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mobileweatherwatcher Category 5 Posts - 1,611 Likes - 893	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 25, 2019 20:47:08 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by mobileweatherwatcher on Jan 25, 2019 20:47:08 GMT -6 Jan 25, 2019 20:17:05 GMT -6 ndg said: Fortunately or Unfortunately the core of the Arctic airmass will be staying around the upper Midwest and Great Lakes. Incredible forecasted cold under neath the Polar Vortex.

Sstorm
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Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 25, 2019 21:17:44 GMT -6 chloe06 and PinkFreud like this

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Post by Sstorm on Jan 25, 2019 21:17:44 GMT -6

Jan 25, 2019 20:19:55 GMT -6 chloe06 said:

Jan 25, 2019 20:17:05 GMT -6 ndg said:

Fortunately or Unfortunately the core of the Arctic airmass will be staying around the upper Midwest and Great Lakes. Incredible forecasted cold under neath the Polar Vortex.

What does this mean for us?

It means nothing for the gulf coast.
Fortunately, we don't need record breaking cold for snow down here! Truth is, it's not a good thing to be into the heart of the cold, that only gives us cold, sunny and dry weather. We should be in a good position when lows track to our south over the next few weeks.

mobileweatherwatcher Category 5 Posts - 1,611 Likes - 893	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 25, 2019 21:58:51 GMT -6 chloe06 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by mobileweatherwatcher on Jan 25, 2019 21:58:51 GMT -6

chloe06 GCWX Supporter Posts - 1,130 Likes - 194	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 25, 2019 22:12:42 GMT -6 via mobile PinkFreud likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by chloe06 on Jan 25, 2019 22:12:42 GMT -6 Jan 25, 2019 21:58:51 GMT -6 mobileweatherwatcher said: Ugh so damn close!

mobileweatherwatcher Category 5 Posts - 1,611 Likes - 893	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 25, 2019 23:23:34 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by mobileweatherwatcher on Jan 25, 2019 23:23:34 GMT -6 Looks about the same. Doesn’t inspire much confidence.

PinkFreud GCWX Supporter Posts - 632 Likes - 519	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 0:29:06 GMT -6 HarahanTim - Now in Covington! and trueblue like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by PinkFreud on Jan 26, 2019 0:29:06 GMT -6 I'm sitting here eating a Haydel's No Ref cookie and hoping that something goes good for us in SELA!

bigryan92 Tropical Low Posts - 43 Likes - 14	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 0:53:54 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by bigryan92 on Jan 26, 2019 0:53:54 GMT -6 The models always do that. Then a day or two before they give us hope again. Stay strong southeast Louisiana. We may get lucky sooner or later!!

gulfbreeze Category 2 Posts - 500 Likes - 87	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 2:27:17 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by gulfbreeze on Jan 26, 2019 2:27:17 GMT -6 Heads up here in southwest Louisiana as well. Things will and do change - we'll see.
	Not a professional forecast by any means and should not be viewed as such - just my opinion. Audrey'57, Carla'61 Hilda'64, Betsy'65, Edith'71, Carmen'74, Danny'85, Juan'85, Andrew'92, Iniki'92 (while on vacation in Kauai), Lili'02, Rita'05, Gustav'08, Ike'08, No-Name'16, Harvey'17, Barry'19.

shibumi GCWX Supporter Posts - 2,656 Likes - 938	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 6:11:24 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by shibumi on Jan 26, 2019 6:11:24 GMT -6 The 'mixing with snow' wording has been added to the NWS forecast for much of the northshore away from the lake for Tuesday AM
	Last Edit: Jan 26, 2019 6:11:47 GMT -6 by shibumi

ndg
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Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 7:22:45 GMT -6

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Post by ndg on Jan 26, 2019 7:22:45 GMT -6

Jan 26, 2019 6:11:24 GMT -6 shibumi said:

The 'mixing with snow' wording has been added to the NWS forecast for much of the northshore away from the lake for Tuesday AM

Watch it not happen now, it always gets jinxed by your NWS office after they place it in the forecast.

spencer6898
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Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 7:27:46 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by spencer6898 on Jan 26, 2019 7:27:46 GMT -6

Monday Night

A chance of rain showers before midnight, then rain likely between midnight and 4am, then rain and snow likely after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. South wind 5 to 15 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Tuesday

A chance of rain and snow before 9am, then a chance of snow between 9am and noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 41. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

With us being 72 hours out from the event, any chance we see a winter storm watch issued?

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts - 3,028 Likes - 602	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 7:27:54 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Jan 26, 2019 7:27:54 GMT -6 It’s cold out, 32 in Thibodaux this morning with a heavy frost , we have had a heavy frost for several days in a row, it’s white out, next best thing to snow I guess.

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,612 Likes - 9,213 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 7:29:38 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 26, 2019 7:29:38 GMT -6 This morning's graphical forecast for early Tuesday morning:

ndg
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Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 7:30:04 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT likes this

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Post by ndg on Jan 26, 2019 7:30:04 GMT -6

06z GFS sounding forecast looks pretty good for frozen precip for the northern North Shore for Tuesday morning as long as the surface moistens up some.

Edit: this is the best promising sounding forecast I have seen so far, previous runs the moisture is gone by the time the heights fall low enough.

Last Edit: Jan 26, 2019 7:33:16 GMT -6 by ndg

SKYSUMMIT
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Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019 Jan 26, 2019 7:30:41 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 26, 2019 7:30:41 GMT -6

Jan 26, 2019 7:27:46 GMT -6 spencer6898 said:

Monday Night

A chance of rain showers before midnight, then rain likely between midnight and 4am, then rain and snow likely after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. South wind 5 to 15 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Tuesday

A chance of rain and snow before 9am, then a chance of snow between 9am and noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 41. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

With us being 72 hours out from the event, any chance we see a winter storm watch issued?

Nahh...no significant winter weather threat.

Winter Weather Threat 1/29/2019

Post by mobileweatherwatcher on Jan 25, 2019 20:47:08 GMT -6

Post by Sstorm on Jan 25, 2019 21:17:44 GMT -6

Post by mobileweatherwatcher on Jan 25, 2019 21:58:51 GMT -6

Post by chloe06 on Jan 25, 2019 22:12:42 GMT -6

Post by mobileweatherwatcher on Jan 25, 2019 23:23:34 GMT -6

Post by PinkFreud on Jan 26, 2019 0:29:06 GMT -6

Post by bigryan92 on Jan 26, 2019 0:53:54 GMT -6

Post by gulfbreeze on Jan 26, 2019 2:27:17 GMT -6

Post by shibumi on Jan 26, 2019 6:11:24 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jan 26, 2019 7:22:45 GMT -6

Post by spencer6898 on Jan 26, 2019 7:27:46 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Jan 26, 2019 7:27:54 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 26, 2019 7:29:38 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jan 26, 2019 7:30:04 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 26, 2019 7:30:41 GMT -6

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