the Polar Vortex back up into central Canada taking all the frigid cold with it.

GCWX Director of Public Relations

Weather Underground
www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLACOVIN110

harpman
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 5,971
Likes - 3,473

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 16:52:10 GMT -6 VERticalnoGO likes this

Quote

Post by harpman on Jan 16, 2019 16:52:10 GMT -6

Jan 16, 2019 16:41:35 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

GFS just took that step towards the EURO in the 7-10 day range.

The Gulf low doesn't crank early enough though so it snows over the Gulf and the Florida Panhandle.

We like the look at this range though.

That trough needs to dig a little deeper?

Blowin' harp!

VERticalnoGO
GCWX Supporter

Posts - 448

Likes - 228

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25 Jan 16, 2019 18:15:42 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by VERticalnoGO on Jan 16, 2019 18:15:42 GMT -6

Jan 16, 2019 13:21:52 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

You have to like the look of the 12Z EURO at Day 10!

Nothing specific now but the upper pattern favors a storm and you don't want a snowstorm to show up 10 days out.

For real? What day would that be specifically?

"The Hilton was a HOT commodity"

Daily Winter Weather Discussion Thread #25

Post by thibodauxwx on Jan 16, 2019 6:32:07 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jan 16, 2019 7:34:45 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Jan 16, 2019 7:39:57 GMT -6

Post by tomlinson10 on Jan 16, 2019 9:06:17 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 16, 2019 13:21:52 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jan 16, 2019 13:57:25 GMT -6

Post by harpman on Jan 16, 2019 16:07:23 GMT -6

Post by B. Verdun on Jan 16, 2019 16:07:46 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 16, 2019 16:14:33 GMT -6

Post by harpman on Jan 16, 2019 16:16:22 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 16, 2019 16:34:05 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 16, 2019 16:41:35 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Jan 16, 2019 16:42:16 GMT -6

Post by harpman on Jan 16, 2019 16:52:10 GMT -6

Post by VERticalnoGO on Jan 16, 2019 18:15:42 GMT -6

Welcome All Members & Guests

Support StormCast!

Current Storms

Tropical Outlook

Hurricane Season 2022

Regional Radar

Today's Convective Outlook

Today's Weather

Watches and Warnings

Convective Watches / Mesoscale Discussions